BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 22 Conference: (7-11) Overall: (9-13) Overall Strength = 78.43
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/03/2010 Away L * 88.85 54 56 4A 10 (14-10) Southeast Polk 10.56 -12.56
2 12/04/2010 Home W 75.33 58 28 3A 60 ( 4-18) Fairfield -2.96 * 32.96
3 12/07/2010 Home W * 67.73 45 39 4A 41 ( 2-20) Indianola -10.56 16.56
4 12/10/2010 Away W * 78.35 52 47 4A 34 ( 8-15) Des Moines Lincoln 0.06 4.94
5 12/14/2010 Home L * 73.99 45 62 4A 7 (16- 8) WDM Valley -4.30 -12.70
6 12/17/2010 Home W * 75.95 57 46 4A 40 ( 3-19) Des Moines North -2.33 13.33
7 12/21/2010 Home L * 82.23 52 53 4A 16 (13-10) Des Moines Roosevelt 3.94 -4.94
8 01/07/2011 Away L * 77.16 34 54 4A 3 (23- 3) Des Moines Hoover -1.13 -18.87
9 01/13/2011 Away W * 79.67 58 38 4A 45 ( 1-21) Des Moines East 1.38 18.62 was 01/11 now 01/13
10 01/14/2011 Home W * 82.52 39 27 4A 34 ( 8-15) Des Moines Lincoln 4.24 7.76
11 01/18/2011 Away L * 67.45 45 71 4A 6 (16- 8) Urbandale -10.83 -15.17
12 01/21/2011 Away W * 79.78 61 49 4A 40 ( 3-19) Des Moines North 1.49 10.51
13 01/25/2011 Home L * 80.01 46 59 4A 5 (15- 8) Johnston 1.73 -14.73
14 01/28/2011 Away L * 71.05 62 77 4A 16 (13-10) Des Moines Roosevelt -7.23 -7.77
15 02/03/2011 Home L * 73.83 56 59 4A 23 ( 9-14) Marshalltown -4.45 1.45 was 02/01 now 02/03
16 02/04/2011 Home L * 84.33 29 39 4A 3 (23- 3) Des Moines Hoover 6.05 -16.05
17 02/08/2011 Away W 76.79 62 51 3A 31 (11-12) Keokuk -1.49 12.49
18 02/11/2011 Home W * 86.84 67 37 4A 45 ( 1-21) Des Moines East 8.56 21.44
19 02/15/2011 Home L * 88.84 52 60 4A 2 (22- 4) Ankeny 10.55 -18.55
20 02/17/2011 Home L 82.42 48 53 3A 1 (24- 3) Mount Pleasant 4.14 -9.14
21 02/18/2011 Away L * 80.08 49 61 4A 8 (17- 6) WDM Dowling 1.79 -13.79
22 02/21/2011 Home L 69.07 54 61 4A 24 ( 7-16) Cedar Rapids Xavier -9.22 2.22
Averages 78.28 51.1 51.2
Best game: 88.85 = 2 point loss to Pleasant Hill Southeast Polk
Worst game: 67.45 = 26 point loss to Urbandale
Team stdev: 6.23