BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Johnston
Class: 4A Class Rank: 13 Conference: (14-10) Overall: (14-10) Overall Strength = 103.49
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/29/2011 Home L * 93.95 43 59 4A 5 (18- 6) WDM Valley -9.90 -6.10
2 12/02/2011 Away W * 99.42 45 38 4A 31 ( 6-16) Mason City -4.43 11.43
3 12/06/2011 Home L * 91.11 55 62 4A 18 (11-12) Des Moines Lincoln -12.74 5.74
4 12/09/2011 Away L * 101.68 39 41 4A 15 (12-11) Southeast Polk -2.17 0.17
5 12/13/2011 Away W * 106.26 65 40 4A 45 ( 0-22) Des Moines East 2.41 22.59
6 12/16/2011 Home L * 89.67 49 79 4A 1 (25- 1) Ankeny -14.18 -15.82
7 12/22/2011 Away W * 110.84 50 47 4A 10 (16- 7) Urbandale 6.99 -3.99
8 01/03/2012 Home W * 95.50 36 34 4A 27 ( 7-16) Marshalltown -8.35 10.35
9 01/06/2012 Home W * 92.92 50 37 4A 40 ( 3-19) Indianola -10.94 23.94
10 01/10/2012 Away L * 95.11 31 42 4A 12 (13- 9) WDM Dowling -8.74 -2.26
11 01/13/2012 Home W * 120.57 65 45 4A 15 (12-11) Southeast Polk 16.72 3.28
12 01/17/2012 Away L * 99.62 43 52 4A 9 (17- 7) Waukee -4.23 -4.77
13 01/20/2012 Away L * 105.78 28 45 4A 1 (25- 1) Ankeny 1.93 -18.93
14 01/24/2012 Home W * 106.38 67 54 4A 28 ( 9-13) Ottumwa 2.53 10.47
15 01/27/2012 Home W * 108.72 58 54 2 4A 10 (16- 7) Urbandale 4.87 -0.87
16 01/31/2012 Away L * 101.88 30 39 4A 7 (17- 5) Des Moines Hoover -1.97 -7.03
17 02/03/2012 Away W * 110.03 54 27 4A 40 ( 3-19) Indianola 6.18 20.82
18 02/07/2012 Home W * 95.84 63 54 4A 35 ( 5-18) Fort Dodge -8.01 17.01
19 02/10/2012 Home L * 100.00 49 52 4A 12 (13- 9) WDM Dowling -3.85 0.85
20 02/14/2012 Home W * 102.23 59 47 4A 30 ( 7-15) Des Moines North -1.62 13.62
21 02/17/2012 Away W * 113.30 56 41 4A 23 (10-14) Ames 9.45 5.55
22 02/20/2012 Home W * 125.23 80 45 4A 30 ( 7-15) Des Moines North 21.38 13.62
23 02/24/2012 Away W * 112.11 41 35 4A 12 (13- 9) WDM Dowling 8.26 -2.26
24 02/28/2012 Neutral L * 105.50 38 44 4A 5 (18- 6) WDM Valley 1.65 -7.65
Averages 103.49 49.8 46.4
Best game: 125.23 = 35 point win over Des Moines North
Worst game: 89.67 = 30 point loss to Ankeny
Team stdev: 9.03