BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Adair-Casey

Class: 1A Class Rank: 42 Conference: (15-2) Overall: (19-3) Overall Strength =   68.05

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2007 Home    W *  71.27  64   42   1A  101 ( 7-13) Walnut                  4.49     17.51                      
  2 12/04/2007 Home    W *  55.85  58   30   1A  137 ( 3-18) WDM Iowa Christian    -10.92 *   38.92                      
  3 12/07/2007 Away    W *  64.71  54   51   1A   78 (12- 9) Exira                  -2.06      5.06                      
  4 12/08/2007 Home    W    83.01  62   49   1A   33 (18- 7) Guthrie Center         16.23     -3.23                      
  5 12/14/2007 Away    W *  81.98  75   44   1A  112 (10-12) Ankeny Christian       15.21     15.79                      
  6 12/20/2007 Home    W    86.62  74   52   1A   47 (15- 8) Villisca               19.84      2.16                      
  7 12/21/2007 Away    W *  67.92  78   73   1A   66 (19- 5) Orient-Macksburg        1.14      3.86                      
  8 01/04/2008 Away    L *  53.70  62   65   1A   95 (11-12) Elk Horn-Kimballton   -13.07     10.07                      
  9 01/05/2008 Home    W *  64.35  75   53   1A  125 ( 5-15) Paton-Churdan          -2.43 *   24.43                      
 10 01/07/2008 Home    W *  59.35  77   60   1A  121 ( 3-18) Anita CAM              -7.43 *   24.43  was 12/11 now 01/07 
 11 01/08/2008 Away    L *  49.13  45   49   1A  101 ( 7-13) Walnut                -17.64     13.64                      
 12 01/11/2008 Away    W *  64.72  70   37   1A  137 ( 3-18) WDM Iowa Christian     -2.06 *   35.06                      
 13 01/15/2008 Home    W *  86.85  73   44   1A   78 (12- 9) Exira                  20.07      8.93                      
 14 01/18/2008 Away    W *  69.22  71   48   1A  121 ( 3-18) Anita CAM               2.44     20.56                      
 15 01/22/2008 Home    W *  63.12  67   51   1A  112 (10-12) Ankeny Christian       -3.66     19.66                      
 16 01/24/2008 Away    W    72.24  52   50   1A   44 (13-12) Van Meter               5.47     -3.47  was 12/01 now 01/24 
 17 01/25/2008 Home    W    64.32  88   75   2A  124 ( 9-12) Clarinda Academy       -2.45     15.45                      
 18 01/29/2008 Home    W *  68.05  65   56   1A   66 (19- 5) Orient-Macksburg        1.27      7.73                      
 19 02/01/2008 Home    W *  70.84  41   23   1A   95 (11-12) Elk Horn-Kimballton     4.06     13.94                      
 20 02/08/2008 Away    W *  54.21  52   44   1A  125 ( 5-15) Paton-Churdan         -12.56     20.56  was 02/05 now 02/07 
 21 02/14/2008 Neutral W *  66.77  64   52   1A   95 (11-12) Elk Horn-Kimballton    -0.01     12.01                      
 22 02/19/2008 Away    L    50.87  47   70   1A   33 (18- 7) Guthrie Center        -15.91     -7.09                      
      Averages              66.78  64.3 50.8

Best game:   86.85 = 29 point win over Exira
Worst game:  49.13 = 4 point loss to Walnut
Team stdev:  10.84