BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
-----------------------------------------------
Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 39 Conference: (6-10) Overall: (11-11) Overall Strength = 86.34
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/02/2008 Home W 82.37 47 37 3A 55 (10-12) Centerville -3.97 13.97
2 12/05/2008 Away L * 94.59 34 46 4A 10 (18- 6) Southeast Polk 8.25 -20.25
3 12/06/2008 Home W 76.41 46 34 3A 60 ( 5-16) Fairfield -9.93 21.93
4 12/12/2008 Away W * 94.58 65 58 4A 40 ( 7-16) Des Moines North 8.24 -1.24
5 12/13/2008 Home W * 86.79 57 50 4A 44 ( 2-20) Indianola 0.46 6.54 was 12/09 now 12/13
6 12/20/2008 Away L * 89.24 45 47 4A 36 ( 9-14) Des Moines Lincoln 2.90 -4.90 was 12/19 now 12/20
7 01/06/2009 Home L * 80.99 57 70 4A 23 (13- 9) Des Moines Roosevelt -5.35 -7.65
8 01/09/2009 Away L * 85.90 49 66 4A 17 (17- 6) Des Moines Hoover -0.44 -16.56
9 01/10/2009 Away W * 99.43 62 55 4A 30 ( 9-13) WDM Valley 13.10 -6.10
10 01/13/2009 Home W * 84.38 54 45 4A 46 ( 1-22) Des Moines East -1.96 10.96
11 01/14/2009 Away W 88.91 60 42 3A 58 ( 5-18) Fort Madison 2.57 15.43 was 12/16 now 01/14
12 01/16/2009 Home L * 65.49 62 81 4A 40 ( 7-16) Des Moines North -20.85 1.85
13 01/20/2009 Away L * 83.68 46 69 4A 11 (20- 6) Johnston -2.65 -20.35
14 01/23/2009 Home W * 95.15 57 50 4A 36 ( 9-14) Des Moines Lincoln 8.81 -1.81
15 01/27/2009 Home L * 84.30 46 69 4A 5 (18- 6) Urbandale -2.04 -20.96
16 01/30/2009 Away L * 88.07 49 58 4A 23 (13- 9) Des Moines Roosevelt 1.74 -10.74
17 02/03/2009 Away W 88.79 58 49 3A 49 (12-11) Keokuk 2.45 6.55
18 02/06/2009 Home L * 87.81 52 64 4A 17 (17- 6) Des Moines Hoover 1.47 -13.47
19 02/13/2009 Away W * 93.47 61 46 4A 46 ( 1-22) Des Moines East 7.13 7.87
20 02/17/2009 Home L * 74.89 55 69 4A 33 ( 7-15) Ankeny -11.45 -2.55
21 02/19/2009 Home W 93.97 69 66 3A 17 (19- 5) Mount Pleasant 7.63 -4.63
22 02/23/2009 Away L 80.24 52 64 4A 29 (15- 8) Oskaloosa -6.10 -5.90
Averages 86.34 53.8 56.1
Best game: 99.43 = 7 point win over West Des Moines Valley
Worst game: 65.49 = 19 point loss to Des Moines North
Team stdev: 7.81