BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Alta-Aurelia

Class: 2A Class Rank: 47 Conference: (8-6) Overall: (12-10) Overall Strength =   74.52

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/28/2011 Home    W    67.02  79  73   2A  77 ( 5-16) Ridge View             -7.55     13.55                      
  2 12/06/2011 Home    W *  83.55  68  58   2A  45 ( 8-14) Sioux Central           8.97      1.03                      
  3 12/09/2011 Home    W *  79.80  76  64   1A  56 ( 7-15) Pocahontas PA-P-P       5.23      6.77                      
  4 12/10/2011 Away    L    75.74  59  62   1A  26 (14- 7) Woodbury Central        1.16     -4.16                      
  5 12/13/2011 Away    W *  91.95  73  45   1A  88 ( 7-14) Laurens-Marathon       17.37     10.63                      
  6 12/16/2011 Away    L *  63.86  58  61   2A  67 ( 8-12) Prairie Valley        -10.72      7.72                      
  7 12/17/2011 Home    L    51.68  47  62   1A  64 ( 8-15) Hartley HMS           -22.89      7.89                      
  8 12/20/2011 Away    W *  95.69  78  61   1A  28 (18- 5) Newell-Fonda           21.12     -4.12                      
  9 01/06/2012 Home    W *  75.65  81  58   1A 104 ( 5-17) Southeast Webster       1.08     21.92                      
 10 01/10/2012 Home    L *  54.49  41  82   1A   3 (27- 1) Storm Lake St Mary    -20.08    -20.92                      
 11 01/12/2012 Home    W    78.16  70  48   1A 102 ( 6-18) River Valley            3.58     18.42                      
 12 01/13/2012 Away    W *  77.29  72  58   2A  79 ( 7-15) South Central           2.72     11.28                      
 13 01/17/2012 Home    L    72.90  60  68   1A   8 (20- 5) Kingsley-Pierson       -1.68     -6.32                      
 14 01/19/2012 Away    W    76.52  69  60   2A  73 ( 3-18) Cherokee Washington     1.95      7.05                      
 15 01/24/2012 Away    W *  82.66  64  58   2A  45 ( 8-14) Sioux Central           8.09     -2.09                      
 16 01/27/2012 Away    L *  63.93  63  74   1A  41 (14- 8) Northwest Webster     -10.65     -0.35                      
 17 01/31/2012 Home    W *  94.83  64  30   1A  88 ( 7-14) Laurens-Marathon       20.26     13.74                      
 18 02/03/2012 Home    L *  66.58  57  66   1A  28 (18- 5) Newell-Fonda           -7.99     -1.01                      
 19 02/04/2012 Home    L *  72.45  59  65   2A  33 (18- 6) Lake View East Sac     -2.13     -3.87  was 01/20 now 02/04 
 20 02/07/2012 Away    L *  85.60  44  57   1A   3 (27- 1) Storm Lake St Mary     11.03    -24.03                      
 21 02/10/2012 Home    W    63.16  53  46   1A 102 ( 6-18) River Valley          -11.42     18.42                      
 22 02/15/2012 Home    L    65.99  58  63   2A  54 ( 7-15) Ida Grove OA-BCIG      -8.58      3.58  was 02/13 now 02/15 
      Averages              74.52  63.3 60.0

Best game:   95.69 = 17 point win over Newell-Fonda
Worst game:  51.68 = 15 point loss to Hartley-Melvin-Sanborn
Team stdev:  11.89