BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Winterset

Class: 3A Class Rank: 62 Conference: (1-15) Overall: (2-18) Overall Strength =   63.05

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2008 Home    L *  58.31  42   66   3A   33 (10-11) Dallas Center-Grimes   -6.23    -17.77                      
  2 12/11/2008 Home    L *  74.04  48   69   3A    9 (19- 6) Huxley Ballard          9.50 *  -30.50  was 12/09 now 12/11 
  3 12/12/2008 Away    L *  67.39  35   67   3A    7 (22- 4) Carroll                 2.85 *  -34.85                      
  4 12/23/2008 Home    W *  70.91  54   52   3A   57 ( 4-17) Nevada                  6.36     -4.36  was 12/19 now 12/23 
  5 01/06/2009 Away    L *  70.51  40   55   3A   36 (14- 9) Carlisle                5.96    -20.96                      
  6 01/10/2009 Away    L *  50.09  35   66   3A   44 ( 7-15) Perry                 -14.46    -16.54  was 12/16 now 01/10 
  7 01/16/2009 Away    L *  70.35  31   61   3A    8 (23- 2) Adel ADM                5.81 *  -35.81                      
  8 01/17/2009 Away    L *  64.40  35   56   3A   33 (10-11) Dallas Center-Grimes   -0.14    -20.86                      
  9 01/19/2009 Away    L *  71.29  57   63   3A   51 (10-12) Saydel                  6.74    -12.74  was 01/09 now 01/12 now 01/19
 10 01/20/2009 Away    L *  55.13  33   76   3A    9 (19- 6) Huxley Ballard         -9.42 *  -33.58                      
 11 01/23/2009 Home    L *  58.30  40   78   3A    7 (22- 4) Carroll                -6.24 *  -31.76                      
 12 01/24/2009 Home    L    32.03  39   90   3A   29 (10-13) Creston               -32.51    -18.49                      
 13 01/27/2009 Home    L *  74.00  45   49   3A   44 ( 7-15) Perry                   9.45    -13.45                      
 14 01/30/2009 Away    L *  62.00  41   51   3A   57 ( 4-17) Nevada                 -2.55     -7.45                      
 15 02/03/2009 Home    L *  64.20  52   62   3A   51 (10-12) Saydel                 -0.35     -9.65                      
 16 02/06/2009 Home    L *  62.26  38   73   3A    8 (23- 2) Adel ADM               -2.28 *  -32.72                      
 17 02/07/2009 Away    W    78.45  57   37   3A   64 ( 5-17) Osceola Clarke         13.91      6.09                      
 18 02/10/2009 Home    L *  60.42  37   59   3A   36 (14- 9) Carlisle               -4.13    -17.87                      
 19 02/14/2009 Home    L    70.91  56   89   3A    2 (24- 3) Norwalk                 6.37 *  -39.37                      
 20 02/23/2009 Away    L    75.90  45   71   3A    5 (23- 4) Harlan                 11.36 *  -37.36                      
      Averages              64.54  43.0 64.5

Best game:   78.45 = 20 point win over Osceola Clarke
Worst game:  32.03 = 51 point loss to Creston
Team stdev:  10.68