BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 29 Overall: (5-4) Overall Strength = 81.57
Conference: Independent 4A Record: (0-2) | District: 4A-01 Record: (1-3)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09-09-1977 Away W * 85.23 16 0 4A 38 ( 0- 9) Muscatine 2.74 13.26
2 09-16-1977 Away W 93.19 31 0 3A 81 ( 1- 5) Keokuk 10.70 20.30
3 09-23-1977 Home L * * 70.43 13 34 4A 15 ( 5- 3) Burlington -12.06 -8.94
4 09-30-1977 Home W 90.15 35 0 3A 75 ( 2- 5) Oskaloosa 7.66 * 27.34
5 10-07-1977 Home W 82.49 12 6 ZZ 22 ( 0- 1) Roselle Lake Park IL 0.00 6.00 homecoming
6 10-14-1977 Home L 73.24 7 39 3A 4 ( 8- 1) Fairfield -9.25 -22.75
7 10-21-1977 Home W 82.55 21 6 3A 49 ( 3- 4) Mount Pleasant 0.06 14.94
8 10-28-1977 Away L * * 81.31 0 30 4A 1 ( 9- 3) Newton -1.18 * -28.82
9 11-04-1977 Away L * 83.82 12 22 4A 19 ( 3- 2) WDM Dowling 1.33 -11.33
Averages 82.49 16.3 15.2
Best game: 93.19 = 31 point win over Keokuk
Worst game: 70.43 = 21 point loss to Burlington
Team stdev: 7.20