BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 11 Overall: (6-3) Overall Strength = 106.90
Conference: Independent 4A Record: (1-0) | District: 4A-01 Record: (2-3)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09-08-1978 Home L * 85.96 12 15 4A 32 ( 4- 5) Muscatine -18.71 15.71
2 09-15-1978 Home W 86.81 31 12 3A 69 ( 0- 9) Keokuk -17.86 * 36.86
3 09-22-1978 Away W * 119.56 42 6 4A 39 ( 2- 7) Burlington 14.89 21.11
4 09-29-1978 Away W 119.42 14 0 3A 10 ( 8- 1) Oskaloosa 14.75 -0.75
5 10-06-1978 Home L * 89.36 25 48 4A 5 ( 6- 3) CR Jefferson -15.31 -7.69
6 10-13-1978 Away W 110.69 16 7 3A 12 ( 6- 3) Fairfield 6.02 2.98
7 10-20-1978 Away W 111.07 33 18 3A 28 ( 5- 4) Mount Pleasant 6.40 8.60
8 10-27-1978 Home W * * 123.12 37 12 4A 21 ( 4- 4) Newton 18.45 6.55
9 11-03-1978 Home L * 96.02 6 14 4A 13 ( 5- 2) WDM Dowling -8.64 0.64
Averages 104.67 24.0 14.7
Best game: 123.12 = 25 point win over Newton
Worst game: 85.96 = 3 point loss to Muscatine
Team stdev: 15.15