BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Marshalltown

Class: 4A Class Rank: 7 Conference: (17-4) Overall: (19-5) Overall Strength =  108.70

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/27/2007 Away    W * 107.51  51   48   4A   16 (14- 9) Des Moines Hoover       0.29      2.71                      
  2 11/30/2007 Home    L * 100.32  50   53   4A   12 (18- 6) Southeast Polk         -6.90      3.90                      
  3 12/07/2007 Home    W * 125.59  76   68   4A    2 (20- 3) Ames                   18.37    -10.37                      
  4 12/14/2007 Away    W * 114.01  81   57   4A   32 ( 5-16) Fort Dodge              6.79     17.21                      
  5 12/18/2007 Away    W * 109.80  67   53   4A   25 ( 8-14) Des Moines Roosevelt    2.58     11.42                      
  6 01/04/2008 Home    L *  96.07  52   61   4A   10 (18- 6) Waukee                -11.15      2.15                      
  7 01/05/2008 Away    W    82.58  74   70   4A   48 ( 7-14) Newton                -24.64 *   28.64                      
  8 01/08/2008 Away    L * 111.45  46   56   4A    2 (20- 3) Ames                    4.23    -14.23                      
  9 01/11/2008 Home    W * 102.79  64   59   4A   20 (11-11) WDM Valley             -4.43      9.43                      
 10 01/12/2008 Away    W *  95.19  54   45   4A   37 ( 3-18) Mason City            -12.03     21.03  was 12/21 now 01/12 
 11 01/15/2008 Home    W * 117.03  51   35   4A   15 (13- 9) Urbandale               9.81      6.19                      
 12 01/22/2008 Away    W * 102.40  66   58   4A   26 ( 7-16) Des Moines East        -4.82     12.82                      
 13 01/25/2008 Home    W * 101.32  58   39   4A   37 ( 3-18) Mason City             -5.90 *   24.90                      
 14 01/31/2008 Home    W *  96.14  58   48   4A   32 ( 5-16) Fort Dodge            -11.08     21.08  was 01/18 now 01/21 now 01/31
 15 02/01/2008 Away    W * 119.94  69   58   4A   10 (18- 6) Waukee                 12.72     -1.72                      
 16 02/07/2008 Home    W * 113.62  49   37   4A   14 (13-10) Johnston                6.40      5.60  was 01/29 now 02/07 
 17 02/08/2008 Away    L *  98.66  47   50   4A   20 (11-11) WDM Valley             -8.56      5.56                      
 18 02/12/2008 Away    W * 105.88  81   67   4A   30 ( 5-18) Des Moines North       -1.34     15.34                      
 19 02/14/2008 Away    W * 121.56  79   51   4A   29 ( 4-17) Indianola              14.34     13.66  was 12/11 now 02/04 now 02/14
 20 02/15/2008 Home    W   106.72  69   37   4A   48 ( 7-14) Newton                 -0.50 *   32.50                      
 21 02/16/2008 Away    W * 116.14  53   45   4A    9 (19- 4) Des Moines Lincoln      8.92     -0.92  was 02/05 now 02/11 now maybe 2/16
 22 02/22/2008 Home    W * 103.03  59   57   4A   15 (13- 9) Urbandale              -4.19      6.19                      
 23 02/26/2008 Neutral W * 120.52  51   50   4A    2 (20- 3) Ames                   13.30    -12.30                      
 24 03/05/2008 Neutral L   105.02  48   54   4A    5 (20- 5) Marion Linn-Mar        -2.20     -3.80                      
      Averages             107.22  60.5 52.3

Best game:  125.59 = 8 point win over Ames
Worst game:  82.58 = 4 point win over Newton
Team stdev:  10.20