BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Johnston

Class: 4A Class Rank: 8 Conference: (16-7) Overall: (16-7) Overall Strength =   90.18

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/28/2006 Away    W *  94.06  59   46   4A   33 ( 8-15) Des Moines East         4.64      8.36                      
  2 12/01/2006 Home    W *  86.23  60   56   4A   22 ( 9-13) Des Moines Roosevelt   -3.19      7.19                      
  3 12/05/2006 Away    W *  96.08  46   41   4A   12 (13-10) WDM Valley              6.66     -1.66                      
  4 12/08/2006 Home    W *  99.13  48   39   4A    5 (16- 8) Ankeny                  9.71     -0.71                      
  5 12/12/2006 Home    W * 102.27  59   44   4A   15 (16- 6) Ames                   12.85      2.15                      
  6 12/15/2006 Home    L *  77.51  58   70   4A    6 (16- 7) Indianola             -11.91     -0.09                      
  7 12/22/2006 Away    L *  87.41  47   55   4A    4 (19- 7) Urbandale              -2.01     -5.99                      
  8 01/05/2007 Home    W *  91.18  45   39   4A   17 (12-10) WDM Dowling             1.76      4.24                      
  9 01/12/2007 Away    W *  98.26  55   45   4A   18 (11-12) Southeast Polk          8.85      1.15                      
 10 01/16/2007 Home    W *  84.39  41   38   4A   24 (11-10) Des Moines Hoover      -5.03      8.03                      
 11 01/19/2007 Away    L *  90.36  51   54   4A    6 (16- 7) Indianola               0.94     -3.94                      
 12 01/23/2007 Away    W *  83.80  59   47   4A   44 ( 4-17) Mason City             -5.62     17.62                      
 13 01/26/2007 Home    L *  85.55  50   56   4A    4 (19- 7) Urbandale              -3.87     -2.13                      
 14 01/30/2007 Home    W *  86.59  56   48   4A   29 ( 9-13) Marshalltown           -2.83     10.83                      
 15 02/02/2007 Away    L *  80.04  43   52   4A   17 (12-10) WDM Dowling            -9.38      0.38                      
 16 02/06/2007 Away    W *  97.57  86   55   4A   47 ( 1-22) Des Moines North        8.15     22.85                      
 17 02/09/2007 Home    W *  93.41  58   49   4A   18 (11-12) Southeast Polk          3.99      5.01                      
 18 02/16/2007 Away    L *  81.98  51   63   4A    5 (16- 8) Ankeny                 -7.44     -4.56                      
 19 02/17/2007 Away    W *  90.25  53   43   4A   34 (10-13) Ottumwa                 0.83      9.17  was 02/13 now 02/17 
 20 02/20/2007 Away    W *  86.66  62   59   4A   27 ( 9-14) Waukee                 -2.76      5.76                      
 21 02/27/2007 Home    W *  72.71  69   59   4A   47 ( 1-22) Des Moines North      -16.71 *   26.71                      
 22 03/03/2007 Away    W * 105.12  60   46   4A   15 (16- 6) Ames                   15.71     -1.71                      
 23 03/06/2007 Neutral L *  86.06  53   59   4A    5 (16- 8) Ankeny                 -3.36     -2.64                      
      Averages              89.42  55.2 50.6

Best game:  105.12 = 14 point win over Ames
Worst game:  72.71 = 10 point win over Des Moines North
Team stdev:   8.02