BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Winterset

Class: 2 Class Rank: 230 Conference: Iowa Record: (11-29-3) Overall: (11-30-3) Overall Strength =   66.55

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L- T) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 09-23-1911 Home    L * *  22.74   0  56    2  28 ( 8- 2- 0) Earlham Immaculate C  -42.88    -13.12                      
 2 09-30-1911 Home           66.55   0   0   ZZ 166 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X    2.85                      
 3 10-07-1911 Home    W * *  82.82  11   0    2  81 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 17.20     -6.20                      
 4 10-28-1911 Away    L * *  52.85   0  40    2  28 ( 8- 2- 0) Earlham Immaculate C  -12.77    -27.23                      
 5 11-04-1911 Home    L * *  56.02   0  18    2  56 (16-16- 3) Valley Junction        -9.60     -8.40                      
 6 11-04-1911 Away      * *  66.55   0   0    2  81 (32-15- 4) Dexter                  0.00 X  -20.32  score missing AND maybe wrong date
 7 11-30-1911 Home           66.55   2   6   ZZ 300 ( 0- 1- 0) Winterset Alumni        0.00 X    8.36  exhibition          
 8 09-27-1912 Home    L * *  55.82   0  16    2  81 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 -9.80     -6.20                      
 9 09-28-1912 Unknown W * * 116.88  38   0    2  81 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 51.26    -13.26                      
10 10-05-1912 Unknown W * * 100.41  28   0    2 122 (15-24- 0) Earlham                34.79     -6.79                      
11 10-12-1912 Unknown L * *  63.85   0  16    2  67 (24-20- 2) Greenfield             -1.77    -14.23                      
12 11-09-1912 Unknown W * *  79.41  14   7    2 122 (15-24- 0) Earlham                13.79     -6.79                      
13 11-16-1912 Unknown W * * 102.08  21   0    2  56 (16-16- 3) Valley Junction        36.46    -15.46                      
14 11-23-1912 Unknown W * *  85.85   6   0    2  67 (24-20- 2) Greenfield             20.23    -14.23                      
15 09-27-1913 Unknown L * *  56.88   0  22    2  81 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 -8.74    -13.26                      
16 10-06-1913 Away    L * *  81.85  15  26    2  28 ( 8- 2- 0) Earlham Immaculate C   16.23    -27.23  was 10/03 now 10/06 
17 10-25-1913 Home      * *  66.55   0   0    2  28 ( 8- 2- 0) Earlham Immaculate C    0.00 X  -13.12  score missing       
18 11-08-1913 Home    W * *  75.02   7   6    2  56 (16-16- 3) Valley Junction         9.40     -8.40                      
19 11-21-1913 Away    T * *  85.94   7   7    2  81 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 20.32    -20.32                      
20 11-27-1913 Home           66.55   0   0   ZZ 300 ( 0- 1- 0) Winterset Alumni        0.00 X    8.36  exhibition AND score missing
21 09-26-1914 Away    W * *  94.61   7   6    2  25 (19-25- 7) Indianola              28.99    -27.99                      
22 10-31-1914 Away    T * *  88.13   6   6    2  56 (16-16- 3) Valley Junction        22.51    -22.51                      
23 11-07-1914 Unknown L * *  65.41   0   7    2 122 (15-24- 0) Earlham                -0.21     -6.79                      
24 09-25-1915 Away    L * *  62.61   0  31    2  25 (19-25- 7) Indianola              -3.01    -27.99                      
25 10-02-1915 Away    L * *  47.47   0  32    2 122 (15-24- 0) Earlham               -18.15    -13.85                      
26 09-23-1916 Away    L * *  49.61   0  44    2  25 (19-25- 7) Indianola             -16.01    -27.99                      
27 09-30-1916 Away    L * *  55.94   0  30    2  81 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 -9.68    -20.32                      
28 10-07-1916 Home    L * *  50.36   0  15    2 122 (15-24- 0) Earlham               -15.26      0.26                      
29 10-14-1916 Away    L * *  55.90   0  31    2  67 (24-20- 2) Greenfield             -9.72    -21.28                      
30 10-21-1916 Home    L * *  26.19   0  33    2 166 (11-27- 3) Adel                  -39.43      6.43                      
31 11-04-1916 Unknown W * *  66.55   1   0    2  50 (30-26- 4) Creston                 0.00 X  -18.26  winner only         
32 11-11-1916 Away    L * *  35.16   0  38    2 155 ( 7-18- 3) Osceola               -30.46     -7.54                      
33 11-18-1916 Away    L * *  61.47   0  18    2 122 (15-24- 0) Earlham                -4.15    -13.85                      
34 11-25-1916 Away      * *  66.55   0   0    2 208 (11-15- 0) Dallas Center           0.00 X    1.79  score missing       
35 10-13-1917 Home    L * *  39.05   6  26    2 155 ( 7-18- 3) Osceola               -26.57      6.57                      
36 11-28-1918 Away      * *  66.55   0   0    2  25 (19-25- 7) Indianola               0.00 X  -27.99  cancel AND influenza
37 10-04-1919 Unknown L      76.48   0  33    1   5 (45-29- 6) Des Moines North       10.86    -43.86                      
38 10-15-1919 Unknown T * *  74.86   6   6    2 114 (13-12- 4) Orient                  9.24     -9.24                      
39 10-25-1919 Unknown L * *  53.88   0  25    2  81 (32-15- 4) Dexter                -11.74    -13.26                      
40 11-08-1919 Unknown L * *  56.86   0  18    2 114 (13-12- 4) Orient                 -8.76     -9.24                      
41 11-11-1919 Away    L * *  63.92   0  18    2 114 (13-12- 4) Orient                 -1.70    -16.30                      
42 11-21-1919 Away    L * *  52.90   0  34    2  67 (24-20- 2) Greenfield            -12.72    -21.28                      
43 09-24-1920 Away    L * *  90.61   6   9    2  25 (19-25- 7) Indianola              24.99    -27.99                      
44 10-01-1920 Home           66.55   0   0   ZZ 166 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X    2.85                      
45 10-08-1920 Home    L * *  48.02   0  26    2  56 (16-16- 3) Valley Junction       -17.60     -8.40                      
46 10-18-1920 Away    L * *  67.92   0  14    2 114 (13-12- 4) Orient                  2.30    -16.30  was 10/15 now 10/18 
47 10-22-1920 Away    W * *  85.47  13   7    2 122 (15-24- 0) Earlham                19.85    -13.85                      
48 10-29-1920 Away    L * *  68.83  14  21    2 137 (13- 7- 2) Redfield                3.21    -10.21                      
49 11-03-1920 Home    L * *  46.79   7  33    2  67 (24-20- 2) Greenfield            -18.83     -7.17                      
50 11-11-1920 Home    L * *  57.82   7  21    2  81 (32-15- 4) Dexter                 -7.80     -6.20                      
51 11-19-1920 Home    L * *  42.57  13  40    2  95 (11- 8- 1) Stuart                -23.05     -3.95                      
52 11-25-1920 Away    W * *  80.16   7   0    2 155 ( 7-18- 3) Osceola                14.54     -7.54                      
      Averages              66.55   4.7 16.2

Best game:  116.88 = 38 point win over Dexter
Worst game:  22.74 = 56 point loss to Earlham Immaculate Conception Academy
Team stdev:  18.66