BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Aurelia

Class: 1A Class Rank: 62 Conference: (4-10) Overall: (8-14) Overall Strength =   69.64

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2005 Home    W *  73.78  58   57   1A   40 (11-11) Newell-Fonda            4.46     -3.46                      
  2 12/06/2005 Home    L *  81.16  53   57   1A    6 (21- 4) Alta                   11.84    -15.84                      
  3 12/09/2005 Away    L *  57.52  53   66   1A   66 ( 5-16) Schaller-Crestland    -11.80     -1.20                      
  4 12/13/2005 Away    W *  84.04  58   35   1A  103 ( 3-19) Storm Lake St Mary     14.72      8.28                      
  5 12/15/2005 Away    L    58.65  73   78   1A   87 ( 7-16) Granville Spalding    -10.66      5.66                      
  6 12/16/2005 Home    L *  55.30  57   72   1A   49 (12-11) Sac City              -14.01     -0.99                      
  7 01/03/2006 Home    W    82.98  85   78   1A   26 (14- 6) Galva-Holstein         13.66     -6.66                      
  8 01/06/2006 Away    L *  66.70  52   65   1A   28 (15- 9) Pomeroy-Palmer         -2.62    -10.38                      
  9 01/10/2006 Home    W *  82.67  64   54   2A   72 (10-11) Sioux Central          13.35     -3.35                      
 10 01/17/2006 Away    L *  45.58  54   85   1A   40 (11-11) Newell-Fonda          -23.73     -7.27                      
 11 01/20/2006 Away    L *  79.96  68   77   1A    6 (21- 4) Alta                   10.64    -19.64                      
 12 01/24/2006 Home    W *  77.71  71   60   1A   66 ( 5-16) Schaller-Crestland      8.40      2.60                      
 13 01/26/2006 Away    W    75.52  61   59   1A   51 (11-11) Wall Lake WLVA          6.21     -4.21                      
 14 01/27/2006 Home    L *  53.23  50   54   1A  103 ( 3-19) Storm Lake St Mary    -16.08     12.08                      
 15 01/31/2006 Away    L *  69.10  66   71   1A   49 (12-11) Sac City               -0.21     -4.79                      
 16 02/02/2006 Home    W    62.21  67   52   1A  116 ( 1-21) Laurens-Marathon       -7.10     22.10                      
 17 02/07/2006 Home    L *  69.90  60   66   1A   28 (15- 9) Pomeroy-Palmer          0.58     -6.58                      
 18 02/10/2006 Away    L *  73.47  65   68   2A   72 (10-11) Sioux Central           4.16     -7.16                      
 19 02/14/2006 Home    L    73.83  63   66   1A   20 (22- 3) Charter Oak-Ute         4.51     -7.51                      
 20 02/17/2006 Away    L    58.40  63   72   1A   84 (10-12) Clay Central-Everly   -10.92      1.92                      
 21 02/20/2006 Away    W    80.67  61   51   1A   68 ( 4-16) Marcus MMC             11.36     -1.36                      
 22 02/22/2006 Neutral L    62.55  35   73   1A    3 (24- 4) George-Little Rock     -6.77 *  -31.23                      
      Averages              69.31  60.8 64.4

Best game:   84.04 = 23 point win over Storm Lake St Mary
Worst game:  45.58 = 31 point loss to Newell-Fonda
Team stdev:  11.18