BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Johnston

Class: 4A Class Rank: 18 Conference: (14-10) Overall: (14-11) Overall Strength =   97.97

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2005 Home    L *  79.59  69   85   4A   19 (14- 8) Des Moines East       -18.38      2.38                      
  2 12/02/2005 Away    W * 104.52  53   48   4A   17 (16- 8) Fort Dodge              6.55     -1.55                      
  3 12/06/2005 Home    W * 108.99  58   36   4A   33 ( 5-17) Mason City             11.02     10.98                      
  4 12/09/2005 Away    L * 105.34  45   47   4A    6 (20- 3) Urbandale               7.38     -9.38                      
  5 12/13/2005 Away    L *  94.17  53   67   4A    5 (26- 0) Des Moines Hoover      -3.79    -10.21                      
  6 12/16/2005 Home    L *  91.97  46   52   4A   13 (14- 9) Ankeny                 -5.99     -0.01                      
  7 01/03/2006 Away    W * 121.66  70   39   4A   34 ( 9-14) Marshalltown           23.69      7.31                      
  8 01/06/2006 Home    W * 100.03  52   44   4A   25 (11-13) Southeast Polk          2.07      5.93                      
  9 01/13/2006 Away    W * 111.51  61   55   4A    8 (19- 4) WDM Dowling            13.55     -7.55                      
 10 01/17/2006 Away    L *  86.37  39   42   4A   35 ( 9-13) Des Moines Lincoln    -11.59      8.59                      
 11 01/20/2006 Home    L *  90.08  68   75   4A   16 (15- 9) Indianola              -7.89      0.89                      
 12 01/24/2006 Away    L *  89.56  49   55   4A   27 (11-12) Ames                   -8.41      2.41                      
 13 01/27/2006 Home    W * 108.54  60   55   4A    6 (20- 3) Urbandale              10.57     -5.57                      
 14 01/31/2006 Away    W * 107.77  54   48   4A   13 (14- 9) Ankeny                  9.81     -3.81                      
 15 02/03/2006 Away    W *  98.83  35   32   4A   25 (11-13) Southeast Polk          0.87      2.13                      
 16 02/07/2006 Home    L *  91.32  60   63   4A   23 (12-10) Des Moines Roosevelt   -6.64      3.64                      
 17 02/10/2006 Home    L *  85.71  51   67   4A    8 (19- 4) WDM Dowling           -12.26     -3.74                      
 18 02/14/2006 Away    W *  98.42  59   44   4A   42 ( 5-17) WDM Valley              0.45     14.55                      
 19 02/17/2006 Away    L *  96.88  61   65   4A   16 (15- 9) Indianola              -1.08     -2.92                      
 20 02/21/2006 Home    W *  90.79  50   44   4A   37 ( 6-17) Ottumwa                -7.18     13.18                      
 21 02/24/2006 Home    W * 104.44  86   56   4A   46 ( 2-20) Newton                  6.47     23.53                      
 22 02/28/2006 Home    W *  82.44  47   39   4A   46 ( 2-20) Newton                -15.53     23.53                      
 23 03/03/2006 Away    W * 116.39  71   54   4A   19 (14- 8) Des Moines East        18.42     -1.42                      
 24 03/07/2006 Neutral W *  94.66  45   44   4A   27 (11-12) Ames                   -3.31      4.31                      
 25 03/15/2006 Neutral L    89.17  39   63   4A    1 (24- 2) Pleasant Valley        -8.80    -15.20                      
      Averages              97.97  55.2 52.8

Best game:  121.66 = 31 point win over Marshalltown
Worst game:  79.59 = 16 point loss to Des Moines East
Team stdev:  10.78