BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Newell-Fonda

Class: 1A Class Rank: 40 Conference: (9-7) Overall: (11-11) Overall Strength =   74.68

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2005 Home    W *  77.67  52   47   2A   72 (10-11) Sioux Central           2.99      2.01                      
  2 12/01/2005 Home    L    80.80  48   50   1A   13 (23- 2) Rockwell City-Lytton    6.12     -8.12                      
  3 12/02/2005 Away    L *  70.22  57   58   1A   62 ( 8-14) Aurelia                -4.46      3.46                      
  4 12/06/2005 Away    W *  87.10  51   38   1A   49 (12-11) Sac City               12.43      0.57                      
  5 12/09/2005 Home    L *  48.90  25   52   1A   28 (15- 9) Pomeroy-Palmer        -25.78     -1.22                      
  6 12/13/2005 Home    W *  75.71  60   51   1A   66 ( 5-16) Schaller-Crestland      1.03      7.97                      
  7 12/17/2005 Away    L    68.67  49   59   1A   37 (13- 8) Odebolt-Arthur         -6.01     -3.99                      
  8 12/22/2005 Away    W    85.94  55   32   2A  118 ( 4-18) Northwest Webster      11.26     11.74                      
  9 01/06/2006 Home    W *  69.23  49   37   1A  103 ( 3-19) Storm Lake St Mary     -5.44     17.44                      
 10 01/07/2006 Home    W    85.78  74   53   2A   98 ( 5-16) Pocahontas Area        11.10      9.90                      
 11 01/10/2006 Home    L *  77.16  47   55   1A    6 (21- 4) Alta                    2.48    -10.48                      
 12 01/13/2006 Away    W *  79.47  61   58   2A   72 (10-11) Sioux Central           4.79     -1.79                      
 13 01/17/2006 Home    W *  98.41  85   54   1A   62 ( 8-14) Aurelia                23.73      7.27                      
 14 01/20/2006 Home    W *  72.30  55   53   1A   49 (12-11) Sac City               -2.38      4.38                      
 15 01/24/2006 Away    L *  72.70  46   53   1A   28 (15- 9) Pomeroy-Palmer         -1.98     -5.02                      
 16 01/27/2006 Away    L *  57.52  52   65   1A   66 ( 5-16) Schaller-Crestland    -17.16      4.16                      
 17 01/31/2006 Away    L    72.87  54   57   1A   41 (17- 7) Southern Cal           -1.81     -1.19                      
 18 02/07/2006 Away    W *  77.04  52   36   1A  103 ( 3-19) Storm Lake St Mary      2.36     13.64                      
 19 02/09/2006 Away    L    79.62  58   66   3A   25 (11-12) Storm Lake              4.95    -12.95                      
 20 02/10/2006 Away    L *  48.96  41   81   1A    6 (21- 4) Alta                  -25.72    -14.28                      
 21 02/22/2006 Home    W *  75.71  67   58   1A   66 ( 5-16) Schaller-Crestland      1.03      7.97                      
 22 02/27/2006 Home    L *  81.16  55   59   1A    6 (21- 4) Alta                    6.48    -10.48                      
      Averages              74.68  54.2 53.3

Best game:   98.41 = 31 point win over Aurelia
Worst game:  48.90 = 27 point loss to Pomeroy-Palmer
Team stdev:  11.62