BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
-----------------------------------------------
Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 28 Conference: (7-12) Overall: (9-13) Overall Strength = 94.01
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/02/2011 Home L * 91.57 53 62 4A 15 (12-11) Southeast Polk -3.37 -5.63
2 12/03/2011 Away W 104.65 80 44 3A 54 ( 8-14) Fairfield 9.71 * 26.29
3 12/06/2011 Away W * 98.03 104 89 4A 40 ( 3-19) Indianola 3.09 11.91
4 12/09/2011 Home W * 100.11 62 60 4A 18 (11-12) Des Moines Lincoln 5.17 -3.17
5 12/13/2011 Away L * 88.06 44 69 4A 5 (18- 6) WDM Valley -6.88 -18.12
6 12/16/2011 Away L * 88.35 74 79 1 4A 30 ( 7-15) Des Moines North -6.59 1.59
7 12/20/2011 Away L * 86.18 54 75 4A 8 (17- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt -8.76 -12.24
8 01/06/2012 Home W * 109.77 31 29 4A 7 (17- 5) Des Moines Hoover 14.83 -12.83
9 01/10/2012 Home W * 85.15 51 44 4A 45 ( 0-22) Des Moines East -9.79 16.79
10 01/13/2012 Away L * 72.23 30 59 4A 18 (11-12) Des Moines Lincoln -22.71 -6.29
11 01/17/2012 Home L * 99.72 59 64 4A 10 (16- 7) Urbandale 4.78 -9.78
12 01/20/2012 Home W * 100.23 68 58 4A 30 ( 7-15) Des Moines North 5.29 4.71
13 01/24/2012 Away L * 92.41 54 67 4A 13 (14-10) Johnston -2.53 -10.47
14 01/27/2012 Home L * 92.07 54 66 4A 8 (17- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt -2.87 -9.13
15 01/31/2012 Away W * 100.61 63 59 1 4A 27 ( 7-16) Marshalltown 5.67 -1.67
16 02/03/2012 Away L * 86.88 41 65 4A 7 (17- 5) Des Moines Hoover -8.06 -15.94
17 02/07/2012 Home W 98.10 69 59 3A 20 (13-10) Keokuk 3.16 6.84
18 02/10/2012 Away W * 109.26 67 39 4A 45 ( 0-22) Des Moines East 14.32 13.68
19 02/14/2012 Away L * 101.78 52 73 4A 1 (25- 1) Ankeny 6.84 * -27.84
20 02/16/2012 Away L 89.23 41 58 3A 3 (26- 1) Mount Pleasant -5.71 -11.29
21 02/17/2012 Home L * 95.00 48 56 4A 12 (13- 9) WDM Dowling 0.06 -8.06
22 02/20/2012 Away L * 97.23 48 52 4A 18 (11-12) Des Moines Lincoln 2.29 -6.29
Averages 94.85 56.7 60.3
Best game: 109.77 = 2 point win over Des Moines Hoover
Worst game: 72.23 = 29 point loss to Des Moines Lincoln
Team stdev: 8.74