BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Essex

Class: 1A Class Rank: 61 Conference: (11-5) Overall: (16-6) Overall Strength =   63.64

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/27/2007 Home    W    62.27  55   42   1A  101 ( 7-13) Walnut                 -2.20     15.20                      
  2 11/30/2007 Home    W    72.24  53   51   1A   31 (10-12) Avoca AHST              7.78     -5.78                      
  3 12/04/2007 Away    W *  65.18  63   57   1A   81 ( 9-11) Malvern East Mills      0.72      5.28                      
  4 12/07/2007 Home    W *  70.30  70   34   1A  132 ( 4-17) South Page              5.84 *   30.16                      
  5 12/08/2007 Home    W    64.46  60   40   EX   93 ( 0- 1) Omaha Christian Acad   -0.00     20.00                      
  6 12/13/2007 Away    W    73.88  53   48   2A   91 ( 5-16) Griswold                9.41     -4.41                      
  7 12/14/2007 Home    W *  78.82  77   44   1A  114 ( 8-12) Hamburg                14.36     18.64                      
  8 12/18/2007 Away    W *  64.52  80   43   1A  136 ( 0-20) Farragut                0.05 *   36.95                      
  9 12/20/2007 Away    W *  69.17  63   32   1A  132 ( 4-17) South Page              4.70 *   26.30                      
 10 01/03/2008 Home    W *  68.65  81   36   1A  136 ( 0-20) Farragut                4.19 *   40.81                      
 11 01/04/2008 Home    W *  73.32  77   55   2A  124 ( 9-12) Clarinda Academy        8.86     13.14                      
 12 01/05/2008 Home    L *  39.93  43   67   1A   58 (16- 5) Stanton               -24.53      0.53  was 12/01 now 12/15 now 01/05
 13 01/08/2008 Away    W *  90.48  74   52   1A   47 (15- 8) Villisca               26.02     -4.02                      
 14 01/10/2008 Home    W    64.46  65   54   EX   87 ( 0- 1) Omaha Concordia NE      0.00     11.00                      
 15 01/15/2008 Away    L *  49.19  43   49   2A  124 ( 9-12) Clarinda Academy      -15.27      9.27  Corner Conference Tournament
 16 01/21/2008 Away    L    52.28  40   59   EX   64 ( 2- 0) Hopkins West Nodaway  -12.18     -6.82                      
 17 01/22/2008 Home    W *  61.62  58   38   1A  124 ( 6-15) Sidney                 -2.84     22.84                      
 18 01/25/2008 Away    L *  55.18  38   42   1A   81 ( 9-11) Malvern East Mills     -9.28      5.28                      
 19 01/29/2008 Home    L *  50.87  45   47   1A   96 ( 9-13) Tabor Fremont-Mills   -13.59     11.59                      
 20 02/14/2008 Neutral W *  68.55  74   49   1A  124 ( 6-15) Sidney                  4.09     20.91                      
 21 02/19/2008 Neutral W *  61.25  51   47   1A   81 ( 9-11) Malvern East Mills     -3.21      7.21                      
 22 02/21/2008 Neutral L *  61.55  43   48   1A   47 (15- 8) Villisca               -2.91     -2.09                      
      Averages              64.46  59.4 47.0

Best game:   90.48 = 22 point win over Villisca
Worst game:  39.93 = 24 point loss to Stanton
Team stdev:  10.88