BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Winterset

Class: 2 Class Rank: 228 Conference: Iowa Record: (11-29-3) Overall: (11-30-3) Overall Strength =   66.82

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L- T) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 09-23-1911 Home    L * *  23.23   0  56    2  27 ( 8- 2- 0) Earlham Immaculate C  -42.64    -13.36                      
 2 09-30-1911 Home           66.82   0   0   ZZ 164 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X    3.03                      
 3 10-07-1911 Home    W * *  83.19  11   0    2  74 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 17.32     -6.32                      
 4 10-28-1911 Away    L * *  53.30   0  40    2  27 ( 8- 2- 0) Earlham Immaculate C  -12.56    -27.44                      
 5 11-04-1911 Home    L * *  56.29   0  18    2  56 (16-16- 3) Valley Junction        -9.58     -8.42                      
 6 11-04-1911 Away      * *  66.82   0   0    2  74 (32-15- 4) Dexter                  0.00 X  -20.40  score missing AND maybe wrong date
 7 11-30-1911 Home           66.82   2   6   ZZ 292 ( 0- 1- 0) Winterset Alumni        0.00 X    8.53  exhibition          
 8 09-27-1912 Home    L * *  56.19   0  16    2  74 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 -9.68     -6.32                      
 9 09-28-1912 Unknown W * * 117.23  38   0    2  74 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 51.36    -13.36                      
10 10-05-1912 Unknown W * * 100.68  28   0    2 119 (15-24- 0) Earlham                34.81     -6.81                      
11 10-12-1912 Unknown L * *  64.07   0  16    2  66 (24-20- 2) Greenfield             -1.79    -14.21                      
12 11-09-1912 Unknown W * *  79.68  14   7    2 119 (15-24- 0) Earlham                13.81     -6.81                      
13 11-16-1912 Unknown W * * 102.33  21   0    2  56 (16-16- 3) Valley Junction        36.46    -15.46                      
14 11-23-1912 Unknown W * *  86.07   6   0    2  66 (24-20- 2) Greenfield             20.21    -14.21                      
15 09-27-1913 Unknown L * *  57.23   0  22    2  74 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 -8.64    -13.36                      
16 10-06-1913 Away    L * *  82.30  15  26    2  27 ( 8- 2- 0) Earlham Immaculate C   16.44    -27.44  was 10/03 now 10/06 
17 10-25-1913 Home      * *  66.82   0   0    2  27 ( 8- 2- 0) Earlham Immaculate C    0.00 X  -13.36  score missing       
18 11-08-1913 Home    W * *  75.29   7   6    2  56 (16-16- 3) Valley Junction         9.42     -8.42                      
19 11-21-1913 Away    T * *  86.27   7   7    2  74 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 20.40    -20.40                      
20 11-27-1913 Home           66.82   0   0   ZZ 292 ( 0- 1- 0) Winterset Alumni        0.00 X    8.53  exhibition AND score missing
21 09-26-1914 Away    W * *  94.62   7   6    2  26 (19-25- 7) Indianola              28.75    -27.75                      
22 10-31-1914 Away    T * *  88.37   6   6    2  56 (16-16- 3) Valley Junction        22.50    -22.50                      
23 11-07-1914 Unknown L * *  65.68   0   7    2 119 (15-24- 0) Earlham                -0.19     -6.81                      
24 09-25-1915 Away    L * *  62.62   0  31    2  26 (19-25- 7) Indianola              -3.25    -27.75                      
25 10-02-1915 Away    L * *  47.71   0  32    2 119 (15-24- 0) Earlham               -18.15    -13.85                      
26 09-23-1916 Away    L * *  49.62   0  44    2  26 (19-25- 7) Indianola             -16.25    -27.75                      
27 09-30-1916 Away    L * *  56.27   0  30    2  74 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 -9.60    -20.40                      
28 10-07-1916 Home    L * *  50.64   0  15    2 119 (15-24- 0) Earlham               -15.23      0.23                      
29 10-14-1916 Away    L * *  56.11   0  31    2  66 (24-20- 2) Greenfield             -9.76    -21.24                      
30 10-21-1916 Home    L * *  26.82   0  33    2 164 (11-27- 3) Adel                  -39.05      6.05                      
31 11-04-1916 Unknown W * *  66.82   1   0    2  52 (30-27- 4) Creston                 0.00 X  -17.89  winner only         
32 11-11-1916 Away    L * *  35.31   0  38    2 156 ( 7-18- 3) Osceola               -30.56     -7.44                      
33 11-18-1916 Away    L * *  61.71   0  18    2 119 (15-24- 0) Earlham                -4.15    -13.85                      
34 11-25-1916 Away      * *  66.82   0   0    2 180 (11-13- 0) Dallas Center           0.00 X   -0.17  score missing       
35 10-13-1917 Home    L * *  39.23   6  26    2 156 ( 7-18- 3) Osceola               -26.63      6.63                      
36 11-28-1918 Away      * *  66.82   0   0    2  26 (19-25- 7) Indianola               0.00 X  -27.75  cancel AND influenza
37 10-04-1919 Unknown L      76.35   0  33    1   5 (45-29- 6) Des Moines North       10.48    -43.48                      
38 10-15-1919 Unknown T * *  75.06   6   6    2 110 (13-12- 4) Orient                  9.19     -9.19                      
39 10-25-1919 Unknown L * *  54.23   0  25    2  74 (32-15- 4) Dexter                -11.64    -13.36                      
40 11-08-1919 Unknown L * *  57.06   0  18    2 110 (13-12- 4) Orient                 -8.81     -9.19                      
41 11-11-1919 Away    L * *  64.10   0  18    2 110 (13-12- 4) Orient                 -1.77    -16.23                      
42 11-21-1919 Away    L * *  53.11   0  34    2  66 (24-20- 2) Greenfield            -12.76    -21.24                      
43 09-24-1920 Away    L * *  90.62   6   9    2  26 (19-25- 7) Indianola              24.75    -27.75                      
44 10-01-1920 Home           66.82   0   0   ZZ 164 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X    3.03                      
45 10-08-1920 Home    L * *  48.29   0  26    2  56 (16-16- 3) Valley Junction       -17.58     -8.42                      
46 10-18-1920 Away    L * *  68.10   0  14    2 110 (13-12- 4) Orient                  2.23    -16.23  was 10/15 now 10/18 
47 10-22-1920 Away    W * *  85.71  13   7    2 119 (15-24- 0) Earlham                19.85    -13.85                      
48 10-29-1920 Away    L * *  69.25  14  21    2 133 (13- 7- 2) Redfield                3.38    -10.38                      
49 11-03-1920 Home    L * *  47.04   7  33    2  66 (24-20- 2) Greenfield            -18.83     -7.17                      
50 11-11-1920 Home    L * *  58.19   7  21    2  74 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 -7.68     -6.32                      
51 11-19-1920 Home    L * *  42.83  13  40    2  91 (11- 8- 1) Stuart                -23.04     -3.96                      
52 11-25-1920 Away    W * *  80.31   7   0    2 156 ( 7-18- 3) Osceola                14.44     -7.44                      
      Averages              66.82   4.7 16.2

Best game:  117.23 = 38 point win over Dexter
Worst game:  23.23 = 56 point loss to Earlham Immaculate Conception Academy
Team stdev:  18.63