BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home court advantage =    1.82

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
02/23/2024   4A   15 (15- 6) Marion Linn-Mar        4A   17 (15- 6) Eldridge North Scott  118.55   -1.38  55%  -1.38  55%  -5.81  71%
02/23/2024   4A   14 (11-11) WDM Dowling            4A    9 (14- 8) Waukee Northwest      118.01    5.33  70%   5.33  70%  15.27  93%
02/23/2024   4A   18 (15- 6) Davenport West         4A   12 (15- 6) Bettendorf            113.98    5.74  71%   5.74  71%   8.53  79%
02/23/2024   4A   21 (16- 6) Ames                   4A   13 (12- 9) Johnston              108.30    9.48  82%   9.48  82%   5.44  70%
02/23/2024   4A   20 (15- 6) CB Lincoln             4A   10 (18- 3) Dallas Center-Grimes  107.48   11.19  86%  11.19  86%  18.54  96%
02/23/2024   4A   22 (10-11) Cedar Rapids Prairie   4A   16 (16- 5) Pleasant Valley       104.85   10.62  85%  10.62  85%   4.71  67%
02/23/2024   4A   19 (16- 5) Norwalk                4A   28 (18- 3) CB Jefferson          103.37   -8.81  80%  -8.81  80%  -5.60  70%
02/23/2024   4A   23 ( 8-13) Urbandale              4A    2 (16- 5) WDM Valley             99.45   21.40  98%  21.40  98%  27.85 100%
02/23/2024   4A   24 ( 6-16) Southeast Polk         4A    4 (15- 7) Waukee                 98.73   20.29  97%  20.29  97%  18.43  96%
02/23/2024   4A   25 ( 9-12) Davenport Central      4A    8 (19- 2) Dubuque Senior         98.46   18.71  96%  18.71  96%  14.98  92%
02/23/2024   4A   26 (10-11) Iowa City Liberty      4A    7 (15- 6) Ankeny                 96.95   19.90  97%  19.90  97%  32.25 100%
02/19/2024   4A   32 ( 5-16) Muscatine              4A   25 ( 9-12) Davenport Central      96.85    8.52  79%   8.52  79%  10.27  84%
02/23/2024   4A   27 (14- 8) Des Moines Roosevelt   4A    5 (16- 6) Ankeny Centennial      96.24   21.28  98%  21.28  98%  18.11  96%
02/19/2024   4A   33 ( 6-16) Waterloo West          4A   26 (10-11) Iowa City Liberty      95.63    8.12  78%   8.12  78%  13.77  91%
02/23/2024   4A   29 (11-10) Davenport North        4A   11 (18- 3) Iowa City West         93.59   20.00  97%  20.00  97%  19.43  97%
02/19/2024   4A   34 ( 7-14) Dubuque Hempstead      4A   29 (11-10) Davenport North        90.91    9.66  82%   9.66  82%  12.85  89%
02/19/2024   4A   36 ( 9-12) Waterloo East          4A   35 ( 7-15) CR Washington          89.50    4.96  68%   4.96  68%  -0.33  51%
02/23/2024   4A   31 (14- 8) Des Moines North       4A    6 (20- 2) Sioux City East        88.50   25.98  99%  25.98  99%  33.11 100%
02/19/2024   4A   30 ( 6-15) Iowa City High         4A   39 (12- 8) Ottumwa                83.09  -13.95  91% -13.95  91%  -8.96  81%
02/19/2024   4A   38 ( 2-19) Indianola              4A   27 (14- 8) Des Moines Roosevelt   81.91   17.86  96%  17.86  96%  14.97  92%
02/19/2024   4A   37 ( 4-17) CR Jefferson           4A   22 (10-11) Cedar Rapids Prairie   81.32   20.44  98%  20.44  98%  23.94  99%
02/19/2024   4A   41 ( 5-16) Sioux City North       4A   31 (14- 8) Des Moines North       81.12   14.19  91%  14.19  91%  17.48  95%
02/19/2024   4A   40 ( 9-12) Marshalltown           4A   24 ( 6-16) Southeast Polk         77.99   21.80  98%  21.80  98%  12.84  89%
02/23/2024   4A   39 (12- 8) Ottumwa                4A    3 (18- 3) Cedar Falls            68.76   40.78 100%  40.78 100%  54.05 100%
02/19/2024   4A   42 ( 6-15) Burlington             4A   18 (15- 6) Davenport West         68.31   33.58 100%  33.58 100%  26.69  99%
02/19/2024   4A   43 ( 5-16) Mason City             4A   21 (16- 6) Ames                   68.24   31.08 100%  31.08 100%  23.89  99%
02/23/2024   4A   36 ( 9-12) Waterloo East          4A    1 (21- 0) Cedar Rapids Kennedy   64.42   55.13 100%  55.13 100%  51.52 100%
02/19/2024   4A   45 ( 3-17) Sioux City West        4A   20 (15- 6) CB Lincoln             63.31   34.39 100%  34.39 100%  30.63 100%
02/19/2024   4A   44 ( 0-21) Clinton                4A   15 (15- 6) Marion Linn-Mar        60.66   41.18 100%  41.18 100%  33.03 100%
02/19/2024   4A   46 ( 4-16) Des Moines Lincoln     4A   19 (16- 5) Norwalk                59.04   39.57 100%  39.57 100%  35.87 100%
02/19/2024   4A   47 ( 5-16) Fort Dodge             4A   23 ( 8-13) Urbandale              58.63   35.56 100%  35.56 100%  37.65 100%
02/19/2024   4A   48 ( 3-18) Des Moines East        4A   14 (11-11) WDM Dowling            33.01   59.65 100%  59.65 100%  56.99 100%
02/19/2024   3A   14 ( 9-12) Epworth W Dubuque      3A   11 ( 9-12) Dubuque Wahlert       104.72    3.19  62%   3.19  62%   3.60  64%
02/22/2024   3A   11 ( 9-12) Dubuque Wahlert        3A    1 (19- 2) Decorah               102.54   10.30  84%  10.30  84%   3.85  64%
02/22/2024   3A   15 (12- 9) Gilbert                3A    4 (17- 3) Waverly-Shell Rock    101.66    8.25  79%   8.25  79%   1.03  54%
02/22/2024   3A   19 (10-12) Alleman North Polk     3A    9 (20- 1) Clear Lake             99.98    6.62  74%   6.62  74%  -7.53  77%
02/22/2024   3A   22 (11-10) Sergeant Bluff-Luton   3A   13 (12- 9) Sioux City Heelan      99.33    6.16  72%   6.16  72%  -0.96  54%
02/22/2024   3A   20 (10-11) Newton                 3A    5 (13- 9) Winterset              99.24    8.06  78%   8.06  78%   7.27  76%
02/19/2024   3A    8 (10-11) Cedar Rapids Xavier    3A   24 (13- 8) Maquoketa              98.98   -6.32  73%  -6.32  73% -16.56  94%
02/22/2024   3A   24 (13- 8) Maquoketa              3A   30 (16- 5) Marion                 97.90   -1.61  56%  -1.61  56%  10.02  83%
02/22/2024   3A   18 (11-10) Carroll                3A    2 (18- 3) Adel ADM               96.97   13.62  90%  13.62  90%  17.36  95%
02/19/2024   3A   26 (14- 7) Knoxville              3A   20 (10-11) Newton                 96.92    5.45  70%   5.45  70%   8.42  79%
02/22/2024   3A   23 (17- 5) Osceola Clarke         3A    7 (12- 9) Pella                  96.08    9.61  82%   9.61  82%  10.02  83%
02/19/2024   3A   29 (12- 8) Storm Lake             3A   22 (11-10) Sergeant Bluff-Luton   93.35    7.25  76%   7.25  76%   0.92  54%
02/19/2024   3A   21 ( 9-13) Central Clinton        3A   35 (14- 8) Mount Vernon           92.93   -6.77  74%  -6.77  74%   0.78  53%
02/19/2024   3A   34 (13- 7) Mount Pleasant         3A   31 (15- 6) Keokuk                 92.92    3.32  63%   3.32  63%   7.57  77%
02/22/2024   3A   28 (14- 7) Humboldt               3A    6 (13- 8) Huxley Ballard         91.16   12.93  89%  12.93  89%   3.05  62%
02/22/2024   3A   31 (15- 6) Keokuk                 3A   16 (20- 1) Solon                  90.55   11.06  86%  11.06  86%   8.58  79%
02/22/2024   3A   36 (14- 7) Grinnell               3A   25 (18- 4) Nevada                 89.95    7.98  78%   7.98  78%  14.18  91%
02/19/2024   3A   43 (11- 9) Fort Madison           3A   39 (13- 8) Williamsburg           89.14    2.25  59%   2.25  59%   4.19  66%
02/19/2024   3A   33 (10-11) Sioux Center           3A   13 (12- 9) Sioux City Heelan      88.04   13.68  91%  13.68  91%  10.69  85%
02/22/2024   3A   39 (13- 8) Williamsburg           3A   32 (15- 6) Clear Creek-Amana      87.17    7.07  75%   7.07  75%  -2.01  58%
02/19/2024   3A   19 (10-12) Alleman North Polk     3A   41 (14- 7) Algona                 86.94  -10.90  85% -10.90  85% -21.50  98%
02/22/2024   3A   40 (12- 9) Hampton-Dumont-CAL     3A   27 (13- 8) Charles City           85.67    9.84  83%   9.84  83%   7.38  76%
02/19/2024   3A   37 (12- 8) Glenwood               3A   17 (14- 6) CB Lewis Central       85.44   13.74  91%  13.74  91%   4.16  66%
02/19/2024   3A   18 (11-10) Carroll                3A   46 (11- 9) Denison-Schleswig      83.89  -13.26  90% -13.26  90%  -8.43  79%
02/22/2024   3A   35 (14- 8) Mount Vernon           3A    3 (13- 8) Davenport Assumption   83.70   21.60  98%  21.60  98%  22.12  98%
02/22/2024   3A   37 (12- 8) Glenwood               3A   10 (18- 3) MOC-Floyd Valley       83.53   17.55  95%  17.55  95%  25.60  99%
02/19/2024   3A   47 ( 4-17) Oskaloosa              3A   25 (18- 4) Nevada                 82.06   13.24  90%  13.24  90%  15.70  93%
02/19/2024   3A   38 ( 7-14) LeMars                 3A   10 (18- 3) MOC-Floyd Valley       81.93   18.62  96%  18.62  96%  31.22 100%
02/19/2024   3A   50 ( 8-13) Spencer                3A   28 (14- 7) Humboldt               79.36   13.39  90%  13.39  90%  10.34  84%
02/19/2024   3A   44 ( 3-17) Boone                  3A    9 (20- 1) Clear Lake             79.30   20.41  98%  20.41  98%  18.45  96%
02/19/2024   3A   45 ( 7-14) Webster City           3A    6 (13- 8) Huxley Ballard         78.19   21.58  98%  21.58  98%  12.99  89%
02/19/2024   3A   51 ( 7-14) Center Point-Urbana    3A   27 (13- 8) Charles City           77.49   15.30  93%  15.30  93%  16.75  95%
02/19/2024   3A   48 (13- 8) Saydel                 3A   15 (12- 9) Gilbert                76.45   20.77  98%  20.77  98%  18.83  96%
02/19/2024   3A   49 ( 4-17) Carlisle               3A    7 (12- 9) Pella                  74.82   23.78  99%  23.78  99%  24.57  99%
02/19/2024   3A   53 ( 9-12) Creston                3A   42 (12- 9) Harlan                 74.22   12.00  88%  12.00  88%   9.56  82%
02/19/2024   3A   52 ( 6-14) Washington             3A   32 (15- 6) Clear Creek-Amana      73.70   16.04  94%  16.04  94%  17.26  95%
02/19/2024   3A   54 (10-11) Independence           3A   40 (12- 9) Hampton-Dumont-CAL     73.04   12.91  89%  12.91  89%  13.95  91%
02/19/2024   3A   60 ( 8-13) Tama South Tama        3A   36 (14- 7) Grinnell               68.13   17.82  96%  17.82  96%  11.46  86%
02/22/2024   3A   53 ( 9-12) Creston                3A   12 (12- 9) Bondurant-Farrar       65.77   28.89 100%  28.89 100%  27.34 100%
02/19/2024   3A   56 ( 9-13) Perry                  3A   12 (12- 9) Bondurant-Farrar       64.26   29.90 100%  29.90 100%  24.42  99%
02/19/2024   3A   59 (11-11) Chariton               3A   23 (17- 5) Osceola Clarke         63.83   25.92  99%  25.92  99%  14.32  92%
02/19/2024   3A   55 ( 7-15) Atlantic               3A    2 (18- 3) Adel ADM               60.54   37.91 100%  37.91 100%  38.00 100%
02/19/2024   3A   62 ( 1-20) Fairfield              3A   30 (16- 5) Marion                 59.73   25.98  99%  25.98  99%  25.99  99%
02/19/2024   3A   58 ( 6-15) Van Horne Benton       3A    3 (13- 8) Davenport Assumption   58.27   38.55 100%  38.55 100%  43.93 100%
02/19/2024   3A   57 ( 2-19) West Delaware          3A    1 (19- 2) Decorah                57.61   40.25 100%  40.25 100%  41.00 100%
02/19/2024   3A   61 ( 2-18) Des Moines Hoover      3A    5 (13- 9) Winterset              56.41   36.61 100%  36.61 100%  36.04 100%
02/19/2024   3A   63 ( 4-17) Bloomfield Davis       3A   16 (20- 1) Solon                  45.47   41.11 100%  41.11 100%  29.62 100%
02/19/2024   3A   64 ( 1-20) Vinton-Shellsburg      3A    4 (17- 3) Waverly-Shell Rock     41.33   48.47 100%  48.47 100%  56.34 100%
02/24/2024   2A    8 (18- 3) Carroll Kuemper        2A    9 (18- 3) Grundy Center         105.29   -0.25  51%  -0.25  51%   6.76  74%
02/20/2024   2A   10 (16- 4) Des Moines Christian   2A    7 (12- 9) DM Grand View         104.06    2.41  59%   2.41  59%   2.04  58%
02/24/2024   2A    7 (12- 9) DM Grand View          2A   11 (19- 3) Treynor               103.44   -2.83  61%  -2.83  61%  -2.35  59%
02/24/2024   2A   12 (17- 4) Cascade W Dubuque      2A   15 (20- 0) West Burlington        98.94   -3.85  64%  -3.85  64%  -6.79  74%
02/20/2024   2A   17 (17- 5) Parkersburg AP         2A    9 (18- 3) Grundy Center          98.31    4.74  68%   4.74  68%   6.54  73%
02/24/2024   2A    2 (21- 1) Inwood West Lyon       2A   13 (18- 4) Unity Christian        97.44  -11.73  87% -11.73  87%  -9.59  82%
02/20/2024   2A   19 (17- 6) West Branch            2A   15 (20- 0) West Burlington        97.34    2.35  59%   2.35  59%   2.84  61%
02/24/2024   2A   16 (18- 3) Estherville-LC         2A    3 (18- 3) Western Christian      94.33   12.91  89%  12.91  89%  11.63  87%
02/20/2024   2A   21 (12-10) Van Meter              2A   11 (19- 3) Treynor                93.43    7.61  77%   7.61  77%   8.64  80%
02/20/2024   2A   18 (19- 3) Alburnett              2A   23 (15- 6) Iowa City Regina       92.13   -5.18  69%  -5.18  69% -11.81  87%
02/20/2024   2A   28 (18- 5) Emmetsburg             2A   13 (18- 4) Unity Christian        88.21   10.06  83%  10.06  83%  17.55  95%
02/24/2024   2A    4 (17- 5) Pella Christian        2A   23 (15- 6) Iowa City Regina       85.99  -17.46  95% -17.46  95% -16.73  95%
02/20/2024   2A   27 (17- 5) Eddyville EBF          2A    4 (17- 5) Pella Christian        84.54   18.43  96%  18.43  96%  14.57  92%
02/20/2024   2A   24 (12- 9) Spirit Lake            2A    2 (21- 1) Inwood West Lyon       84.47   20.38  97%  20.38  97%  19.88  97%
02/20/2024   2A   26 (13-10) Central Lyon           2A    3 (18- 3) Western Christian      83.94   19.84  97%  19.84  97%  19.73  97%
02/20/2024   2A   22 (17- 5) Jesup                  2A    1 (21- 2) Hudson                 83.88   22.48  98%  22.48  98%  23.40  99%
02/20/2024   2A   36 (15- 8) Forest City            2A   16 (18- 3) Estherville-LC         83.51   11.51  87%  11.51  87%   5.60  70%
02/20/2024   2A   30 (19- 3) Monona MFL-MarMac      2A   44 (20- 3) North Fayette Valley   83.24   -5.56  70%  -5.56  70% -12.21  88%
02/20/2024   2A   45 (14- 9) Pleasantville          2A   32 (17- 4) South Hamilton         83.08    5.40  70%   5.40  70%   7.31  76%
02/24/2024   2A   32 (17- 4) South Hamilton         2A    5 (22- 0) Underwood              81.40   19.56  97%  19.56  97%  25.48  99%
02/20/2024   2A   38 (17- 5) South Central Calhou   2A    8 (18- 3) Carroll Kuemper        78.74   17.96  96%  17.96  96%   9.32  81%
02/20/2024   2A   37 (18- 4) Lake View East Sac     2A    5 (22- 0) Underwood              78.46   21.51  98%  21.51  98%  24.38  99%
02/20/2024   2A   42 ( 7-16) Dyersville Beckman     2A   12 (17- 4) Cascade W Dubuque      77.63   18.06  96%  18.06  96%  10.69  85%
02/24/2024   2A   44 (20- 3) North Fayette Valley   2A    1 (21- 2) Hudson                 70.24   31.58 100%  31.58 100%  37.14 100%
02/20/2024   1A    8 (16- 6) Notre Dame             1A    5 (18- 2) Winfield-Mount Union   95.74    2.31  59%   2.31  59%  -0.60  52%
02/24/2024   1A    9 (18- 5) Fort Madison Trinity   1A    5 (18- 2) Winfield-Mount Union   95.51    2.46  59%   2.46  59%  -0.80  53%
02/20/2024   1A   11 (14- 8) Guthrie Center GC-A-   1A   14 (22- 1) Lynnville-Sully        93.30   -0.59  52%  -0.59  52%   0.97  54%
02/24/2024   1A   12 (20- 3) South O'Brien          1A    6 (20- 3) North Union            92.46    3.31  62%   3.31  62%   6.43  73%
02/20/2024   1A   13 (23- 0) Keota                  1A    7 (19- 5) Gladbrook-Reinbeck     91.90    3.64  64%   3.64  64%  -2.62  60%
02/20/2024   1A   10 (12-10) Bellevue               1A    3 (23- 1) Bellevue Marquette     91.05   10.79  85%  10.79  85%   5.42  70%
02/20/2024   1A   24 (19- 4) Maquoketa Valley       1A   18 (19- 4) Dunkerton              88.80    1.27  55%   1.27  55%   8.59  80%
02/20/2024   1A   20 (16- 5) George-Little Rock     1A   15 (18- 3) Remsen St Mary         88.59    2.69  60%   2.69  60%  -0.61  52%
02/20/2024   1A   16 (18- 6) North Mahaska          1A    9 (18- 5) Fort Madison Trinity   88.50    5.49  70%   5.49  70%   5.28  69%
02/20/2024   1A   17 (19- 4) Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb    1A   26 (21- 2) Woodbine               86.92   -2.82  61%  -2.82  61%  -3.85  64%
02/24/2024   1A   25 (21- 2) Lansing Kee            1A    7 (19- 5) Gladbrook-Reinbeck     84.88    8.32  79%   8.32  79%   3.70  64%
02/24/2024   1A   15 (18- 3) Remsen St Mary         1A    2 (22- 1) Lake Mills             84.80   15.66  93%  15.66  93%  20.02  97%
02/24/2024   1A   30 (22- 2) Bedford                1A   14 (22- 1) Lynnville-Sully        84.56    6.03  72%   6.03  72%  11.06  86%
02/20/2024   1A   27 (12-11) Fort Dodge St Edmond   1A    6 (20- 3) North Union            83.01    9.61  82%   9.61  82%  14.46  92%
02/24/2024   1A   18 (19- 4) Dunkerton              1A    3 (23- 1) Bellevue Marquette     82.45   16.52  94%  16.52  94%  11.57  87%
02/20/2024   1A   35 (21- 1) Malvern East Mills     1A   30 (22- 2) Bedford                82.11    3.64  64%   3.64  64%  -0.48  52%
02/24/2024   1A    4 (21- 2) Madrid                 1A   26 (21- 2) Woodbine               82.01  -12.63  89% -12.63  89% -11.95  87%
02/20/2024   1A   32 (19- 4) Coon Rapids-Bayard     1A    4 (21- 2) Madrid                 78.75   14.81  92%  14.81  92%  16.68  95%
02/24/2024   1A   19 (19- 4) Sheffield West Fork    1A    1 (21- 1) North Linn             76.98   27.03 100%  27.03 100%  35.28 100%
02/20/2024   1A   39 (14- 8) Marcus MMCRU           1A   12 (20- 3) South O'Brien          76.10   12.01  88%  12.01  88%  15.03  93%
02/20/2024   1A   44 (19- 3) Ankeny Christian       1A   19 (19- 4) Sheffield West Fork    75.57    9.95  83%   9.95  83%   7.80  77%
02/20/2024   1A   33 (15- 9) Algona Garrigan        1A    2 (22- 1) Lake Mills             74.52   22.51  98%  22.51  98%  30.54 100%
02/20/2024   1A   53 (15- 8) South Winneshiek       1A   25 (21- 2) Lansing Kee            70.73   12.21  88%  12.21  88%  15.00  93%
02/20/2024   1A   46 (18- 6) Waterloo Christian     1A    1 (21- 1) North Linn             61.27   37.50 100%  37.50 100%  41.95 100%