BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Johnston

Class: 4A Class Rank: 11 Conference: (18-6) Overall: (20-6) Overall Strength =  104.52

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2008 Away    W *  95.58  63   55   4A   40 ( 7-16) Des Moines North       -9.56     17.56                      
  2 12/05/2008 Home    W *  99.15  63   52   4A   36 ( 9-14) Des Moines Lincoln     -5.99     16.99                      
  3 12/12/2008 Away    W * 130.98  82   43   4A   33 ( 7-15) Ankeny                 25.84     13.16                      
  4 12/19/2008 Home    W * 111.10  61   47   4A   22 (11-12) WDM Dowling             5.97      8.03                      
  5 01/02/2009 Home    L *  78.30  45   74   4A    5 (18- 6) Urbandale             -26.84     -2.16                      
  6 01/09/2009 Away    W * 113.59  78   71   4A   10 (18- 6) Southeast Polk          8.45     -1.45                      
  7 01/10/2009 Away    W * 106.47  80   52   4A   46 ( 1-22) Des Moines East         1.33 *   26.67                      
  8 01/13/2009 Home    W * 118.79  85   46   4A   44 ( 2-20) Indianola              13.65 *   25.35                      
  9 01/16/2009 Home    W * 116.89  82   54   4A   33 ( 7-15) Ankeny                 11.75     16.25                      
 10 01/17/2009 Away    L *  91.32  40   52   4A   16 (16- 6) Marshalltown          -13.82      1.82  was 12/09 now 01/17 
 11 01/20/2009 Home    W * 107.79  69   46   4A   39 (11-11) Ottumwa                 2.65     20.35                      
 12 01/23/2009 Away    W * 108.19  58   50   4A   22 (11-12) WDM Dowling             3.05      4.95                      
 13 01/27/2009 Away    W * 104.83  62   46   4A   37 ( 7-15) Fort Dodge             -0.31     16.31                      
 14 01/30/2009 Away    L * 102.38  55   63   4A    5 (18- 6) Urbandale              -2.76     -5.24                      
 15 02/03/2009 Home    W *  98.65  60   59   4A   20 (14- 9) Waukee                 -6.49      7.49                      
 16 02/06/2009 Home    L *  95.50  83   91   4A   10 (18- 6) Southeast Polk         -9.64      1.64                      
 17 02/07/2009 Home    W * 100.81  72   56   4A   42 ( 5-18) Mason City             -4.33     20.33  was 12/16 now 02/07 
 18 02/10/2009 Away    W * 104.07  52   45   4A   23 (13- 9) Des Moines Roosevelt   -1.06      8.06                      
 19 02/16/2009 Away    W * 110.88  71   43   4A   44 ( 2-20) Indianola               5.74     22.26  was 02/13 now 02/16 
 20 02/17/2009 Away    L *  78.47  49   97   4A    1 (26- 0) Ames                  -26.67    -21.33                      
 21 02/20/2009 Home    W *  98.35  58   49   4A   30 ( 9-13) WDM Valley             -6.79     15.79                      
 22 02/27/2009 Home    W   105.15  68   52   4A   29 (15- 8) Oskaloosa               0.01     15.99                      
 23 03/03/2009 Neutral W * 112.05  67   60   4A   10 (18- 6) Southeast Polk          6.91      0.09                      
 24 03/11/2009 Neutral W * 114.84  43   37   4A    5 (18- 6) Urbandale               9.70     -3.70                      
 25 03/13/2009 Neutral L * 111.93  39   52   4A    1 (26- 0) Ames                    6.79    -19.79                      
 26 03/14/2009 Neutral W   117.56  46   41   4A    3 (21- 5) Bettendorf             12.42     -7.42                      
      Averages             105.14  62.7 55.1

Best game:  130.98 = 39 point win over Ankeny
Worst game:  78.30 = 29 point loss to Urbandale
Team stdev:  11.75