BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Winterset

Class: 3A Class Rank: 39 Conference: (7-11) Overall: (8-14) Overall Strength =   81.39

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2005 Home    W *  87.67  66   57   3A   42 (11-12) Dallas Center-Grimes    6.28      2.72                      
  2 12/09/2005 Home    L *  92.15  63   69   3A    4 (23- 1) Carroll                10.76    -16.76                      
  3 12/10/2005 Away    L *  76.09  52   62   3A   27 (13- 9) Huxley Ballard         -5.30     -4.70  was 12/03/2005 now 12/10/2005
  4 12/13/2005 Home    L *  59.63  50   67   3A   46 (12-11) Perry                 -21.76      4.76                      
  5 12/16/2005 Away    W *  86.45  50   48   3A   32 (11-12) Nevada                  5.06     -3.06                      
  6 12/20/2005 Away    L *  78.30  51   53   3A   47 ( 6-16) Saydel                 -3.09      1.09                      
  7 01/03/2006 Home    L *  74.65  60   61   3A   50 (10-12) Carlisle               -6.75      5.75                      
  8 01/06/2006 Home    L *  68.69  64   77   3A   29 ( 9-13) Adel ADM              -12.70     -0.30                      
  9 01/10/2006 Away    W *  88.50  57   53   2A   41 (10-12) Jefferson-Scranton      7.11     -3.11                      
 10 01/13/2006 Away    L *  77.47  47   52   3A   42 (11-12) Dallas Center-Grimes   -3.92     -1.08                      
 11 01/17/2006 Home    L *  77.28  52   57   3A   27 (13- 9) Huxley Ballard         -4.11     -0.89                      
 12 01/20/2006 Away    L *  84.95  44   61   3A    4 (23- 1) Carroll                 3.56    -20.56                      
 13 01/24/2006 Away    L *  78.44  47   49   3A   46 (12-11) Perry                  -2.95      0.95                      
 14 01/27/2006 Home    L *  75.65  68   73   3A   32 (11-12) Nevada                 -5.75      0.75                      
 15 01/31/2006 Home    W *  78.50  76   74   3A   47 ( 6-16) Saydel                 -2.89      4.89                      
 16 02/03/2006 Away    W *  87.50  76   74   3A   29 ( 9-13) Adel ADM                6.11     -4.11                      
 17 02/04/2006 Home    L    66.04  69   73   3A   59 (10-12) Osceola Clarke        -15.35     11.35                      
 18 02/07/2006 Away    W *  90.45  71   60   3A   50 (10-12) Carlisle                9.06      1.94                      
 19 02/10/2006 Home    W *  88.70  64   56   2A   41 (10-12) Jefferson-Scranton      7.31      0.69                      
 20 02/17/2006 Away    W   101.36  59   42   3A   34 ( 8-15) Norwalk                19.97     -2.97                      
 21 02/21/2006 Home    L    95.17  61   64   3A    7 (22- 5) Creston                13.78    -16.78                      
 22 02/27/2006 Away    L    76.97  49   74   3A    7 (22- 5) Creston                -4.42    -20.58                      
      Averages              81.39  58.9 61.6

Best game:  101.36 = 17 point win over Norwalk
Worst game:  59.63 = 17 point loss to Perry
Team stdev:   9.91