BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Winterset

Class: 2 Class Rank: 41 Conference: South Central Record: (5-5-1) Overall: (43-43-7) Overall Strength =   66.23

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L- T) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 09/23/1921 Home    W   *  71.15   7   0    2  40 (39-31-10) Earlham                 2.86      4.14                      
 2 09/30/1921 Away    L   *  37.27   0  41    2  17 (46-31- 8) Creston               -31.02     -9.98                      
 3 10/07/1921 Away    W   * 101.88  34   0    2  85 (40-45- 8) Adel                   33.59      0.41                      
 4 10/14/1921 Home    T   *  62.87   0   0    2  51 (50-24-10) Redfield               -5.42      5.42                      
 5 10/21/1921 Home    W   *  67.98  20   0    2 224 (15-29- 3) Dallas Center          -0.32     20.32                      
 6 10/28/1921 Home    L * *  49.67   6  14    2 109 (24-34- 9) Indianola             -18.63     10.63                      
 7 11/03/1921 Away    W   *  72.33   7   0    2 102 (29-34- 6) Dexter                  4.04      2.96                      
 8 11/11/1921 Home    W   *  79.38  28   0    2 191 (13-19- 0) Woodward               11.09     16.91                      
 9 11/18/1921 Home    W   *  92.94  38   6    2  84 (34-31- 5) Osceola                24.65      7.35                      
10 11/24/1921 Away    L   *  29.97   0  42    2  45 (59-30- 9) Guthrie Center        -38.32     -3.68                      
11 09/22/1922 Home    W   * 118.26  58   0    2  85 (40-45- 8) Adel                   49.96      8.04                      
12 09/29/1922 Away    L   *  65.78   0   6    2  40 (39-31-10) Earlham                -2.51     -3.49                      
13 10/06/1922 Away    T   *  70.50   6   6    2  51 (50-24-10) Redfield                2.21     -2.21                      
14 10/13/1922 Home    W   *  76.70  25   6    2 102 (29-34- 6) Dexter                  8.41     10.59                      
15 10/20/1922 Away    L   *  74.97   6   7    2  29 (36-13- 4) Des Moines Catholic     6.68     -7.68                      
16 10/27/1922 Home    T * *  57.67   6   6    2 109 (24-34- 9) Indianola             -10.63     10.63                      
17 11/03/1922 Home           66.23   0   0   ZZ 162 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X   17.93                      
18 11/10/1922 Home    W   *  87.27  32   0    2 157 (36-37-14) Stuart                 18.97     13.03                      
19 11/17/1922 Away    L   *  64.09   0   8    2  43 (46-25- 7) Greenfield             -4.21     -3.79                      
20 09/22/1923 Away    L      63.74   0  21    1   7 (29-18- 3) Des Moines West        -4.56    -16.44                      
21 09/29/1923 Home           66.23   0   0   ZZ 162 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X   17.93                      
22 10/05/1923 Home    L   *  55.15   0   9    2  40 (39-31-10) Earlham               -13.14      4.14                      
23 10/12/1923 Home    W   *  80.87  18   0    2  51 (50-24-10) Redfield               12.58      5.42                      
24 10/20/1923 Away    L * *  38.29   6  33    2 109 (24-34- 9) Indianola             -30.00      3.00                      
25 10/26/1923 Away    W   *  81.88  14   0    2  85 (40-45- 8) Adel                   13.59      0.41                      
26 10/31/1923 Home    W   *  83.46  19   0    2  43 (46-25- 7) Greenfield             15.16      3.84                      
27 11/09/1923 Away    L   *  50.90   0  12    2 157 (36-37-14) Stuart                -17.40      5.40                      
28 11/16/1923 Home    W   *  77.11  21   6    2  50 (32-31- 8) Colfax                  8.82      6.18                      
29 11/23/1923 Home    L   *  59.08   8  19    2  31 (53-34- 9) Perry                  -9.22     -1.78                      
30 09/19/1924 Home           66.23   6   6   ZZ 163 ( 0- 0- 0) Winterset Alumni        0.00 X   17.93  exhibition          
31 09/27/1924 Home    L      30.11   0  47    1   7 (29-18- 3) Des Moines West       -38.18     -8.82                      
32 10/03/1924 Home    T   *  60.26   7   7    2  85 (40-45- 8) Adel                   -8.04      8.04                      
33 10/11/1924 Away    T   *  70.50   6   6    2  51 (50-24-10) Redfield                2.21     -2.21                      
34 10/17/1924 Home    L * *  50.67   6  13    2 109 (24-34- 9) Indianola             -17.63     10.63                      
35 10/24/1924 Away    L   *  19.78   0  52    2  40 (39-31-10) Earlham               -48.51     -3.49                      
36 10/31/1924 Home    W   *  92.27  37   0    2 157 (36-37-14) Stuart                 23.97     13.03                      
37 11/05/1924 Away    L   *  14.33   0  51    2 102 (29-34- 6) Dexter                -53.96      2.96                      
38 11/14/1924 Home    L   *   8.34   0  60    2  29 (36-13- 4) Des Moines Catholic   -59.95     -0.05                      
39 11/21/1924 Away    L   *  31.70   0  46    2  31 (53-34- 9) Perry                 -36.59     -9.41                      
40 11/28/1924 Away    L   *  43.74   0  26    2  50 (32-31- 8) Colfax                -24.55     -1.45                      
41 09/18/1925 Home           66.23   0   0   ZZ 162 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X   17.93                      
42 09/25/1925 Away    L   *  61.50   0   9    2  51 (50-24-10) Redfield               -6.79     -2.21                      
43 10/02/1925 Home    L   *  63.64   7  14    2  17 (46-31- 8) Creston                -4.65     -2.35                      
44 10/16/1925 Away    L   *  59.97   0  12    2  45 (59-30- 9) Guthrie Center         -8.32     -3.68                      
45 10/23/1925 Home    W   *  71.15   7   0    2  40 (39-31-10) Earlham                 2.86      4.14                      
46 10/30/1925 Home           66.23   0   0   ZZ 162 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X   17.93                      
47 11/06/1925 Home           66.23   0   0   ZZ 162 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X   17.93                      
48 11/11/1925 Away    L * *  47.29   0  18    2 109 (24-34- 9) Indianola             -21.00      3.00  was 11/06 was 11/11 
49 11/20/1925 Home    W   *  83.70  26   0    2 102 (29-34- 6) Dexter                 15.41     10.59                      
50 11/26/1925 Home    W   *  65.11   3   0    2  50 (32-31- 8) Colfax                 -3.18      6.18                      
51 09/24/1926 Home    L   *  60.87   7   9    2  51 (50-24-10) Redfield               -7.42      5.42                      
52 10/01/1926 Away    L   *  57.27   7  28    2  17 (46-31- 8) Creston               -11.02     -9.98                      
53 10/08/1926 Home    W   *  61.27   6   0    2 157 (36-37-14) Stuart                 -7.03     13.03                      
54 10/15/1926 Away    L   *  57.33   0   8    2 102 (29-34- 6) Dexter                -10.96      2.96                      
55 10/22/1926 Away    W   *  90.78  19   0    2  40 (39-31-10) Earlham                22.49     -3.49                      
56 10/29/1926 Away    L   *  65.09   0   7    2  43 (46-25- 7) Greenfield             -3.21     -3.79                      
57 11/05/1926 Away    L   *  60.88   7  14    2  85 (40-45- 8) Adel                   -7.41      0.41                      
58 11/11/1926 Home    W * *  77.67  20   0    2 109 (24-34- 9) Indianola               9.37     10.63                      
59 11/19/1926 Home           66.23   0   0   ZZ 162 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X   17.93                      
60 11/25/1926 Home        *  66.23   0   0    2  84 (34-31- 5) Osceola                 0.00 X    7.35  cancel              
61 09/16/1927 Away    W   *  76.15  31   0    2 324 ( 7-21- 2) Lorimor                 7.86     23.14                      
62 09/24/1927 Away    L      52.73   0  26    1  17 (31-33- 9) Boone                 -15.57    -10.43                      
63 09/30/1927 Home    W   *  84.64  14   0    2  17 (46-31- 8) Creston                16.35     -2.35                      
64 10/07/1927 Away    W   * 108.90  46   0    2 157 (36-37-14) Stuart                 40.60      5.40                      
65 10/14/1927 Home    W   *  88.70  31   0    2 102 (29-34- 6) Dexter                 20.41     10.59                      
66 10/22/1927 Home    W   *  75.34   7   0    2  29 (36-13- 4) Des Moines Catholic     7.05     -0.05                      
67 10/28/1927 Home    L   *  57.46   0   7    2  43 (46-25- 7) Greenfield            -10.84      3.84                      
68 11/02/1927 Home    L   *  53.26   0   7    2  85 (40-45- 8) Adel                  -15.04      8.04                      
69 11/11/1927 Away    W * *  86.29  21   0    2 109 (24-34- 9) Indianola              18.00      3.00                      
70 11/18/1927 Away    L      69.63   0  25    1   3 (58-16-11) Cedar Rapids            1.34    -26.34                      
71 11/24/1927 Away    L   *  62.57   0   6    2  84 (34-31- 5) Osceola                -5.72     -0.28                      
72 09/21/1928 Away    L      53.73   0  25    1  17 (31-33- 9) Boone                 -14.57    -10.43                      
73 09/28/1928 Away    L   *  77.27   6   7    2  17 (46-31- 8) Creston                 8.98     -9.98                      
74 10/05/1928 Home        *  66.23   0   0    2 386 ( 1- 7- 1) Prescott                0.00 X   43.76  score missing       
75 10/12/1928 Away    W   *  92.33  27   0    2 102 (29-34- 6) Dexter                 24.04      2.96                      
76 10/19/1928 Away    L   *  62.97   0  13    2  29 (36-13- 4) Des Moines Catholic    -5.32     -7.68  estimate            
77 10/26/1928 Away    L   *  65.09   6  13    2  43 (46-25- 7) Greenfield             -3.21     -3.79                      
78 11/02/1928 Home    T   *  64.15   0   0    2  40 (39-31-10) Earlham                -4.14      4.14                      
79 11/09/1928 Home    L * *  51.67   0   6    2 109 (24-34- 9) Indianola             -16.63     10.63                      
80 11/16/1928 Away    L   *  59.97   0  12    2  45 (59-30- 9) Guthrie Center         -8.32     -3.68                      
81 11/23/1928 Away    T   *  62.90   0   0    2 157 (36-37-14) Stuart                 -5.40      5.40                      
82 11/29/1928 Home    L   *  53.94   0   7    2  84 (34-31- 5) Osceola               -14.35      7.35                      
83 09/13/1929 Away    L   *  64.50   0   6    2  51 (50-24-10) Redfield               -3.79     -2.21                      
84 09/20/1929 Home    W   *  81.52  44   0    2 324 ( 7-21- 2) Lorimor                13.23     30.77  Winterset: two safeties
85 09/27/1929 Home    L   *  64.64   0   6    2  17 (46-31- 8) Creston                -3.65     -2.35                      
86 10/04/1929 Away    W   *  74.88  13   6    2  85 (40-45- 8) Adel                    6.59      0.41                      
87 10/11/1929 Home    W   *  83.70  26   0    2 102 (29-34- 6) Dexter                 15.41     10.59                      
88 10/19/1929 Away    W   *  68.61  13   0    2 224 (15-29- 3) Dallas Center           0.31     12.69                      
89 10/25/1929 Home    W   * 124.46  60   0    2  43 (46-25- 7) Greenfield             56.16      3.84                      
90 11/01/1929 Away    W   *  79.78  14   6    2  40 (39-31-10) Earlham                11.49     -3.49                      
91 11/09/1929 Away    W * *  85.29  20   0    2 109 (24-34- 9) Indianola              17.00      3.00                      
92 11/15/1929 Home    W   *  91.34  27   0    2  45 (59-30- 9) Guthrie Center         23.05      3.95                      
93 11/22/1929 Home           66.23   0   0   ZZ 162 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X   17.93                      
94 11/28/1929 Home    L   *  55.99   0   6    2  95 (37-19- 4) Orient                -12.30      6.30                      
95 09/19/1930 Away    W   *  67.15  22   0    2 324 ( 7-21- 2) Lorimor                -1.14     23.14                      
96 09/26/1930 Home           66.23   0   0   ZZ 162 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X   17.93                      
97 10/03/1930 Home    W   *  71.26  24  13    2  85 (40-45- 8) Adel                    2.96      8.04                      
98 10/10/1930 Away    W * * 109.27  37   0    2  41 (31-28- 5) Knoxville              40.97     -3.97                      
99 10/17/1930 Away    W   * 105.09  33   0    2  43 (46-25- 7) Greenfield             36.79     -3.79                      
100 10/24/1930 Home    L   *  71.33   6  12    2   5 (45-11-11) Valley Junction         3.04     -9.04                      
101 10/31/1930 Home    W   *  97.15  45  12    2  40 (39-31-10) Earlham                28.86      4.14                      
102 11/07/1930 Home    W * *  83.67  26   0    2 109 (24-34- 9) Indianola              15.37     10.63                      
103 11/14/1930 Home           66.23   0   0   ZZ 162 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X   17.93                      
104 11/21/1930 Home    W   *  74.08  18  14    2  31 (53-34- 9) Perry                   5.78     -1.78                      
105 11/27/1930 Away    W   *  75.62  20  14    2  95 (37-19- 4) Orient                  7.33     -1.33                      
      Averages              66.23  11.1  8.8

Best game:  124.46 = 60 point win over Greenfield
Worst game:   8.34 = 60 point loss to Des Moines Catholic Academy
Team stdev:  20.47