BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Sumner-Fredericksburg

Class: 2A Class Rank: 42 Conference: (12-4) Overall: (15-7) Overall Strength =   75.44

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2011 Away    L    78.01  82  86   3A  38 (13- 8) New Hampton             2.77     -6.77                      
  2 12/02/2011 Home    L *  70.79  41  61   2A   9 (21- 1) Monona MFL MarMac      -4.45    -15.55                      
  3 12/03/2011 Away    L    62.24  49  75   3A  24 (15- 5) Cresco Crestwood      -13.00    -13.00                      
  4 12/06/2011 Home    W *  88.91  46  30   1A  35 (16- 6) Turkey Valley          13.68      2.32                      
  5 12/09/2011 Away    W *  66.91  44  27   1A 138 ( 3-19) Elgin Valley           -8.32 *   25.32                      
  6 12/13/2011 Home    W *  66.75  39  38   1A  68 (10-12) Postville              -8.49      9.49                      
  7 12/16/2011 Home    W *  52.66  51  41   1A 147 ( 0-22) Elkader Central       -22.58 *   32.58                      
  8 12/17/2011 Home    W    98.48  67  33   2A  69 (12-10) Nashua-Plainfield      23.24     10.76                      
  9 12/20/2011 Away    W *  85.49  53  44   2A  40 (14- 9) North Fayette          10.26     -1.26                      
 10 12/22/2011 Home    L *  57.80  58  67   2A  60 (10-11) South Winneshiek      -17.44      8.44                      
 11 01/06/2012 Away    W *  70.50  49  32   1A 113 ( 5-18) Maynard West Central   -4.73     21.73                      
 12 01/07/2012 Away    W    82.15  47  40   2A  50 ( 9-15) Wapsie Valley           6.92      0.08                      
 13 01/10/2012 Away    W *  78.10  54  46   1A  58 (10-12) Lansing Kee             2.87      5.13                      
 14 01/17/2012 Away    W *  72.85  57  54 1 2A  60 (10-11) South Winneshiek       -2.38      5.38                      
 15 01/21/2012 Home    W *  74.44  51  50   2A  40 (14- 9) North Fayette          -0.80      1.80  was 01/20 now 01/21 
 16 01/24/2012 Away    L *  63.97  59  71   1A  35 (16- 6) Turkey Valley         -11.26     -0.74                      
 17 01/27/2012 Away    W *  75.97  61  52   1A  72 (10-12) Clayton Ridge           0.73      8.27                      
 18 01/31/2012 Home    W *  81.05  64  50   1A  58 (10-12) Lansing Kee             5.81      8.19                      
 19 02/03/2012 Away    L *  82.84  46  57   2A   9 (21- 1) Monona MFL MarMac       7.61    -18.61                      
 20 02/04/2012 Away    L    89.77  57  69   3A   7 (20- 1) Waverly-Shell Rock     14.53 *  -26.53                      
 21 02/07/2012 Home    W *  68.91  57  52   1A  72 (10-12) Clayton Ridge          -6.33     11.33                      
 22 02/16/2012 Home    W    74.10  56  54 1 2A  50 ( 9-15) Wapsie Valley          -1.14      3.14                      
 23 02/21/2012 Neutral   *                  2A   9 (21- 1) Monona MFL MarMac               -17.42             
      Averages              74.67  54.0 51.3

Best game:   98.48 = 34 point win over Nashua-Plainfield
Worst game:  52.66 = 10 point win over Elkader Central
Team stdev:  10.98