BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Winterset

Class: 3A Class Rank: 61 Conference: (1-17) Overall: (1-21) Overall Strength =   47.80

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/03/2004 Away    L *  51.57  51   55   3A   55 ( 5-17) Dallas Center-Grimes    3.76     -7.76                      
  2 12/04/2004 Home    L *  39.99  43   75   3A   14 (22- 5) Huxley Ballard         -7.82    -24.18                      
  3 12/10/2004 Away    L *  54.98  39   63   3A    8 (23- 4) Carroll                 7.17 *  -31.17                      
  4 12/14/2004 Away    L *  45.72  47   63   3A   45 (11-11) Perry                  -2.08    -13.92                      
  5 12/17/2004 Home    L *  62.01  43   48   3A   23 (17- 6) Nevada                 14.20    -19.20                      
  6 12/21/2004 Home    L *  45.70  58   68   3A   51 ( 9-13) Saydel                 -2.11     -7.89                      
  7 01/07/2005 Away    L *  50.55  58   71   3A   39 (10-12) Adel ADM                2.74    -15.74                      
  8 01/14/2005 Home    L *  48.23  52   56   3A   55 ( 5-17) Dallas Center-Grimes    0.42     -4.42                      
  9 01/15/2005 Away    L *  40.33  40   75   3A   14 (22- 5) Huxley Ballard         -7.48 *  -27.52                      
 10 01/18/2005 Away    L    46.36  70   72   3A   62 (10-12) Osceola Clarke         -1.45     -0.55                      
 11 01/21/2005 Home    L *  39.64  46   82   3A    8 (23- 4) Carroll                -8.17 *  -27.83                      
 12 01/25/2005 Home    L *  44.38  44   58   3A   45 (11-11) Perry                  -3.43    -10.57                      
 13 01/28/2005 Away    L *  53.35  29   46   3A   23 (17- 6) Nevada                  5.54    -22.54                      
 14 02/01/2005 Away    W *  66.04  48   41   3A   51 ( 9-13) Saydel                 18.23    -11.23                      
 15 02/04/2005 Home    L *  43.21  41   58   3A   39 (10-12) Adel ADM               -4.60    -12.40                      
 16 02/05/2005 Home    L *  48.41  54   66   3A   36 (12-11) Jefferson-Scranton      0.60    -12.60  was 01/11/05 now 02/05/05
 17 02/08/2005 Home    L *  48.95  44   53   3A   46 (11-11) Carlisle                1.14    -10.14                      
 18 02/11/2005 Away    L *  26.75  38   75   3A   36 (12-11) Jefferson-Scranton    -21.06    -15.94                      
 19 02/15/2005 Away    L *  44.29  31   48   3A   46 (11-11) Carlisle               -3.52    -13.48                      
 20 02/18/2005 Home    L    47.14  34   47   3A   42 (11-12) Norwalk                -0.66    -12.34                      
 21 02/22/2005 Away    L    57.60  51   68   3A   13 (19- 6) Creston                 9.79 *  -26.79                      
 22 02/28/2005 Away    L    46.60  46   74   3A   13 (19- 6) Creston                -1.21 *  -26.79                      
      Averages              47.81  45.8 61.9

Best game:   66.04 = 7 point win over Saydel
Worst game:  26.75 = 37 point loss to Jefferson-Scranton
Team stdev:   8.22