BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Grinnell

Class: 3A Class Rank: 41 Conference: (8-8) Overall: (11-11) Overall Strength =   79.60

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/27/2007 Away    L *  78.74  38   66   2A    3 (24- 2) Pella Christian         0.17 *  -28.17                      
  2 11/30/2007 Home    W *  84.47  67   52   3A   50 ( 4-16) Tama South Tama         5.89      9.11                      
  3 12/04/2007 Away    L *  68.20  40   60   4A   36 (17- 6) Oskaloosa             -10.37     -9.63                      
  4 12/07/2007 Home    W *  97.20  65   29   3A   61 ( 2-19) Knoxville              18.62     17.38                      
  5 12/08/2007 Away    L    82.57  50   64   3A    7 (19- 4) Waverly-Shell Rock      3.99    -17.99                      
  6 12/14/2007 Home    L *  72.79  35   53   3A   11 (16- 6) Norwalk                -5.78    -12.22                      
  7 12/18/2007 Home    L    72.05  41   63   3A    5 (12-11) Cedar Rapids Xavier    -6.53    -15.47                      
  8 12/20/2007 Away    L *  71.58  53   60   4A   48 ( 7-14) Newton                 -6.99     -0.01  was 12/11 now 12/20 
  9 12/21/2007 Home    W    79.34  48   42   3A   46 ( 5-17) Vinton-Shellsburg       0.77      5.23                      
 10 01/04/2008 Away    L *  64.84  55   77   3A   26 (13- 8) Pella                 -13.73     -8.27                      
 11 01/08/2008 Home    W *  81.34  54   49   4A   47 ( 6-17) Boone                   2.77      2.23                      
 12 01/11/2008 Home    L *  57.88  23   68   2A    3 (24- 2) Pella Christian       -20.70 *  -24.30                      
 13 01/12/2008 Home    W    81.09  52   31   3A   59 ( 8-14) Chariton                2.52     18.48                      
 14 01/15/2008 Away    W *  77.33  63   59   3A   50 ( 4-16) Tama South Tama        -1.24      5.24                      
 15 01/18/2008 Home    W *  88.33  46   42   4A   36 (17- 6) Oskaloosa               9.76     -5.76                      
 16 01/22/2008 Away    W *  72.06  39   32   3A   61 ( 2-19) Knoxville              -6.51     13.51                      
 17 01/25/2008 Home    W *  79.72  52   47   4A   48 ( 7-14) Newton                  1.14      3.86                      
 18 01/31/2008 Away    W *  99.66  67   62   3A   11 (16- 6) Norwalk                21.08    -16.08  was 01/29 now 01/31 
 19 02/07/2008 Home    L *  79.98  64   67   3A   26 (13- 8) Pella                   1.40     -4.40  was 02/05 now 02/07 
 20 02/08/2008 Away    L *  77.21  48   51   4A   47 ( 6-17) Boone                  -1.37     -1.63                      
 21 02/14/2008 Away    W    94.56  76   57   3A   49 ( 8-13) Washington             15.98      3.02                      
 22 02/20/2008 Home    L    67.69  46   50   3A   49 ( 8-13) Washington            -10.88      6.88                      
      Averages              78.57  51.0 53.7

Best game:   99.66 = 5 point win over Norwalk
Worst game:  57.88 = 45 point loss to Pella Christian
Team stdev:  10.29