BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Wilton

Class: 2A Class Rank: 45 Conference: (10-9) Overall: (12-10) Overall Strength =   78.93

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2007 Home    W *  78.78  76   66   2A   79 ( 5-16) West Liberty           -0.39     10.39                      
  2 12/04/2007 Away    W *  82.45  65   55   2A   70 ( 7-16) Iowa City Regina        3.28      6.72                      
  3 12/07/2007 Home    L *  83.49  61   67   2A   14 (17- 6) Wellman Mid-Prairie     4.32    -10.32                      
  4 12/14/2007 Away    W *  84.78  71   62   3A   47 ( 5-15) Clear Creek-Amana       5.61      3.39                      
  5 12/18/2007 Home    W *  82.24  66   52   2A   82 ( 3-17) West Branch             3.07     10.93                      
  6 12/19/2007 Away    L *  84.25  53   72   2A    2 (23- 2) Solon                   5.08 *  -24.08  was 12/11 now 12/18 now 12/19
  7 01/04/2008 Away    L *  82.79  43   59   3A   10 (17- 5) Mount Vernon            3.62    -19.62                      
  8 01/05/2008 Home    W *  82.05  81   65   2A   83 ( 5-15) Durant                  2.88     13.12                      
  9 01/08/2008 Away    L *  87.81  56   63   2A   10 (19- 4) Tipton                  8.64    -15.64                      
 10 01/12/2008 Home    W    85.82  92   63   2A  112 ( 9-15) Louisa-Muscatine        6.65     22.35                      
 11 01/15/2008 Away    W *  73.65  69   68   2A   79 ( 5-16) West Liberty           -5.52      6.52                      
 12 01/18/2008 Home    L *  63.58  52   57   2A   70 ( 7-16) Iowa City Regina      -15.59     10.59                      
 13 01/19/2008 Home    L *  79.95  49   60   2A   10 (19- 4) Tipton                  0.78    -11.78                      
 14 01/22/2008 Away    L *  84.36  59   68   2A   14 (17- 6) Wellman Mid-Prairie     5.19    -14.19                      
 15 01/25/2008 Home    L *  64.38  50   85   2A    2 (23- 2) Solon                 -14.79    -20.21                      
 16 01/26/2008 Home    L *  68.83  55   72   3A   19 (10-11) Williamsburg          -10.34     -6.66  was 12/21 now 01/26 
 17 01/30/2008 Home    W *  75.91  60   56   3A   47 ( 5-15) Clear Creek-Amana      -3.25      7.25  was 01/29 now 01/30 
 18 02/01/2008 Away    W *  79.10  63   56   2A   82 ( 3-17) West Branch            -0.07      7.07                      
 19 02/08/2008 Home    W * 102.93  70   62   3A   10 (17- 5) Mount Vernon           23.76    -15.76                      
 20 02/09/2008 Away    W *  78.92  61   52   2A   83 ( 5-15) Durant                 -0.25      9.25                      
 21 02/13/2008 Away    W    77.62  58   52   2A   77 ( 9-10) Camanche               -1.55      7.55                      
 22 02/14/2008 Neutral L    58.02  41   79   2A    6 (14-10) Davenport Assumption  -21.14    -16.86                      
      Averages              79.17  61.4 63.2

Best game:  102.93 = 8 point win over Mount Vernon
Worst game:  58.02 = 38 point loss to Davenport Assumption
Team stdev:   9.48