BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Paton-Churdan

Class: 1A Class Rank: 120 Conference: (2-15) Overall: (2-17) Overall Strength =   34.37

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/01/2009 Home    L *  36.49  46   58   1A   95 (11-10) Glidden-Ralston         2.01    -14.01                      
  2 12/04/2009 Away    L *  17.45  38   79   1A   73 (13- 9) Orient-Macksburg      -17.03    -23.97                      
  3 12/11/2009 Away    L *  53.05  39   59   1A   22 (18- 4) Elk Horn-Kimballton    18.56 *  -38.56                      
  4 12/15/2009 Home    L *  40.52  48   56   1A   89 ( 9-15) Anita CAM               6.04    -14.04                      
  5 12/18/2009 Home    W *  39.08  77   66   1A  126 ( 0-20) Walnut                  4.59      6.41                      
  6 12/22/2009 Home    L *  29.09  56   87   1A   52 (17- 5) WDM Iowa Christian     -5.40 *  -25.60                      
  7 01/05/2010 Away    L *  25.70  46   52   1A  125 ( 4-15) Adair-Casey            -8.79      2.79                      
  8 01/12/2010 Away    L *  48.38  39   42   1A   95 (11-10) Glidden-Ralston        13.89    -16.89                      
  9 01/15/2010 Home    L *  27.57  43   71   1A   73 (13- 9) Orient-Macksburg       -6.92    -21.08                      
 10 01/16/2010 Home    L    25.28  55   73   1A  103 ( 7-14) Southeast Webster      -9.21     -8.79                      
 11 01/21/2010 Away    L *  34.06  41   87   1A   20 (24- 2) Ankeny Christian       -0.43 *  -45.57  was 01/08 now 01/21 
 12 01/22/2010 Home    L *  28.16  40   82   1A   22 (18- 4) Elk Horn-Kimballton    -6.33 *  -35.67                      
 13 01/28/2010 Home    L *  33.93  48   56   1A  102 ( 8-13) Exira                  -0.56     -7.44  was 12/08 now 01/28 
 14 01/29/2010 Away    W *  54.96  61   37   1A  126 ( 0-20) Walnut                 20.48      3.52                      
 15 02/02/2010 Away    L *  15.98  38   85   1A   52 (17- 5) WDM Iowa Christian    -18.51 *  -28.49                      
 16 02/06/2010 Away    L *  20.41  51   82   1A   89 ( 9-15) Anita CAM             -14.08    -16.92  was 01/26 now 02/06 
 17 02/09/2010 Home    L *  48.17  58   87   1A   20 (24- 2) Ankeny Christian       13.68 *  -42.68                      
 18 02/12/2010 Away    L *  32.82  41   53   1A  102 ( 8-13) Exira                  -1.67    -10.33  was 01/19 now 02/12 
 19 02/18/2010 Away    L    44.16  52   54   1A  103 ( 7-14) Southeast Webster       9.68    -11.68                      
      Averages              34.49  48.3 66.6

Best game:   54.96 = 24 point win over Walnut
Worst game:  15.98 = 47 point loss to West Des Moines Iowa Christian
Team stdev:  11.58