BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Ames

Class: 4A Class Rank: 2 Conference: (19-3) Overall: (20-3) Overall Strength =  116.05

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/27/2007 Away    W * 125.80  80   50   4A   25 ( 8-14) Des Moines Roosevelt    6.29     23.71                      
  2 11/30/2007 Home    W * 126.03  62   37   4A   15 (13- 9) Urbandale               6.51     18.49                      
  3 12/04/2007 Away    W * 133.40  93   54   4A   26 ( 7-16) Des Moines East        13.88 *   25.12                      
  4 12/07/2007 Away    L * 101.15  68   76   4A    7 (19- 5) Marshalltown          -18.37     10.37                      
  5 12/13/2007 Home    W * 116.62  64   49   4A   14 (13-10) Johnston               -2.90     17.90  was 12/11 now 12/13 
  6 12/14/2007 Home    W * 122.32  83   43   4A   37 ( 3-18) Mason City              2.80 *   37.20                      
  7 12/21/2007 Home    W * 115.79  64   46   4A   20 (11-11) WDM Valley             -3.72     21.72                      
  8 01/04/2008 Home    W * 142.14  96   40   4A   32 ( 5-16) Fort Dodge             22.62 *   33.38                      
  9 01/08/2008 Home    W * 115.29  56   46   4A    7 (19- 5) Marshalltown           -4.23     14.23                      
 10 01/11/2008 Away    W * 126.94  74   56   4A   10 (18- 6) Waukee                  7.42     10.58                      
 11 01/12/2008 Home    W * 117.57  70   46   4A   24 ( 7-16) WDM Dowling            -1.94 *   25.94                      
 12 01/18/2008 Away    W * 127.19  75   34   4A   37 ( 3-18) Mason City              7.67 *   33.33                      
 13 01/22/2008 Away    W * 141.88  98   48   4A   30 ( 5-18) Des Moines North       22.36 *   27.64                      
 14 01/25/2008 Away    W * 128.66  69   42   4A   20 (11-11) WDM Valley              9.14     17.86                      
 15 01/26/2008 Away    L * 107.14  60   61   4A    9 (19- 4) Des Moines Lincoln    -12.37     11.37  was 12/18 now 01/26 
 16 02/01/2008 Away    W * 114.01  64   40   4A   32 ( 5-16) Fort Dodge             -5.51 *   29.51                      
 17 02/02/2008 Away    W   114.94  62   49   4A   19 (13-10) Cedar Falls            -4.58     17.58  was 12/15 now 02/02 
 18 02/07/2008 Away    W * 123.51  65   46   4A   16 (14- 9) Des Moines Hoover       4.00     15.00  was 02/05 now 02/07 
 19 02/08/2008 Home    W * 110.07  64   59   4A   10 (18- 6) Waukee                 -9.44     14.44                      
 20 02/14/2008 Home    W * 106.55  60   56   4A   13 (14- 8) Ankeny                -12.97     16.97  was 01/29 now 02/14 
 21 02/15/2008 Home    W * 112.69  70   47   4A   29 ( 4-17) Indianola              -6.83 *   29.83                      
 22 02/22/2008 Home    W * 113.01  81   56   4A   30 ( 5-18) Des Moines North       -6.51 *   31.51                      
 23 02/26/2008 Neutral L * 106.22  50   51   4A    7 (19- 5) Marshalltown          -13.30     12.30                      
      Averages             119.52  70.8 49.2

Best game:  142.14 = 56 point win over Fort Dodge
Worst game: 101.15 = 8 point loss to Marshalltown
Team stdev:  10.91