BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Aurelia
Class: 1A Class Rank: 58 Conference: (6-9) Overall: (10-13) Overall Strength = 55.49
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/28/2006 Home L 43.30 56 58 1A 83 (12-10) Ruthven-Ayrshire -13.47 11.47
2 12/01/2006 Away L * 52.87 53 56 1A 62 ( 7-15) Newell-Fonda -3.90 0.90
3 12/05/2006 Away L * 53.66 35 66 1A 1 (22- 1) Alta -3.11 * -27.89
4 12/08/2006 Home W * 64.61 75 45 1A 118 ( 1-20) Schaller-Crestland 7.84 22.16
5 12/12/2006 Home W * 53.60 56 49 1A 84 ( 7-15) Storm Lake St Mary -3.17 10.17
6 12/14/2006 Home W 55.83 62 41 1A 114 ( 0-22) Granville Spalding -0.94 21.94
7 12/15/2006 Away L * 57.14 50 62 1A 21 (16- 7) Sac City 0.38 -12.38
8 01/04/2007 Away W 70.50 62 59 1A 28 (16- 5) Galva-Holstein 13.73 -10.73
9 01/05/2007 Home W * 67.43 76 63 1A 56 ( 9-13) Pomeroy-Palmer 10.66 2.34
10 01/09/2007 Away L * 35.31 32 62 2A 58 (15- 8) Sioux Central -21.45 -8.55
11 01/16/2007 Home L * 50.01 61 63 1A 62 ( 7-15) Newell-Fonda -6.75 4.75
12 01/19/2007 Home L * 43.80 53 90 1A 1 (22- 1) Alta -12.96 -24.04
13 01/23/2007 Away W * 54.46 57 41 1A 118 ( 1-20) Schaller-Crestland -2.30 18.30
14 01/25/2007 Home L 63.68 44 55 1A 7 (25- 3) Wall Lake WLVA 6.91 -17.91
15 01/26/2007 Away W * 70.46 62 42 1A 84 ( 7-15) Storm Lake St Mary 13.69 6.31
16 01/30/2007 Home L * 47.29 49 67 1A 21 (16- 7) Sac City -9.48 -8.52
17 02/01/2007 Away W 59.75 58 53 1A 63 ( 7-15) Laurens-Marathon 2.98 2.02
18 02/06/2007 Away L * 55.28 57 60 1A 56 ( 9-13) Pomeroy-Palmer -1.48 -1.52
19 02/09/2007 Home L * 39.46 69 91 2A 58 (15- 8) Sioux Central -17.31 -4.69
20 02/13/2007 Away L 49.30 58 77 1A 26 (18- 6) Charter Oak-Ute -7.46 -11.54
21 02/22/2007 Neutral W 70.56 74 72 1A 17 (18- 4) Odebolt-Arthur 13.80 -11.80
22 02/26/2007 Neutral W * 86.73 83 79 1A 1 (22- 1) Alta 29.96 * -25.96
23 03/05/2007 Neutral L 60.60 56 72 1A 7 (25- 3) Wall Lake WLVA 3.84 -19.84
Averages 56.77 58.2 61.9
Best game: 86.73 = 4 point win over Alta
Worst game: 35.31 = 30 point loss to Sioux Rapids Sioux Central
Team stdev: 11.78