BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Paton-Churdan

Class: 1A Class Rank: 125 Conference: (5-10) Overall: (5-15) Overall Strength =   44.15

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/27/2007 Home    L    47.26  51   59   1A   90 ( 5-16) Glidden-Ralston         2.98    -10.98                      
  2 11/30/2007 Away    L *  32.98  42   60   1A  112 (10-12) Ankeny Christian      -11.30     -6.70                      
  3 12/07/2007 Away    L *  26.92  43   79   1A   66 (19- 5) Orient-Macksburg      -17.36    -18.64                      
  4 12/14/2007 Away    L *  44.70  40   52   1A   95 (11-12) Elk Horn-Kimballton     0.42    -12.42                      
  5 12/18/2007 Home    W *  56.35  62   48   1A  121 ( 3-18) Anita CAM              12.07      1.93                      
  6 12/21/2007 Home    W *  58.27  64   55   1A  101 ( 7-13) Walnut                 13.99     -4.99                      
  7 01/04/2008 Home    W *  57.85  64   34   1A  137 ( 3-18) WDM Iowa Christian     13.57     16.43                      
  8 01/05/2008 Away    L *  46.71  53   75   1A   42 (19- 3) Adair-Casey             2.43 *  -24.43                      
  9 01/08/2008 Home    L *  43.12  42   46   1A  112 (10-12) Ankeny Christian       -1.16     -2.84                      
 10 01/10/2008 Home    L *  47.85  50   60   1A   78 (12- 9) Exira                   3.57    -13.57  was 12/11 now 01/10 
 11 01/12/2008 Home    L    34.01  52   72   1A   89 ( 8-15) Southeast Webster     -10.28     -9.72                      
 12 01/15/2008 Home    L *  44.05  38   53   1A   66 (19- 5) Orient-Macksburg       -0.23    -14.77                      
 13 01/19/2008 Home    L    30.37  34   65   2A  100 ( 6-13) Prairie Valley        -13.91    -17.09                      
 14 01/22/2008 Home    L *  44.84  43   51   1A   95 (11-12) Elk Horn-Kimballton     0.56     -8.56                      
 15 01/24/2008 Away    L *  37.71  35   59   1A   78 (12- 9) Exira                  -6.57    -17.43  was 01/18 now 01/24 
 16 01/25/2008 Away    W *  50.22  74   70   1A  121 ( 3-18) Anita CAM               5.94     -1.94                      
 17 02/01/2008 Away    W *  35.72  43   39   1A  137 ( 3-18) WDM Iowa Christian     -8.56     12.56                      
 18 02/02/2008 Home    L    43.65  42   57   1A   72 ( 7-14) East Greene            -0.63    -14.37                      
 19 02/08/2008 Home    L *  56.84  44   52   1A   42 (19- 3) Adair-Casey            12.56    -20.56  was 02/05 now 02/07 
 20 02/12/2008 Neutral L    46.19  43   54   1A   90 ( 5-16) Glidden-Ralston         1.91    -12.91                      
      Averages              44.28  48.0 57.0

Best game:   58.27 = 9 point win over Walnut
Worst game:  26.92 = 36 point loss to Orient-Macksburg
Team stdev:   9.17