BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 37 Conference: (5-15) Overall: (6-17) Overall Strength = 86.69
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/29/2005 Home L * 84.97 36 49 4A 13 (14- 9) Ankeny -1.72 -11.28
2 12/02/2005 Home W * 96.44 55 33 4A 46 ( 2-20) Newton 9.74 12.26
3 12/06/2005 Away L * 75.51 38 68 4A 8 (19- 4) WDM Dowling -11.18 -18.82
4 12/09/2005 Home L * 83.32 39 50 4A 23 (12-10) Des Moines Roosevelt -3.37 -7.63
5 12/13/2005 Away L 80.18 36 48 3A 14 (19- 5) Mount Pleasant -6.52 -5.48
6 12/16/2005 Home W * 93.17 49 22 4A 48 ( 0-22) Des Moines North 6.48 20.52
7 12/20/2005 Home L 73.66 33 42 4A 38 (10-12) Oskaloosa -13.03 4.03
8 01/03/2006 Home L * 90.08 35 42 4A 16 (15- 9) Indianola 3.39 -10.39
9 01/06/2006 Away L * 88.37 51 52 4A 35 ( 9-13) Des Moines Lincoln 1.68 -2.68
10 01/13/2006 Away L * 83.39 44 60 4A 19 (14- 8) Des Moines East -3.30 -12.70
11 01/24/2006 Away W 99.42 57 35 3A 53 ( 9-13) Fairfield 12.73 9.27
12 01/27/2006 Away L * 74.13 32 56 4A 23 (12-10) Des Moines Roosevelt -12.56 -11.44
13 01/31/2006 Away W * 72.97 39 36 4A 48 ( 0-22) Des Moines North -13.72 16.72
14 02/03/2006 Home L * 70.57 40 55 4A 35 ( 9-13) Des Moines Lincoln -16.12 1.12
15 02/04/2006 Home L * 99.37 32 37 4A 5 (26- 0) Des Moines Hoover 12.68 -17.68 was 01/20 now 02/04
16 02/07/2006 Away L * 93.34 40 54 4A 6 (20- 3) Urbandale 6.65 -20.65
17 02/10/2006 Home L * 85.59 50 60 4A 19 (14- 8) Des Moines East -1.10 -8.90
18 02/14/2006 Home W * 95.86 39 30 4A 34 ( 9-14) Marshalltown 9.17 -0.17
19 02/17/2006 Away L * 91.17 24 41 4A 5 (26- 0) Des Moines Hoover 4.48 -21.48
20 02/21/2006 Away L * 93.87 44 50 4A 18 (14-11) Johnston 7.18 -13.18
21 02/24/2006 Home L * 89.03 40 43 4A 25 (11-13) Southeast Polk 2.34 -5.34
22 02/28/2006 Home W * 92.61 47 34 4A 42 ( 5-17) WDM Valley 5.92 7.08
23 03/03/2006 Away L * 86.88 34 48 4A 16 (15- 9) Indianola 0.19 -14.19
Averages 86.69 40.6 45.4
Best game: 99.42 = 22 point win over Fairfield
Worst game: 70.57 = 15 point loss to Des Moines Lincoln
Team stdev: 8.75