BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Sumner-Fredericksburg

Class: 2A Class Rank: 39 Conference: (14-5) Overall: (17-7) Overall Strength =   68.72

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/28/2006 Away    W    74.88  62   43   3A   61 ( 5-17) New Hampton             6.16     12.84                      
  2 12/05/2006 Home    W *  56.99  56   45   1A   82 ( 1-21) Lansing Kee           -11.73     22.73                      
  3 12/08/2006 Home    W *  63.70  45   35   2A   95 ( 7-15) Monona MFL MarMac      -5.02     15.02                      
  4 12/09/2006 Home    W    64.40  56   38   2A  108 ( 2-20) Jesup                  -4.32     22.32                      
  5 12/12/2006 Away    L *  62.21  56   60   2A   53 (17- 7) North Fayette          -6.51      2.51                      
  6 12/15/2006 Away    W *  73.90  46   32   2A   81 (12-11) Elkader Central         5.18      8.82                      
  7 12/16/2006 Away    L    55.43  42   64   2A   23 (17- 6) Nashua-Plainfield     -13.29     -8.71  was 11/28 now 12/16 
  8 12/22/2006 Away    W *  89.20  71   30   1A   87 ( 4-19) Elgin Valley           20.48     20.52                      
  9 01/02/2007 Home    W *  84.27  55   32   1A   36 (13-10) Maynard West Central   15.55      7.45                      
 10 01/05/2007 Away    L *  61.53  49   53   2A   57 (16- 7) Turkey Valley          -7.19      3.19                      
 11 01/09/2007 Home    W *  66.71  39   27   2A   91 ( 9-13) South Winneshiek       -2.01     14.01                      
 12 01/12/2007 Home    W *  58.35  49   35   1A   87 ( 4-19) Elgin Valley          -10.37     24.37                      
 13 01/16/2007 Away    L *  60.23  46   56   1A   18 (18- 6) Postville              -8.49     -1.51                      
 14 01/19/2007 Away    L *  53.12  42   54   1A   36 (13-10) Maynard West Central  -15.60      3.60                      
 15 01/23/2007 Home    W *  76.68  61   46   2A   57 (16- 7) Turkey Valley           7.96      7.04                      
 16 01/26/2007 Home    W *  80.13  67   45   2A   74 (12-11) Clayton Ridge          11.41     10.59                      
 17 01/30/2007 Away    W *  79.84  74   44   1A   82 ( 1-21) Lansing Kee            11.12     18.88                      
 18 02/02/2007 Away    W *  80.55  65   42   2A   95 ( 7-15) Monona MFL MarMac      11.83     11.17                      
 19 02/06/2007 Home    L *  50.35  47   59   2A   53 (17- 7) North Fayette         -18.37      6.37                      
 20 02/13/2007 Away    W *  78.98  44   27   2A   74 (12-11) Clayton Ridge          10.26      6.74                      
 21 02/16/2007 Home    W *  67.38  48   47   1A   18 (18- 6) Postville              -1.34      2.34                      
 22 02/19/2007 Home    W    80.71  57   39   2A   52 (12-10) Denver                 11.99      6.01                      
 23 02/22/2007 Home    W *  71.68  78   68   2A   57 (16- 7) Turkey Valley           2.96      7.04                      
 24 02/27/2007 Neutral L    58.08  60   76   2A   24 (14-11) Waterloo Columbus     -10.64     -5.36                      
      Averages              68.72  54.8 45.7

Best game:   89.20 = 41 point win over Elgin Valley
Worst game:  50.35 = 12 point loss to West Union North Fayette
Team stdev:  10.98