BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Ottumwa

Class: 4A Class Rank: 39 Conference: (4-13) Overall: (8-14) Overall Strength =   83.51

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/04/2009 Home    L *  78.44  45   70   4A    4 (21- 4) Southeast Polk         -5.07    -19.93                      
  2 12/05/2009 Away    W    89.02  54   29   3A   54 ( 4-16) Fairfield               5.52     19.48                      
  3 12/11/2009 Away    L *  89.69  52   54   4A   25 (10-13) Des Moines North        6.19     -8.19                      
  4 12/15/2009 Home    W   101.09  72   32   3A   61 ( 2-18) Fort Madison           17.58     22.42                      
  5 12/18/2009 Home    W *  90.28  66   58   4A   40 ( 4-18) Des Moines Lincoln      6.77      1.23                      
  6 12/19/2009 Away    W    71.22  53   51   3A   47 ( 9-12) Centerville           -12.29     14.29                      
  7 12/21/2009 Away    W *  80.29  63   60   4A   46 ( 2-20) Indianola              -3.22      6.22  was 12/08 now 12/21 
  8 01/04/2010 Away    L *  81.85  35   50   4A   19 (15- 8) Des Moines Roosevelt   -1.65    -13.35  was 01/05 now 01/04 
  9 01/08/2010 Home    L *  79.19  33   54   4A    8 (19- 4) Des Moines Hoover      -4.31    -16.69                      
 10 01/12/2010 Away    W *  85.16  57   52   4A   44 ( 2-19) Des Moines East         1.65      3.35                      
 11 01/15/2010 Home    L *  70.81  72   90   4A   25 (10-13) Des Moines North      -12.70     -5.30                      
 12 01/19/2010 Home    L *  77.69  27   55   4A    3 (17- 5) Johnston               -5.81    -22.19                      
 13 01/22/2010 Away    L *  75.17  42   52   4A   40 ( 4-18) Des Moines Lincoln     -8.34     -1.66                      
 14 01/26/2010 Away    L *  80.75  40   59   4A   15 (13-10) Urbandale              -2.76    -16.24                      
 15 01/29/2010 Home    L *  76.97  45   62   4A   19 (15- 8) Des Moines Roosevelt   -6.54    -10.46                      
 16 02/02/2010 Home    W    95.11  64   43   3A   32 (10-11) Keokuk                 11.60      9.40                      
 17 02/05/2010 Away    L *  91.08  34   46   4A    8 (19- 4) Des Moines Hoover       7.57    -19.57                      
 18 02/06/2010 Home    L *  82.98  53   57   4A   30 ( 6-17) WDM Valley             -0.53     -3.47                      
 19 02/12/2010 Home    W *  86.27  54   45   4A   44 ( 2-19) Des Moines East         2.76      6.24                      
 20 02/16/2010 Away    L *  87.80  56   70   4A   11 (14-10) Ankeny                  4.29    -18.29                      
 21 02/18/2010 Away    L    89.51  39   47   3A    6 (22- 3) Mount Pleasant          6.00    -14.00                      
 22 02/22/2010 Away    L *  76.80  36   61   4A   11 (14-10) Ankeny                 -6.71    -18.29                      
      Averages              83.51  49.6 54.4

Best game:  101.09 = 40 point win over Fort Madison
Worst game:  70.81 = 18 point loss to Des Moines North
Team stdev:   7.71