BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Walnut

Class: 1A Class Rank: 137 Conference: (4-14) Overall: (8-15) Overall Strength =   47.26

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2011 Away    L *  34.01  33  60   1A  95 (15- 8) Adair-Casey           -13.19    -13.81                      
  2 12/02/2011 Home    L *  45.24  37  43   1A 118 ( 8-14) Orient-Macksburg       -1.96     -4.04                      
  3 12/06/2011 Away    L *  40.10  50  61   1A 125 ( 7-14) WDM Iowa Christian     -7.10     -3.90                      
  4 12/09/2011 Home    L *  49.86  56  60 1 1A 105 (12-11) East Greene             2.66     -6.66                      
  5 12/10/2011 Home    W    60.53  61  49   1A 124 ( 9-11) Woodbine               13.33     -1.33                      
  6 12/13/2011 Home    L *  62.89  38  40   1A  69 (19- 5) Anita CAM              15.69    -17.69                      
  7 12/15/2011 Away    W    50.77  57  53 1 1A 140 ( 5-17) Avoca AHST              3.57      0.43                      
  8 12/16/2011 Away    L *  41.12  41  64   1A  85 (16- 7) Ankeny Christian       -6.08    -16.92                      
  9 12/20/2011 Away    W *  45.67  49  34   1A 156 ( 0-20) Paton-Churdan          -1.53     16.53                      
 10 01/03/2012 Home    L *  43.04  46  77   1A  34 (22- 2) Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb    -4.16 *  -26.84                      
 11 01/06/2012 Home    W *  58.50  59  48   1A 126 ( 7-15) Glidden-Ralston        11.30     -0.30                      
 12 01/10/2012 Home    W *  68.89  69  58   1A  95 (15- 8) Adair-Casey            21.69    -10.69                      
 13 01/13/2012 Away    L *  31.35  37  60   1A 118 ( 8-14) Orient-Macksburg      -15.85     -7.15                      
 14 01/17/2012 Home    L *  41.99  39  45   1A 125 ( 7-14) WDM Iowa Christian     -5.21     -0.79                      
 15 01/19/2012 Away    W    46.11  68  35   1A 164 ( 1-18) Heartland Christian    -1.09 *   34.09  was 12/12 now 01/19 
 16 01/24/2012 Away    L *  49.00  41  60   1A  69 (19- 5) Anita CAM               1.80    -20.80                      
 17 01/26/2012 Away    W    39.88  56  36   1A 163 ( 1-19) Diagonal               -7.32 *   27.32                      
 18 01/27/2012 Home    L *  45.00  31  47   1A  85 (16- 7) Ankeny Christian       -2.19    -13.81                      
 19 01/31/2012 Home    W *  37.56  56  46   1A 156 ( 0-20) Paton-Churdan          -9.64     19.64                      
 20 02/03/2012 Away    L *  56.15  39  60   1A  34 (22- 2) Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb     8.95 *  -29.95                      
 21 02/06/2012 Away    L *  40.97  50  66   1A 105 (12-11) East Greene            -6.23     -9.77  was 01/20 now 02/06 
 22 02/07/2012 Away    L *  44.61  48  54   1A 126 ( 7-15) Glidden-Ralston        -2.59     -3.41                      
 23 02/16/2012 Away    L    49.81  44  65   1A  52 (18- 5) Malvern East Mills      2.61    -23.61                      
      Averages              47.09  48.0 53.1

Best game:   68.89 = 11 point win over Adair-Casey
Worst game:  31.35 = 23 point loss to Orient-Macksburg
Team stdev:   9.28