BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Ottumwa

Class: 4A Class Rank: 47 Conference: (1-15) Overall: (2-20) Overall Strength =   66.39

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2012 Away    L *  73.35  45  69   4A  17 (10-13) Southeast Polk          5.85 *  -29.85                      
  2 12/04/2012 Home    L    61.51  33  63   4A  20 (11-12) Cedar Rapids Xavier    -5.98    -24.02                      
  3 12/07/2012 Home    L *  72.86  49  62   4A  27 ( 9-14) Des Moines Lincoln      5.37    -18.37                      
  4 12/08/2012 Home    L    60.57  47  66   3A  25 (12- 9) Fort Madison           -6.92    -12.08                      
  5 12/11/2012 Home    L *  82.48  35  49   4A  11 (18- 4) Des Moines Hoover      14.98 *  -28.98                      
  6 12/14/2012 Away    L *  73.13  44  51   4A  37 ( 5-18) Indianola               5.63    -12.63                      
  7 12/18/2012 Home    W *  72.51  63  61 2 4A  43 ( 4-18) Des Moines East         5.01     -3.01                      
  8 01/04/2013 Away    L    76.84  44  49   3A  28 (16- 7) Keokuk                  9.35    -14.35                      
  9 01/08/2013 Away    L *  78.45  32  53   4A  15 (18- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt   10.95 *  -31.95                      
 10 01/15/2013 Home    L *  71.77  48  77   4A   6 (19- 4) WDM Valley              4.27 *  -33.27                      
 11 01/18/2013 Away    L *  59.69  41  70   4A  27 ( 9-14) Des Moines Lincoln     -7.80    -21.20                      
 12 01/19/2013 Away    L *  61.86  38  70   4A  21 (13-10) Des Moines North       -5.63 *  -26.37  was 12/21 now 01/19 
 13 01/22/2013 Away    L *  79.31  39  59   4A  11 (18- 4) Des Moines Hoover      11.82 *  -31.82                      
 14 01/25/2013 Home    L *  67.30  32  42   4A  37 ( 5-18) Indianola              -0.20     -9.80                      
 15 02/01/2013 Home    L *  61.03  38  68   4A  21 (13-10) Des Moines North       -6.47    -23.53                      
 16 02/04/2013 Home    L    58.27  35  66   3A   8 (19- 6) Mount Pleasant         -9.23    -21.77                      
 17 02/05/2013 Away    L *  48.99  30  75   4A  22 (13-11) Ames                  -18.51 *  -26.49                      
 18 02/08/2013 Home    L *  60.61  42  78   4A  15 (18- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt   -6.88 *  -29.12                      
 19 02/11/2013 Away    L *  66.34  54  61   4A  43 ( 4-18) Des Moines East        -1.16     -5.84  was 01/29 now 02/11 
 20 02/12/2013 Home    W    62.95  70  67 1 3A  57 ( 4-18) Fairfield              -4.54      7.54                      
 21 02/14/2013 Home    L *  65.08  20  59   4A   4 (18- 5) Ankeny                 -2.41 *  -36.59                      
 22 02/18/2013 Away    L    70.01  57  79   4A  23 (13-11) CR Jefferson            2.52    -24.52                      
      Averages              67.50  42.5 63.4

Best game:   82.48 = 14 point loss to Des Moines Hoover
Worst game:  48.99 = 45 point loss to Ames
Team stdev:   8.27