BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Sumner-Fredericksburg

Class: 2A Class Rank: 20 Conference: (16-0) Overall: (23-3) Overall Strength =   86.53

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/01/2008 Away    W   106.19  79   25   2A  123 ( 3-17) Nashua-Plainfield      17.27 *   36.73                      
  2 12/02/2008 Neutral L    80.91  44   50   3A   26 (17- 7) New Hampton            -8.01      2.01                      
  3 12/05/2008 Home    L    84.19  46   52   3A   19 (18- 2) Cresco Crestwood       -4.74     -1.26                      
  4 12/12/2008 Home    W *  86.11  61   46   2A   64 ( 9-13) Monona MFL MarMac      -2.81     17.81                      
  5 01/03/2009 Home    W    78.34  53   52   1A   15 (15-10) Wapsie Valley         -10.58     11.58                      
  6 01/06/2009 Away    W *  83.27  61   41   1A   72 ( 6-15) Elgin Valley           -5.65 *   25.65                      
  7 01/10/2009 Home    W *  94.71  74   48   2A   78 (10-11) Turkey Valley           5.79     20.21  was 12/16 now 01/10 
  8 01/13/2009 Away    W * 105.02  83   41   2A  101 ( 4-17) North Fayette          16.09 *   25.91                      
  9 01/16/2009 Home    W *  94.94  71   59   2A   36 (14- 7) South Winneshiek        6.01      5.99                      
 10 01/17/2009 Away    W *  80.10  45   38   1A   36 (14- 8) Postville              -8.82     15.82  was 12/19 now 01/17 
 11 01/20/2009 Away    W *  91.07  63   54   1A   12 (19- 5) Maynard West Central    2.14      6.86                      
 12 01/22/2009 Away    W *  82.81  71   52   2A  104 ( 8-15) Clayton Ridge          -6.11 *   25.11  was 12/09 now 01/22 
 13 01/23/2009 Home    W *  85.01  40   25   1A   36 (14- 8) Postville              -3.91     18.91                      
 14 01/27/2009 Away    W *  96.66  65   31   1A   71 ( 6-14) Elkader Central         7.73 *   26.27                      
 15 01/30/2009 Home    W *  84.18  58   34   1A   72 ( 6-15) Elgin Valley           -4.74 *   28.74                      
 16 02/02/2009 Home    W * 101.57  68   26   1A   71 ( 6-14) Elkader Central        12.65 *   29.35  was 01/09 now 02/02 
 17 02/03/2009 Away    W *  75.03  60   51   1A   59 ( 7-16) Lansing Kee           -13.89     22.89                      
 18 02/06/2009 Home    W *  87.93  71   43   2A  101 ( 4-17) North Fayette          -1.00 *   29.00                      
 19 02/07/2009 Away    W    85.87  72   70   3A   38 ( 6-16) Waverly-Shell Rock     -3.05      5.05                      
 20 02/10/2009 Away    W * 106.03  68   48   2A   36 (14- 7) South Winneshiek       17.10      2.90                      
 21 02/13/2009 Home    W *  95.98  68   51   1A   12 (19- 5) Maynard West Central    7.05      9.95                      
 22 02/16/2009 Home    W    93.45  73   40   2A  103 ( 3-19) Jesup                   4.52 *   28.48                      
 23 02/19/2009 Home    W    78.08  59   54   2A   57 (11-11) Denver                -10.84     15.84                      
 24 02/24/2009 Neutral W    86.69  49   48   2A   24 (17- 5) Gladbrook-Reinbeck     -2.24      3.24                      
 25 03/02/2009 Neutral W    91.38  63   60   2A   18 (21- 4) Garner-Hayfield         2.46      0.54                      
 26 03/10/2009 Neutral L    76.51  46   77   2A    3 (26- 2) Pella Christian       -12.42    -18.58                      
      Averages              88.92  62.0 46.8

Best game:  106.19 = 54 point win over Nashua-Plainfield
Worst game:  75.03 = 9 point win over Lansing Kee
Team stdev:   9.15