BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
-----------------------------------------------
Johnston
Class: 4A Class Rank: 14 Conference: (13-10) Overall: (13-10) Overall Strength = 103.55
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/27/2007 Home W * 96.53 52 46 4A 26 ( 7-16) Des Moines East -7.02 13.02
2 11/30/2007 Away W * 102.80 57 50 4A 25 ( 8-14) Des Moines Roosevelt -0.75 7.75
3 12/04/2007 Home L * 90.79 51 58 4A 20 (11-11) WDM Valley -12.76 5.76
4 12/07/2007 Away L * 103.41 52 55 4A 13 (14- 8) Ankeny -0.14 -2.86
5 12/13/2007 Away L * 106.45 49 64 4A 2 (20- 3) Ames 2.90 -17.90 was 12/11 now 12/13
6 12/14/2007 Away W * 110.56 54 37 4A 29 ( 4-17) Indianola 7.01 9.99
7 12/18/2007 Home W * 107.38 65 47 4A 31 (10-12) Ottumwa 3.83 14.17
8 12/21/2007 Home L * 94.03 51 58 4A 15 (13- 9) Urbandale -9.52 2.52
9 01/04/2008 Away L * 91.44 50 56 4A 24 ( 7-16) WDM Dowling -12.11 6.11
10 01/08/2008 Home W * 116.55 76 62 4A 13 (14- 8) Ankeny 13.00 1.00
11 01/11/2008 Home L * 94.32 57 66 4A 12 (18- 6) Southeast Polk -9.23 0.23
12 01/15/2008 Away W * 109.51 50 45 4A 16 (14- 9) Des Moines Hoover 5.96 -0.96
13 01/18/2008 Home W * 99.69 85 75 4A 29 ( 4-17) Indianola -3.86 13.86
14 01/22/2008 Home W * 106.32 68 44 4A 37 ( 3-18) Mason City 2.77 21.23
15 01/25/2008 Away L * 103.90 42 43 4A 15 (13- 9) Urbandale 0.35 -1.35
16 02/01/2008 Home W * 102.57 55 46 4A 24 ( 7-16) WDM Dowling -0.98 9.98
17 02/07/2008 Away L * 97.15 37 49 4A 7 (19- 5) Marshalltown -6.40 -5.60 was 01/29 now 02/07
18 02/08/2008 Away W * 111.18 59 55 4A 12 (18- 6) Southeast Polk 7.63 -3.63
19 02/11/2008 Home W * 122.01 86 52 4A 30 ( 5-18) Des Moines North 18.46 15.54 was 02/05 now 02/11
20 02/12/2008 Home L * 100.07 62 67 4A 10 (18- 6) Waukee -3.48 -1.52
21 02/15/2008 Away W * 112.01 67 45 4A 32 ( 5-16) Fort Dodge 8.46 13.54
22 02/18/2008 Home W * 105.79 68 60 4A 20 (11-11) WDM Valley 2.24 5.76
23 02/22/2008 Away L * 97.18 38 48 4A 12 (18- 6) Southeast Polk -6.37 -3.63
Averages 103.55 57.9 53.4
Best game: 122.01 = 34 point win over Des Moines North
Worst game: 90.79 = 7 point loss to West Des Moines Valley
Team stdev: 7.99