BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Johnston

Class: 4A Class Rank: 10 Conference: (18-5) Overall: (18-6) Overall Strength =  114.56

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2016 Home    W * 102.85  73   54   4A   44 ( 1-21) Des Moines Lincoln    -12.95 *   31.95                      
  2 12/02/2016 Home    L * 109.00  48   55   4A    3 (15- 7) Ames                   -6.80     -0.20                      
  3 12/06/2016 Away    L *  93.25  35   61   4A    2 (21- 5) WDM Valley             22.55     -3.45                      
  4 12/09/2016 Home    W * 126.24  65   43   4A   26 (12-11) Mason City             10.44     11.56                      
  5 12/13/2016 Away    W * 134.09  75   57   4A   11 (18- 6) Des Moines North      -18.30     -0.30                      
  6 12/16/2016 Home    W * 123.69  71   47   4A   31 ( 8-14) Urbandale               7.89     16.11                      
  7 12/20/2016 Away    L * 107.78  62   70   4A   12 (16- 6) WDM Dowling             8.02      0.02                      
  8 01/03/2017 Home    W * 119.02  75   35   4A   46 ( 3-19) Marshalltown            3.22 *   36.78                      
  9 01/06/2017 Away    W * 110.16  79   76   4A   26 (12-11) Mason City              5.64      8.64                      
 10 01/10/2017 Home    W * 122.26  80   44   4A   45 ( 6-16) Ottumwa                 6.46 *   29.54                      
 11 01/13/2017 Away    W * 125.45  70   53   4A   24 (13- 9) Fort Dodge             -9.65      7.35                      
 12 01/17/2017 Home    L * 108.13  57   64   4A    7 (18- 4) Waukee                 -7.67      0.67                      
 13 01/20/2017 Away    W * 117.94  75   39   4A   46 ( 3-19) Marshalltown           -2.14 *   33.86                      
 14 01/24/2017 Away    W * 118.76  63   34   4A   42 ( 3-19) Southeast Polk         -2.96 *   26.04                      
 15 01/27/2017 Home    L * 110.86  57   59   4A   12 (16- 6) WDM Dowling            -4.94      2.94                      
      Averages             115.80  64.5 51.8

Best game:  134.09 = 18 point win over Des Moines North
Worst game:  93.25 = 26 point loss to West Des Moines Valley
Team stdev:   9.52