BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Monticello

Class: 2A Class Rank: 33 Conference: (13-3) Overall: (16-7) Overall Strength =   70.09

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/28/2006 Away    L    67.88  59   71   3A   16 (15- 9) West Delaware          -2.10     -9.90                      
  2 12/01/2006 Away    L    70.45  61   63   2A   31 (19- 7) Goose Lake Northeast    0.47     -2.47                      
  3 12/08/2006 Home    W *  67.14  56   44   2A   84 ( 9-13) Center Point-Urbana    -2.84     14.84                      
  4 12/12/2006 Away    W *  81.20  59   46   1A   24 (18- 7) East Buchanan          11.22      1.78                      
  5 12/15/2006 Home    W *  71.02  45   39   2A   45 (15- 7) Maquoketa Valley        1.04      4.96                      
  6 12/16/2006 Home    W    66.87  70   57   1A   59 ( 8-15) Wyoming Midland        -3.11     16.11                      
  7 12/19/2006 Away    W *  67.34  68   42   1A  122 ( 2-20) Springville            -2.64 *   28.64                      
  8 01/05/2007 Away    L *  74.70  42   51   2A   12 (21- 3) Cascade W Dubuque       4.72    -13.72                      
  9 01/09/2007 Home    W *  66.08  71   56   2A   97 ( 5-15) Arlington Starmont     -3.90     18.90                      
 10 01/12/2007 Home    W *  60.54  43   41   2A   69 (14- 8) Alburnett              -9.44     11.44                      
 11 01/13/2007 Home    W    70.35  64   38   1A   87 ( 4-19) Elgin Valley            0.37 *   25.63                      
 12 01/16/2007 Away    W *  67.69  59   57   3A   45 (10-11) Anamosa                -2.29      4.29                      
 13 01/19/2007 Away    W *  69.00  64   54   2A   84 ( 9-13) Center Point-Urbana    -0.98     10.98                      
 14 01/23/2007 Away    W *  72.99  58   36   1A   78 ( 3-18) Central City            3.01     18.99                      
 15 01/26/2007 Away    L *  65.87  53   56   2A   45 (15- 7) Maquoketa Valley       -4.10      1.10                      
 16 01/30/2007 Home    W *  54.89  34   29   2A  105 ( 8-14) North Linn            -15.09     20.09                      
 17 02/02/2007 Home    L *  65.85  51   65   2A   12 (21- 3) Cascade W Dubuque      -4.13     -9.87                      
 18 02/09/2007 Home    W *  75.90  59   39   2A   83 (11-10) Edgewood-Colesburg      5.92     14.08                      
 19 02/12/2007 Away    W *  66.94  86   74   2A   97 ( 5-15) Arlington Starmont     -3.04     15.04  was 02/06 now 02/12 
 20 02/15/2007 Home    L    72.52  54   59   1A    3 (21- 3) Bellevue Marquette      2.54     -7.54                      
 21 02/16/2007 Home    W *  74.83  58   45   3A   45 (10-11) Anamosa                 4.85      8.15  was 02/13 now 02/16 
 22 02/19/2007 Home    W    78.12  66   54   2A   40 (17- 5) Stanwood North Cedar    8.14      3.86                      
 23 02/22/2007 Home    L    81.37  63   67   2A    5 (23- 2) Solon                  11.39    -15.39                      
      Averages              69.98  58.4 51.4

Best game:   81.37 = 4 point loss to Solon
Worst game:  54.89 = 5 point win over Troy Mills North Linn
Team stdev:   6.14