BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 34 Conference: (5-11) Overall: (10-13) Overall Strength = 78.57
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/28/2006 Home L * 82.51 50 57 4A 6 (16- 7) Indianola 4.18 -11.18
2 12/01/2006 Home W 85.86 52 31 3A 41 (12-10) Mount Pleasant 7.53 13.47
3 12/05/2006 Away W 82.92 65 31 3A 63 ( 0-20) Fort Madison 4.60 * 29.40
4 12/08/2006 Away W * 89.96 52 49 4A 20 (16- 8) Des Moines Lincoln 11.63 -8.63
5 12/12/2006 Away L * 71.41 35 59 4A 4 (19- 7) Urbandale -6.92 -17.08
6 12/15/2006 Away L * 70.06 45 56 4A 33 ( 8-15) Des Moines East -8.27 -2.73
7 12/19/2006 Home W * 89.23 49 42 4A 22 ( 9-13) Des Moines Roosevelt 10.91 -3.91
8 01/05/2007 Home W * 69.71 57 50 4A 47 ( 1-22) Des Moines North -8.61 15.61
9 01/12/2007 Home L * 77.39 32 36 4A 24 (11-10) Des Moines Hoover -0.93 -3.07
10 01/16/2007 Away L 45.95 50 78 3A 33 (11-12) Keokuk -32.38 4.38
11 01/19/2007 Home L * 65.20 57 69 4A 33 ( 8-15) Des Moines East -13.12 1.12
12 01/23/2007 Home W 89.79 51 32 3A 28 (13-11) Fairfield 11.47 7.53
13 01/26/2007 Away W * 87.09 36 35 4A 22 ( 9-13) Des Moines Roosevelt 8.76 -7.76
14 01/30/2007 Away L * 86.04 35 38 4A 17 (12-10) WDM Dowling 7.71 -10.71
15 02/02/2007 Away W * 72.57 50 44 4A 47 ( 1-22) Des Moines North -5.76 11.76
16 02/06/2007 Home L * 75.13 34 49 4A 5 (16- 8) Ankeny -3.20 -11.80
17 02/09/2007 Away L * 72.25 42 55 4A 24 (11-10) Des Moines Hoover -6.08 -6.92
18 02/16/2007 Home L * 80.10 46 49 4A 20 (16- 8) Des Moines Lincoln 1.78 -4.78
19 02/17/2007 Home L * 77.49 43 53 4A 8 (16- 7) Johnston -0.83 -9.17 was 02/13 now 02/17
20 02/20/2007 Home W 68.58 58 42 3A 60 ( 7-14) Centerville -9.74 * 25.74
21 02/23/2007 Away L * 78.26 44 54 4A 18 (11-12) Southeast Polk -0.06 -9.94
22 02/27/2007 Home W 99.25 53 40 4A 16 (10-11) CR Jefferson 20.92 -7.92
23 03/02/2007 Away L 84.77 54 66 4A 3 (20- 4) Iowa City West 6.44 -18.44
Averages 78.33 47.4 48.5
Best game: 99.25 = 13 point win over Cedar Rapids Jefferson
Worst game: 45.95 = 28 point loss to Keokuk
Team stdev: 11.05