BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Johnston
Class: 4A Class Rank: 5 Conference: (14-8) Overall: (15-8) Overall Strength = 94.04
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/30/2010 Away W * 105.81 65 53 4A 7 (16- 8) WDM Valley 11.39 0.61
2 12/07/2010 Away W * 111.35 70 32 4A 34 ( 8-15) Des Moines Lincoln 16.92 21.08
3 12/10/2010 Away W * 98.85 54 46 4A 10 (14-10) Southeast Polk 4.43 3.57
4 12/14/2010 Home W * 106.84 80 30 4A 45 ( 1-21) Des Moines East 12.42 * 37.58
5 12/17/2010 Home L * 93.84 68 71 1 4A 2 (22- 4) Ankeny -0.58 -2.42
6 12/21/2010 Neutral L * 87.04 49 54 4A 6 (16- 8) Urbandale -7.38 2.38
7 01/03/2011 Home W * 94.01 89 75 4A 20 ( 8-14) Mason City -0.41 14.41 was 12/03 now 12/11 now 01/03
8 01/04/2011 Away L * 64.66 59 74 4A 23 ( 9-14) Marshalltown -29.77 14.77
9 01/07/2011 Away W * 97.55 57 24 4A 41 ( 2-20) Indianola 3.13 * 29.87
10 01/11/2011 Home W * 90.25 55 54 1 4A 8 (17- 6) WDM Dowling -4.17 5.17
11 01/14/2011 Home W * 97.02 65 56 4A 10 (14-10) Southeast Polk 2.60 6.40
12 01/15/2011 Home W 110.54 76 36 4A 31 (15- 8) CB Lewis Central 16.12 23.88
13 01/18/2011 Home W * 113.25 74 58 4A 4 (19- 6) Waukee 18.83 -2.83
14 01/21/2011 Away L * 91.66 54 62 1 4A 2 (22- 4) Ankeny -2.76 -5.24
15 01/25/2011 Away W * 92.70 59 46 4A 22 ( 9-13) Ottumwa -1.73 14.73
16 01/28/2011 Away L * 88.45 68 73 2 4A 6 (16- 8) Urbandale -5.97 0.97
17 02/03/2011 Home L * 85.33 44 53 4A 3 (23- 3) Des Moines Hoover -9.09 0.09 was 02/01 now 02/03
18 02/04/2011 Home W * 97.73 66 30 4A 41 ( 2-20) Indianola 3.30 * 32.70
19 02/08/2011 Away W * 103.67 71 51 4A 19 (13-10) Fort Dodge 9.25 10.75
20 02/11/2011 Away L * 82.08 45 55 4A 8 (17- 6) WDM Dowling -12.35 2.35
21 02/15/2011 Away W * 82.78 68 53 4A 40 ( 3-19) Des Moines North -11.65 * 26.65
22 02/18/2011 Home W * 97.27 78 52 4A 29 ( 7-16) Ames 2.85 23.15
23 02/25/2011 Home L * 79.02 62 71 4A 10 (14-10) Southeast Polk -15.40 6.40
Averages 94.42 64.2 52.6
Best game: 113.25 = 16 point win over Waukee
Worst game: 64.66 = 15 point loss to Marshalltown
Team stdev: 11.56