BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Aurelia

Class: 1A Class Rank: 98 Conference: (2-10) Overall: (4-17) Overall Strength =   57.04

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/01/2008 Away    L    45.74  36   71   1A   13 (20- 4) Galva-Holstein        -10.33 *  -24.67                      
  2 12/05/2008 Away    L *  41.04  37   82   2A   33 (17- 5) Sioux Central         -15.03 *  -29.97                      
  3 12/12/2008 Home    L *  37.20  45   80   1A   29 (11-10) Alta                  -18.87    -16.13                      
  4 12/13/2008 Away    L    50.01  31   54   1A   41 (18- 5) Ruthven-Ayrshire       -6.07    -16.93                      
  5 12/18/2008 Home    L    48.55  59   70   1A   68 (11-11) Granville Spalding     -7.52     -3.48                      
  6 01/06/2009 Home    W *  63.23  50   34   1A  111 ( 1-18) Schaller-Crestland      7.15      8.85                      
  7 01/09/2009 Home    L *  55.97  68   73   1A   69 ( 7-15) Newell-Fonda           -0.11     -4.89                      
  8 01/15/2009 Away    L    68.22  61   70   1A   26 (12- 8) River Valley           12.15    -21.15                      
  9 01/16/2009 Home    L *  62.95  46   66   2A   33 (17- 5) Sioux Central           6.88 *  -26.88                      
 10 01/20/2009 Home    L *  72.79  39   48   1A    5 (22- 4) Laurens-Marathon       16.72 *  -25.72                      
 11 01/23/2009 Away    L *  55.29  35   55   1A   29 (11-10) Alta                   -0.78    -19.22                      
 12 01/24/2009 Home    L *  67.92  62   63   1A   43 (12-10) Storm Lake St Mary     11.85    -12.85  was 12/19 now 01/24 
 13 01/27/2009 Away    L *  41.88  32   75   1A    5 (22- 4) Laurens-Marathon      -14.19 *  -28.81  was 12/09 now 01/27 
 14 01/30/2009 Away    L *  30.01  46   88   1A   43 (12-10) Storm Lake St Mary    -26.06    -15.94                      
 15 01/31/2009 Home    W    77.78  58   40   1A   75 ( 5-16) Rockwell City-Lytton   21.71     -3.71  was 01/13 now 01/31 
 16 02/03/2009 Away    W *  63.31  47   34   1A  111 ( 1-18) Schaller-Crestland      7.24      5.76                      
 17 02/05/2009 Home    W    68.18  67   51   1A  107 ( 3-19) Marcus MMC             12.11      3.89                      
 18 02/06/2009 Away    L *  40.05  42   66   1A   69 ( 7-15) Newell-Fonda          -16.02     -7.98                      
 19 02/10/2009 Home    L    72.49  53   58   1A   17 (20- 3) Clay Central-Everly    16.41    -21.41                      
 20 02/13/2009 Away    L    57.34  73   75   1A   93 (10-13) Charter Oak-Ute         1.27     -3.27                      
 21 02/19/2009 Away    L    57.58  36   59   1A   17 (20- 3) Clay Central-Everly     1.50 *  -24.50                      
      Averages              56.07  48.7 62.5

Best game:   77.78 = 18 point win over Rockwell City-Lytton
Worst game:  30.01 = 42 point loss to Storm Lake St Mary
Team stdev:  13.29