BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Ottumwa

Class: 4A Class Rank: 31 Conference: (4-11) Overall: (10-12) Overall Strength =   90.69

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/27/2007 Away    L *  89.56  37   41   4A   29 ( 4-17) Indianola              -1.76     -2.24                      
  2 11/30/2007 Away    W   101.43  67   34   3A   57 ( 7-14) Centerville            10.11     22.89                      
  3 12/04/2007 Home    W    88.05  61   27   3A   63 ( 2-18) Fort Madison           -3.26 *   37.26                      
  4 12/07/2007 Home    L *  91.28  40   53   4A    9 (19- 4) Des Moines Lincoln     -0.04    -12.96                      
  5 12/14/2007 Home    L *  68.53  35   57   4A   26 ( 7-16) Des Moines East       -22.79      0.79                      
  6 12/18/2007 Away    L *  87.48  47   65   4A   14 (13-10) Johnston               -3.83    -14.17                      
  7 12/20/2007 Away    L *  86.80  47   56   4A   25 ( 8-14) Des Moines Roosevelt   -4.51     -4.49                      
  8 01/04/2008 Home    L *  82.01  62   68   4A   30 ( 5-18) Des Moines North       -9.30      3.30                      
  9 01/08/2008 Away    L *  93.14  44   59   4A    9 (19- 4) Des Moines Lincoln      1.83    -16.83                      
 10 01/11/2008 Away    L *  79.51  29   54   4A   16 (14- 9) Des Moines Hoover     -11.80    -13.20                      
 11 01/15/2008 Home    W    84.36  58   57   3A   21 (15- 7) Keokuk                 -6.95      7.95                      
 12 01/18/2008 Away    W *  95.40  52   51   4A   26 ( 7-16) Des Moines East         4.08     -3.08                      
 13 01/22/2008 Away    W    92.31  62   53   3A   35 (15- 9) Fairfield               1.00      8.00                      
 14 01/25/2008 Home    W *  93.94  46   44   4A   25 ( 8-14) Des Moines Roosevelt    2.62     -0.62                      
 15 02/01/2008 Away    W * 105.88  77   63   4A   30 ( 5-18) Des Moines North       14.56     -0.56                      
 16 02/02/2008 Home    L *  86.03  36   51   4A   15 (13- 9) Urbandale              -5.29     -9.71  was 12/11 now 02/02 
 17 02/07/2008 Home    L *  90.57  45   48   4A   24 ( 7-16) WDM Dowling            -0.74     -2.26  was 01/29 now 02/07 
 18 02/08/2008 Home    W * 111.65  73   62   4A   16 (14- 9) Des Moines Hoover      20.33     -9.33                      
 19 02/12/2008 Away    W    85.39  57   54   3A   40 (13-10) Mount Pleasant         -5.92      8.92                      
 20 02/14/2008 Home    L *  92.32  43   54   4A   12 (18- 6) Southeast Polk          1.00    -12.00  was 02/15 now 02/14 
 21 02/20/2008 Home    W    96.30  71   58   4A   38 ( 8-14) Muscatine               4.99      8.01                      
 22 02/22/2008 Away    L   106.96  52   62   4A    1 (25- 1) Iowa City High         15.65 *  -25.65                      
      Averages              91.31  51.9 53.2

Best game:  111.65 = 11 point win over Des Moines Hoover
Worst game:  68.53 = 22 point loss to Des Moines East
Team stdev:   9.59