BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Carroll

Class: 2 Class Rank: 342 Conference: Iowa Record: (13-37-0) Overall: (24-65-0) Overall Strength =   38.55

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 09/04/1981 Home    L * *  10.02  22  40    2 433 ( 16- 29-  0) Manilla               -28.06     10.06                      
 2 09/11/1981 Away    L * *  20.22   7  40    2 146 ( 47- 40-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond  -17.86    -15.14                      
 3 09/18/1981 Away    L   *  18.92   6  50    2  38 ( 75- 22-  0) Ogden                 -19.16    -24.84                      
 4 09/25/1981 Home    L   *  17.51   7  33    2 242 ( 37- 55-  0) Audubon               -20.58     -5.42                      
 5 10/02/1981 Away    L   *  17.98   0  35    2 148 ( 54- 38-  0) Manning               -20.10    -14.90                      
 6 10/09/1981 Home    L * *  17.09   0  42    2  49 ( 64- 25-  0) Denison               -21.00    -21.00  homecoming          
 7 10/16/1981 Home    L * *  48.67  10  13    2 127 ( 30- 15-  0) Jefferson              10.58    -13.58                      
 8 10/23/1981 Away    L * *   7.91   6  34    2 380 ( 29- 61-  0) Perry                 -30.17      2.17                      
 9 10/30/1981 Away    W * *  57.75  14   0    2 282 ( 47- 41-  0) Glidden-Ralston        19.67     -5.67                      
10 09/03/1982 Away    W * *  56.74  27   0    2 433 ( 16- 29-  0) Manilla                18.65      8.35                      
11 09/10/1982 Home    L * *  30.51   0  21    2 146 ( 47- 40-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   -7.58    -13.42                      
12 09/17/1982 Home    W   *  45.14   9   0    2 362 ( 44- 50-  0) Madrid                  7.05      1.95                      
13 09/24/1982 Away    W   *  50.22  12   7    2 242 ( 37- 55-  0) Audubon                12.14     -7.14                      
14 10/01/1982 Home    L   *  45.27   7  13    2 148 ( 54- 38-  0) Manning                 7.19    -13.19                      
15 10/08/1982 Away    L * *  40.80   7  27    2  49 ( 64- 25-  0) Denison                 2.72    -22.72                      
16 10/15/1982 Away    L * *  48.38  13  18    2 127 ( 30- 15-  0) Jefferson              10.29    -15.29  homecoming          
17 10/22/1982 Home    W * *  35.20   7   6    2 380 ( 29- 61-  0) Perry                  -2.88      3.88                      
18 10/29/1982 Home    L * *  32.04  32  42    2 282 ( 47- 41-  0) Glidden-Ralston        -6.05     -3.95                      
19 09/02/1983 Home    W * *  69.02  41   0    2 433 ( 16- 29-  0) Manilla                30.94     10.06                      
20 09/10/1983 Away    L * *  41.22  30  42    2 146 ( 47- 40-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond    3.14    -15.14                      
21 09/16/1983 Away    W   *  84.85  47   0    2 362 ( 44- 50-  0) Madrid                 46.76      0.24                      
22 09/23/1983 Home    W   *  63.51  20   0    2 242 ( 37- 55-  0) Audubon                25.42     -5.42                      
23 09/30/1983 Away    L   *  48.98  10  14    2 148 ( 54- 38-  0) Manning                10.90    -14.90  homecoming AND Carroll: 8 turnovers
24 10/07/1983 Home    L * *  43.09  12  28    2  49 ( 64- 25-  0) Denison                 5.00    -21.00  homecoming          
25 10/14/1983 Home    W * *  58.67  14   7    2 127 ( 30- 15-  0) Jefferson              20.58    -13.58                      
26 10/21/1983 Away    W * *  57.91  22   0    2 380 ( 29- 61-  0) Perry                  19.83      2.17                      
27 10/28/1983 Away    W * *  53.75  17   7    2 282 ( 47- 41-  0) Glidden-Ralston        15.67     -5.67                      
28 09/07/1984 Away    W   *  54.34  13   7 1  2 196 ( 35- 38-  0) Dunlap-Dow City-Ario   16.25    -10.25                      
29 09/14/1984 Home    L * *  45.51  30  36 1  2 146 ( 47- 40-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond    7.42    -13.42                      
30 09/21/1984 Away    L * *  35.73  12  13    2 370 ( 26- 32-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard     -2.36      1.36  homecoming          
31 09/28/1984 Away    L   *  37.22  27  35    2 242 ( 37- 55-  0) Audubon                -0.86     -7.14                      
32 10/05/1984 Home    L   *  16.27   0  35    2 148 ( 54- 38-  0) Manning               -21.81    -13.19                      
33 10/12/1984 Away    L * *  53.80  35  42    2  49 ( 64- 25-  0) Denison                15.72    -22.72                      
34 10/19/1984 Away    L * *  48.38   6  11    2 127 ( 30- 15-  0) Jefferson              10.29    -15.29                      
35 10/26/1984 Home    W * *  41.20  26  19    2 380 ( 29- 61-  0) Perry                   3.12      3.88                      
36 11/02/1984 Home    L * *  45.09   6  20    2  49 ( 64- 25-  0) Denison                 7.00    -21.00                      
37 11/02/1984 Home        *  38.55   0   0    2  38 ( 75- 22-  0) Ogden                   0.00 X  -23.12  cancel AND Ogden made the playoffs
38 09/06/1985 Home    L   *  24.63   6  28    2 196 ( 35- 38-  0) Dunlap-Dow City-Ario  -13.46     -8.54                      
39 09/14/1985 Away    L * *  25.22   0  28    2 146 ( 47- 40-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond  -12.86    -15.14                      
40 09/20/1985 Home    L * *   8.01  14  41    2 370 ( 26- 32-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard    -30.07      3.07  homecoming          
41 09/27/1985 Home    L   *  31.51   8  20    2 242 ( 37- 55-  0) Audubon                -6.58     -5.42  homecoming          
42 10/04/1985 Away    L   *   8.98   0  44    2 148 ( 54- 38-  0) Manning               -29.10    -14.90                      
43 10/11/1985 Home    L * *  21.09  13  51    2  49 ( 64- 25-  0) Denison               -17.00    -21.00                      
44 10/18/1985 Home    L * *  23.67   6  34    2 127 ( 30- 15-  0) Jefferson             -14.42    -13.58                      
45 10/25/1985 Away    L * *  28.91   7  14    2 380 ( 29- 61-  0) Perry                  -9.17      2.17                      
46 11/01/1985 Away    L   *  44.92  22  40    2  38 ( 75- 22-  0) Ogden                   6.84    -24.84                      
47 09/05/1986 Home    L * *  32.25   0  24    2 104 ( 55- 29-  0) Sioux Center           -5.83    -18.17                      
48 09/12/1986 Home    W   *  59.56  27  20 1  2 118 ( 65- 30-  0) Griswold               21.47    -14.47                      
49 09/19/1986 Away    L * *  44.87   6  16    2 112 ( 55- 32-  0) Norwalk                 6.78    -16.78                      
50 09/26/1986 Away    L * *  23.91  14  26    2 380 ( 29- 61-  0) Perry                 -14.17      2.17                      
51 10/03/1986 Away    L * *  41.80   7  26    2  49 ( 64- 25-  0) Denison                 3.72    -22.72                      
52 10/10/1986 Home    L * *  32.79   8  20    2 227 (  9-  9-  0) Jefferson-Scranton     -5.30     -6.70  homecoming          
53 10/17/1986 Away    L   *  37.22  14  22    2 242 ( 37- 55-  0) Audubon                -0.86     -7.14                      
54 10/24/1986 Home    L * *  16.51   0  35    2 146 ( 47- 40-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond  -21.58    -13.42                      
55 10/31/1986 Away        *  38.55   0   0    2 141 ( 55- 40-  0) Logan-Magnolia          0.00 X  -15.15  cancel AND rain     
56 10/31/1986 Away        *  38.55   0   0    2 167 ( 48- 42-  0) Missouri Valley         0.00 X  -11.99  cancel              
57 09/04/1987 Away    W * *  63.96   6   0    2 104 ( 55- 29-  0) Sioux Center           25.88    -19.88                      
58 09/11/1987 Away    L   *  33.27   0  21    2 118 ( 65- 30-  0) Griswold               -4.81    -16.19  Carroll 6 turnovers 
59 09/18/1987 Home    L * *  41.15   8  20    2 112 ( 55- 32-  0) Norwalk                 3.07    -15.07                      
60 09/25/1987 Home    W * *  54.20  27   7    2 380 ( 29- 61-  0) Perry                  16.12      3.88  homecoming          
61 10/02/1987 Home    L * *  32.09  21  48    2  49 ( 64- 25-  0) Denison                -6.00    -21.00                      
62 10/09/1987 Away    W * *  60.50  14   0    2 227 (  9-  9-  0) Jefferson-Scranton     22.41     -8.41                      
63 10/16/1987 Home    L   *  37.51  20  26    2 242 ( 37- 55-  0) Audubon                -0.58     -5.42                      
64 10/24/1987 Away    L * *  23.22   7  37    2 146 ( 47- 40-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond  -14.86    -15.14                      
65 10/30/1987 Home    L   *  22.36   7  33    2 167 ( 48- 42-  0) Missouri Valley       -15.72    -10.28                      
66 09/02/1988 Home    W   *  48.56  14   8    2 276 ( 48- 41-  0) Neola Tri-Center       10.47     -4.47                      
67 09/09/1988 Home    L   *  30.04   0   7    2 348 (  7- 18-  1) Alta-Aurelia           -8.05      1.05                      
68 09/16/1988 Away    L   *  45.27  18  27    2 118 ( 65- 30-  0) Griswold                7.19    -16.19                      
69 09/23/1988 Away    L   *  18.60  14  34    2 350 ( 32- 55-  0) Waukee                -19.48     -0.52                      
70 09/30/1988 Away    L * *  39.80  14  35    2  49 ( 64- 25-  0) Denison                 1.72    -22.72                      
71 10/07/1988 Home    L   *  41.72  14  21    2 161 ( 17- 11-  0) Jefferson JSPC          3.64    -10.64  homecoming          
72 10/14/1988 Away    L   *  18.22   8  35    2 242 ( 37- 55-  0) Audubon               -19.86     -7.14                      
73 10/21/1988 Home    W * *  61.51  24  14    2 146 ( 47- 40-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   23.42    -13.42                      
74 10/28/1988 Home    L   *  26.36   8  30    2 167 ( 48- 42-  0) Missouri Valley       -11.72    -10.28                      
75 09/01/1989 Away    W   *  50.27   6   0    2 276 ( 48- 41-  0) Neola Tri-Center       12.18     -6.18                      
76 09/08/1989 Away    L * *  49.62   7  12    2 125 ( 58- 34-  0) Mapleton Maple Valle   11.53    -16.53                      
77 09/15/1989 Home    W   *  56.56  26  22    2 118 ( 65- 30-  0) Griswold               18.47    -14.47                      
78 09/22/1989 Home    W   *  56.89  27   7    2 350 ( 32- 55-  0) Waukee                 18.81      1.19                      
79 09/29/1989 Home    L * *  20.09   6  45    2  49 ( 64- 25-  0) Denison               -18.00    -21.00  homecoming          
80 10/06/1989 Away    L   *  31.44   0  19    2 161 ( 17- 11-  0) Jefferson JSPC         -6.65    -12.35  homecoming          
81 10/13/1989 Home    L   *  26.51   7  24    2 242 ( 37- 55-  0) Audubon               -11.58     -5.42                      
82 10/21/1989 Away    L * *  50.22  14  17 1  2 146 ( 47- 40-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   12.14    -15.14                      
83 10/27/1989 Away    L   *  45.08  19  24    2 167 ( 48- 42-  0) Missouri Valley         6.99    -11.99                      
84 08/31/1990 Away    W   *  25.22  14  34    2 242 ( 37- 55-  0) Audubon               -12.86     -7.14  post-game forfeit   
85 09/07/1990 Home    L   *  27.56  12  27    2 276 ( 48- 41-  0) Neola Tri-Center      -10.53     -4.47                      
86 09/14/1990 Home    L   *  19.72   0  29    2 161 ( 17- 11-  0) Jefferson JSPC        -18.36    -10.64                      
87 09/21/1990 Away    L   *  24.60   7  21    2 350 ( 32- 55-  0) Waukee                -13.48     -0.52                      
88 09/28/1990 Home    W * *  79.01  44   0    2 370 ( 26- 32-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard     40.93      3.07  homecoming          
89 10/05/1990 Away    L * *  14.46   0  47    2  40 ( 16-  3-  0) Wall Lake View Aubur  -23.63    -23.37                      
90 10/12/1990 Home    L * *  44.91  14  22 1  2 125 ( 58- 34-  0) Mapleton Maple Valle    6.82    -14.82                      
91 10/19/1990 Away    L   *  19.94  12  33    2 323 ( 40- 50-  1) Grimes Dallas Center  -18.14     -2.86                      
92 10/26/1990 Home    L * *  36.51   6  21    2 146 ( 47- 40-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   -1.58    -13.42                      
      Averages              38.55  12.5 22.1

Best game:   84.85 = 47 point win over Madrid
Worst game:   7.91 = 28 point loss to Perry
Team stdev:  16.52