BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Newton

Class: 4A Class Rank: 46 Conference: (2-19) Overall: (2-20) Overall Strength =   76.00

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2005 Home    L    75.56  46   51   3A   34 ( 8-15) Norwalk                -0.78     -4.22                      
  2 12/02/2005 Away    L *  66.59  33   55   4A   37 ( 6-17) Ottumwa                -9.74    -12.26                      
  3 12/06/2005 Away    L *  83.34  36   60   4A    6 (20- 3) Urbandale               7.00 *  -31.00                      
  4 12/09/2005 Away    L *  69.56  41   67   4A   27 (11-12) Ames                   -6.78    -19.22                      
  5 12/13/2005 Home    L *  79.03  47   60   4A   25 (11-13) Southeast Polk          2.69    -15.69                      
  6 12/20/2005 Away    L *  89.39  51   61   4A   19 (14- 8) Des Moines East        13.05    -23.05                      
  7 01/03/2006 Home    L *  76.97  57   78   4A   13 (14- 9) Ankeny                  0.63    -21.63                      
  8 01/06/2006 Home    L *  81.71  63   77   4A   17 (16- 8) Fort Dodge              5.38    -19.38                      
  9 01/13/2006 Away    L *  68.66  48   70   4A   34 ( 9-14) Marshalltown           -7.68    -14.32                      
 10 01/17/2006 Home    L *  56.08  47   88   4A   16 (15- 9) Indianola             -20.26    -20.74                      
 11 01/20/2006 Away    L *  80.42  55   58   4A   42 ( 5-17) WDM Valley              4.08     -7.08                      
 12 01/24/2006 Home    L *  51.99  49   84   4A   33 ( 5-17) Mason City            -24.35    -10.65  was 12/16 now 01/24/2006
 13 01/27/2006 Home    L *  58.75  47   80   4A   27 (11-12) Ames                  -17.58    -15.42                      
 14 01/31/2006 Away    L *  77.79  44   57   4A   33 ( 5-17) Mason City              1.45    -14.45                      
 15 02/03/2006 Away    L *  83.52  47   63   4A   17 (16- 8) Fort Dodge              7.18    -23.18                      
 16 02/07/2006 Home    L *  82.57  52   55   4A   35 ( 9-13) Des Moines Lincoln      6.23     -9.23                      
 17 02/10/2006 Home    L *  82.86  45   49   4A   34 ( 9-14) Marshalltown            6.52    -10.52                      
 18 02/14/2006 Away    L *  84.13  49   63   4A   23 (12-10) Des Moines Roosevelt    7.79    -21.79                      
 19 02/17/2006 Home    W *  89.61  61   51   4A   42 ( 5-17) WDM Valley             13.28     -3.28                      
 20 02/21/2006 Home    W *  79.17  81   68   4A   48 ( 0-22) Des Moines North        2.83     10.17                      
 21 02/24/2006 Away    L *  69.87  56   86   4A   18 (14-11) Johnston               -6.47    -23.53                      
 22 02/28/2006 Away    L *  91.87  39   47   4A   18 (14-11) Johnston               15.53    -23.53                      
      Averages              76.34  49.7 64.9

Best game:   91.87 = 8 point loss to Johnston
Worst game:  51.99 = 35 point loss to Mason City
Team stdev:  10.80