BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Aurelia

Class: 1A Class Rank: 68 Conference: (4-10) Overall: (9-12) Overall Strength =   61.20

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/26/2007 Home    W    73.32  66   55   1A   62 (13-11) Galva-Holstein         12.75     -1.75                      
  2 11/27/2007 Home    L    67.39  51   56   1A   28 (20- 3) Ruthven-Ayrshire        6.81    -11.81                      
  3 11/30/2007 Home    L *  67.37  46   50   2A   62 (11-10) Sioux Central           6.79    -10.79                      
  4 12/04/2007 Home    L *  58.91  39   56   1A   18 (17- 7) Laurens-Marathon       -1.66    -15.34                      
  5 12/07/2007 Away    L *  39.05  27   78   1A    7 (18- 3) Alta                  -21.53 *  -29.47                      
  6 12/11/2007 Away    L *  54.70  50   62   1A   52 ( 8-13) Pomeroy-Palmer         -5.87     -6.13                      
  7 12/13/2007 Away    W    69.01  52   35   1A  113 ( 5-17) Granville Spalding      8.44      8.56                      
  8 12/14/2007 Home    W *  54.76  53   51   1A   93 ( 3-19) Storm Lake St Mary     -5.82      7.82                      
  9 12/18/2007 Away    L *  53.88  42   55   1A   59 ( 9-11) Schaller-Crestland     -6.69     -6.31                      
 10 12/21/2007 Away    L *  35.94  52   86   1A   45 (10-12) Newell-Fonda          -24.63     -9.37                      
 11 01/08/2008 Away    L *  56.23  38   57   2A   62 (11-10) Sioux Central          -4.34    -14.66                      
 12 01/10/2008 Home    W    73.76  60   50   1A   55 ( 9-12) River Valley           13.18     -3.18                      
 13 01/11/2008 Away    L *  58.78  43   64   1A   18 (17- 7) Laurens-Marathon       -1.80    -19.20                      
 14 01/15/2008 Home    L *  70.18  53   69   1A    7 (18- 3) Alta                    9.61 *  -25.61                      
 15 01/22/2008 Away    W *  58.62  40   38   1A   93 ( 3-19) Storm Lake St Mary     -1.95      3.95                      
 16 01/25/2008 Home    W *  64.02  47   46   1A   59 ( 9-11) Schaller-Crestland      3.44     -2.44                      
 17 01/31/2008 Neutral W    53.44  57   44   1A  130 ( 1-22) Marcus MMC             -7.13     20.13                      
 18 02/01/2008 Home    L *  63.07  57   60   1A   45 (10-12) Newell-Fonda            2.50     -5.50  was 01/29 now 02/01 
 19 02/05/2008 Home    W *  73.84  72   61   1A   52 ( 8-13) Pomeroy-Palmer         13.26     -2.26  was 01/18 now 02/04 now 02/05
 20 02/08/2008 Home    W    65.10  55   39   1A  109 ( 7-16) Charter Oak-Ute         4.53     11.47                      
 21 02/16/2008 Away    L    60.70  45   46   1A   77 ( 9-10) Woodbury Central        0.13     -1.13                      
      Averages              60.58  49.8 55.1

Best game:   73.84 = 11 point win over Pomeroy-Palmer
Worst game:  35.94 = 34 point loss to Newell-Fonda
Team stdev:  10.17