BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Grinnell

Class: 3A Class Rank: 6 Conference: (15-0) Overall: (25-2) Overall Strength =  100.54

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2005 Away    W   101.49  65   42   3A   52 ( 6-16) Tama South Tama         0.76     22.24                      
  2 12/02/2005 Away    W * 112.46  78   52   4A   38 (10-12) Oskaloosa              11.73     14.27                      
  3 12/09/2005 Home    W *  94.42  61   53   3A   20 (11-12) Knoxville              -6.31     14.31                      
  4 12/13/2005 Away    W   119.80  65   37   3A   18 (19- 6) Washington             19.07      8.93                      
  5 12/16/2005 Home    W * 102.01  64   53   4A   29 (13-10) Waukee                  1.28      9.72                      
  6 12/17/2005 Away    W   105.13  76   52   3A   45 ( 8-14) Van Horne Benton        4.40     19.60                      
  7 12/22/2005 Home    W    89.87  52   51   3A   16 (15- 8) Vinton-Shellsburg     -10.86     11.86  was 12/03 now 12/22 
  8 01/03/2006 Away    W *  89.36  65   60   3A   34 ( 8-15) Norwalk               -11.37     16.37                      
  9 01/06/2006 Away    W * 100.09  60   57   2A   16 (16- 6) Pella Christian        -0.64      3.64                      
 10 01/13/2006 Home    W * 114.46  71   38   4A   40 ( 7-15) Boone                  13.73     19.27                      
 11 01/14/2006 Home    L    86.23  58   63   2A   14 (20- 4) Monroe PCM            -14.50      9.50                      
 12 01/17/2006 Away    W *  95.22  56   51   3A   20 (11-12) Knoxville              -5.51     10.51                      
 13 01/20/2006 Home    W * 104.66  59   37   4A   38 (10-12) Oskaloosa               3.93     18.07                      
 14 01/24/2006 Away    W * 109.67  53   39   3A   12 (17- 7) Pella                   8.94      5.06                      
 15 01/27/2006 Away    W *  97.81  53   50   4A   29 (13-10) Waukee                 -2.91      5.91                      
 16 01/31/2006 Home    W *  94.56  66   52   3A   34 ( 8-15) Norwalk                -6.17     20.17                      
 17 02/03/2006 Away    W *  99.26  71   57   4A   40 ( 7-15) Boone                  -1.47     15.47                      
 18 02/07/2006 Home    W * 111.29  70   52   2A   16 (16- 6) Pella Christian        10.56      7.44                      
 19 02/10/2006 Home    W * 108.86  68   51   3A   12 (17- 7) Pella                   8.14      8.86                      
 20 02/17/2006 Away    W    93.80  68   58   3A   35 (11-12) Iowa Falls-Alden       -6.93     16.93                      
 21 02/21/2006 Home    W   105.69  78   47   3A   52 ( 6-16) Tama South Tama         4.96 *   26.04                      
 22 02/27/2006 Home    W    93.50  68   51   3A   47 ( 6-16) Saydel                 -7.23     24.23                      
 23 03/02/2006 Neutral W    95.55  62   49   3A   32 (11-12) Nevada                 -5.18     18.18                      
 24 03/06/2006 Neutral W *  97.77  54   50   3A   12 (17- 7) Pella                  -2.96      6.96                      
 25 03/14/2006 Neutral W   104.67  72   54   3A   23 (16- 9) Cresco Crestwood        3.94     14.06                      
 26 03/16/2006 Neutral L    90.95  57   72   3A    2 (24- 3) MOC-Floyd Valley       -9.77     -5.23                      
 27 03/18/2006 Neutral W   101.07  45   44   3A    7 (22- 5) Creston                 0.34      0.66                      
      Averages             100.73  63.5 50.8

Best game:  119.80 = 28 point win over Washington
Worst game:  86.23 = 5 point loss to Monroe PCM
Team stdev:   8.40