BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Winterset

Class: 2 Class Rank: 248 Conference: Iowa Record: (11-30-3) Overall: (11-31-3) Overall Strength =   65.79

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L- T) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 09-23-1911 Home    L * *  22.31   0  56    2  28 ( 8- 2- 0) Earlham Immaculate C  -42.46    -13.54                      
 2 09-30-1911 Home           65.79   0   0   ZZ 200 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X    1.69                      
 3 10-07-1911 Home    W * *  82.27  11   0    2  82 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 17.50     -6.50                      
 4 10-28-1911 Away    L * *  52.33   0  40    2  28 ( 8- 2- 0) Earlham Immaculate C  -12.44    -27.56                      
 5 11-04-1911 Home    L * *  54.45   0  18    2  64 (16-17- 3) Valley Junction       -10.33     -7.67                      
 6 11-04-1911 Away      * *  65.79   0   0    2  82 (32-15- 4) Dexter                  0.00 X  -20.52  score missing AND maybe wrong date
 7 11-30-1911 Home           65.79   2   6   ZZ 344 ( 0- 1- 0) Winterset Alumni        0.00 X    7.32  exhibition          
 8 09-27-1912 Home    L * *  55.27   0  16    2  82 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 -9.50     -6.50                      
 9 09-28-1912 Unknown W * * 116.28  38   0    2  82 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 51.51    -13.51                      
10 10-05-1912 Unknown W * *  99.82  28   0    2 127 (15-24- 0) Earlham                35.04     -7.04                      
11 10-12-1912 Unknown L * *  63.16   0  16    2  66 (24-20- 2) Greenfield             -1.61    -14.39                      
12 11-02-1912 Home    L * *  57.32   0  22    2  29 (21-25- 7) Indianola              -7.46    -14.54                      
13 11-09-1912 Unknown W * *  78.82  14   7    2 127 (15-24- 0) Earlham                14.04     -7.04                      
14 11-16-1912 Unknown W * * 100.46  21   0    2  64 (16-17- 3) Valley Junction        35.68    -14.68                      
15 11-23-1912 Unknown W * *  85.16   6   0    2  66 (24-20- 2) Greenfield             20.39    -14.39                      
16 09-27-1913 Unknown L * *  56.28   0  22    2  82 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 -8.49    -13.51                      
17 10-06-1913 Away    L * *  81.33  15  26    2  28 ( 8- 2- 0) Earlham Immaculate C   16.56    -27.56  was 10/03 now 10/06 
18 10-25-1913 Home      * *  65.79   0   0    2  28 ( 8- 2- 0) Earlham Immaculate C    0.00 X  -13.54  score missing       
19 11-08-1913 Home    W * *  73.45   7   6    2  64 (16-17- 3) Valley Junction         8.67     -7.67                      
20 11-21-1913 Away    T * *  85.29   7   7    2  82 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 20.52    -20.52                      
21 11-27-1913 Home           65.79   0   0   ZZ 344 ( 0- 1- 0) Winterset Alumni        0.00 X    7.32  exhibition AND score missing
22 09-26-1914 Away    W * *  94.34   7   6    2  29 (21-25- 7) Indianola              29.56    -28.56                      
23 10-31-1914 Away    T * *  86.47   6   6    2  64 (16-17- 3) Valley Junction        21.69    -21.69                      
24 11-07-1914 Unknown L * *  64.82   0   7    2 127 (15-24- 0) Earlham                 0.04     -7.04                      
25 09-25-1915 Away    L * *  62.34   0  31    2  29 (21-25- 7) Indianola              -2.44    -28.56                      
26 10-02-1915 Away    L * *  46.83   0  32    2 127 (15-24- 0) Earlham               -17.95    -14.05                      
27 09-23-1916 Away    L * *  49.34   0  44    2  29 (21-25- 7) Indianola             -15.44    -28.56                      
28 09-30-1916 Away    L * *  55.29   0  30    2  82 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 -9.48    -20.52                      
29 10-07-1916 Home    L * *  49.81   0  15    2 127 (15-24- 0) Earlham               -14.97     -0.03                      
30 10-14-1916 Away    L * *  55.17   0  31    2  66 (24-20- 2) Greenfield             -9.60    -21.40                      
31 10-21-1916 Home    L * *  25.87   0  33    2 166 (11-27- 3) Adel                  -38.91      5.91                      
32 11-04-1916 Unknown W * *  65.79   1   0    2  50 (30-26- 4) Creston                 0.00 X  -18.53  winner only         
33 11-11-1916 Away    L * *  34.44   0  38    2 157 ( 7-18- 3) Osceola               -30.33     -7.67                      
34 11-18-1916 Away    L * *  60.83   0  18    2 127 (15-24- 0) Earlham                -3.95    -14.05                      
35 11-25-1916 Away      * *  65.79   0   0    2 209 (11-15- 0) Dallas Center           0.00 X    1.20  score missing       
36 10-13-1917 Home    L * *  38.42   6  26    2 157 ( 7-18- 3) Osceola               -26.35      6.35                      
37 11-28-1918 Away      * *  65.79   0   0    2  29 (21-25- 7) Indianola               0.00 X  -28.56  cancel AND influenza
38 10-04-1919 Unknown L      76.21   0  33    1   5 (45-29- 6) Des Moines North       11.43    -44.43                      
39 10-15-1919 Unknown T * *  74.02   6   6    2 120 (13-12- 4) Orient                  9.25     -9.25                      
40 10-25-1919 Unknown L * *  53.28   0  25    2  82 (32-15- 4) Dexter                -11.49    -13.51                      
41 11-08-1919 Unknown L * *  56.02   0  18    2 120 (13-12- 4) Orient                 -8.75     -9.25                      
42 11-11-1919 Away    L * *  63.03   0  18    2 120 (13-12- 4) Orient                 -1.74    -16.26                      
43 11-21-1919 Away    L * *  52.17   0  34    2  66 (24-20- 2) Greenfield            -12.60    -21.40                      
44 09-24-1920 Away    L * *  90.34   6   9    2  29 (21-25- 7) Indianola              25.56    -28.56                      
45 10-01-1920 Home           65.79   0   0   ZZ 200 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X    1.69                      
46 10-08-1920 Home    L * *  46.45   0  26    2  64 (16-17- 3) Valley Junction       -18.33     -7.67                      
47 10-18-1920 Away    L * *  67.03   0  14    2 120 (13-12- 4) Orient                  2.26    -16.26  was 10/15 now 10/18 
48 10-22-1920 Away    W * *  84.83  13   7    2 127 (15-24- 0) Earlham                20.05    -14.05                      
49 10-29-1920 Away    L * *  68.42  14  21    2 135 (13- 7- 2) Redfield                3.65    -10.65                      
50 11-03-1920 Home    L * *  46.15   7  33    2  66 (24-20- 2) Greenfield            -18.62     -7.38                      
51 11-11-1920 Home    L * *  57.27   7  21    2  82 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 -7.50     -6.50                      
52 11-19-1920 Home    L * *  42.11  13  40    2  97 (11- 8- 1) Stuart                -22.67     -4.33                      
53 11-25-1920 Away    W * *  79.44   7   0    2 157 ( 7-18- 3) Osceola                14.67     -7.67                      
      Averages              65.79   4.6 16.3

Best game:  116.28 = 38 point win over Dexter
Worst game:  22.31 = 56 point loss to Earlham Immaculate Conception Academy
Team stdev:  18.46