BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fredericksburg

Class: 2 Class Rank: 349 Conference: Iowa Record: (30-29-0) Overall: (36-43-0) Overall Strength =   38.31

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 09/04/1981 Away    W * *  55.98   7   0    2 190 ( 54- 29-  0) Clarksville            17.24    -10.24                      
 2 09/11/1981 Away    L   *  42.56  17  24    2 197 ( 36- 41-  0) Calmar South Winnesh    3.82    -10.82                      
 3 09/18/1981 Home    L * *  42.49   7  13    2 167 ( 64- 29-  0) Tripoli                 3.75     -9.75                      
 4 09/25/1981 Away    W   *  44.95   7   0    2 364 ( 22- 67-  0) Jesup                   6.21      0.79  homecoming          
 5 10/09/1981 Home    L * *  27.87   0  31    2  58 ( 62- 28-  0) Denver                -10.86    -20.14                      
 6 09/10/1982 Away    L   *  43.37   2  36    2   3 ( 89- 12-  0) Fairbank Wapsie Vall    4.64    -38.64  safety              
 7 09/17/1982 Home    L   *  43.86   0   4    2 197 ( 36- 41-  0) Calmar South Winnesh    5.12     -9.12                      
 8 09/24/1982 Away    W * *  70.20  22   2    2 167 ( 64- 29-  0) Tripoli                31.46    -11.46                      
 9 10/01/1982 Home    L   *  30.24   6  12    2 364 ( 22- 67-  0) Jesup                  -8.50      2.50                      
10 10/08/1982 Unknown W * *  34.84  20  12 2  2 450 ( 17- 60-  0) Dunkerton              -3.90     11.90                      
11 10/15/1982 Away    L * *  37.58   6  29    2  58 ( 62- 28-  0) Denver                 -1.16    -21.84                      
12 10/22/1982 Home    L   *  14.07   0  47    2  57 ( 50- 30-  0) Jackson Junction Tur  -24.67    -22.33                      
13 10/29/1982 Away    W * *  46.66  35   7    2 490 ( 15- 61-  0) Plainfield              7.92     20.08                      
14 09/02/1983 Unknown L   *  -9.44   0  41    2 410 ( 19- 63-  0) Elgin Valley          -48.18      7.18                      
15 09/16/1983 Unknown L   *  57.52  12  31    2   3 ( 89- 12-  0) Fairbank Wapsie Vall   18.78    -37.78                      
16 09/30/1983 Home    L * *  26.49   6  28    2 167 ( 64- 29-  0) Tripoli               -12.25     -9.75                      
17 10/07/1983 Away    L   *  29.95   0   8    2 364 ( 22- 67-  0) Jesup                  -8.79      0.79  homecoming          
18 10/21/1983 Neutral L * *  43.73  12  28    2  58 ( 62- 28-  0) Denver                  4.99    -20.99                      
19 09/07/1984 Home    W   *  50.71  20   0    2 410 ( 19- 63-  0) Elgin Valley           11.97      8.03                      
20 09/14/1984 Home    W * *  49.32  33   0    2 483 ( 10- 46-  0) Dumont                 10.58     22.42                      
21 09/21/1984 Away    W * *  45.66  27   0    2 490 ( 15- 61-  0) Plainfield              6.92     20.08                      
22 09/28/1984 Away    L * *  24.98  12  36    2 190 ( 54- 29-  0) Clarksville           -13.76    -10.24                      
23 10/05/1984 Home    W * *  83.93  48   0    2 366 ( 36- 36-  0) New Hartford           45.19      2.81  homecoming          
24 10/12/1984 Away    L * *  43.20  14  21    2 167 ( 64- 29-  0) Tripoli                 4.46    -11.46                      
25 10/19/1984 Home    L * *  32.17   6  27    2 120 ( 60- 19-  0) Mason City Newman      -6.57    -14.43                      
26 10/26/1984 Away    W * *  58.63  35  12    2 384 ( 28- 48-  0) Janesville             19.89      3.11                      
27 11/02/1984 Home           38.31   0   0   ZZ 183 (  0-  0-  1) open                    0.00 X   10.99                      
28 09/06/1985 Away    W   *  46.41  22   8    2 410 ( 19- 63-  0) Elgin Valley            7.67      6.33                      
29 09/13/1985 Away    W * *  58.03  40   0    2 483 ( 10- 46-  0) Dumont                 19.29     20.71                      
30 09/20/1985 Home    W * *  46.95  46  16    2 490 ( 15- 61-  0) Plainfield              8.21     21.79  homecoming          
31 09/27/1985 Home    L * *  19.27   6  34    2 190 ( 54- 29-  0) Clarksville           -19.47     -8.53                      
32 10/04/1985 Away    W * *  44.63  21  14    2 366 ( 36- 36-  0) New Hartford            5.89      1.11  homecoming          
33 10/11/1985 Neutral L * *  42.34  36  43    2 167 ( 64- 29-  0) Tripoli                 3.60    -10.60                      
34 10/18/1985 Away    W * *  57.87  12   9    2 120 ( 60- 19-  0) Mason City Newman      19.13    -16.13                      
35 10/25/1985 Home    W * *  74.92  41   0    2 384 ( 28- 48-  0) Janesville             36.18      4.82                      
36 11/01/1985 Home           38.31   0   0   ZZ 183 (  0-  0-  1) open                    0.00 X   10.99                      
37 09/05/1986 Home    L * *   9.92   6  30    2 384 ( 28- 48-  0) Janesville            -28.82      4.82                      
38 09/12/1986 Home    L * *  15.27   8  40    2 190 ( 54- 29-  0) Clarksville           -23.47     -8.53                      
39 09/19/1986 Away    L * *  30.20  14  34    2 167 ( 64- 29-  0) Tripoli                -8.54    -11.46                      
40 09/26/1986 Home    W * *  23.95  13   6    2 490 ( 15- 61-  0) Plainfield            -14.79     21.79                      
41 10/03/1986 Home    L * *  20.93   6  21    2 366 ( 36- 36-  0) New Hartford          -17.81      2.81                      
42 10/10/1986 Away    L   * -10.67   0  55    2 279 ( 28- 39-  0) Lansing Kee           -49.41     -5.59                      
43 10/16/1986 Neutral L * *  20.02   8  42    2 120 ( 60- 19-  0) Mason City Newman     -18.72    -15.28                      
44 10/24/1986 Home    W * *  37.99  20   8    2 450 ( 17- 60-  0) Dunkerton              -0.75     12.75                      
45 10/31/1986 Away    L * *  -0.97   0  19    2 483 ( 10- 46-  0) Dumont                -39.71     20.71                      
46 09/04/1987 Home    W      57.94  32   0   ZZ 190 (  0-  1-  0) Mason City Sophomore   19.20     12.80                      
47 09/11/1987 Away    W * *  72.20  22   0    2 167 ( 64- 29-  0) Tripoli                33.46    -11.46                      
48 09/18/1987 Home    W * *  52.27   7   2    2 190 ( 54- 29-  0) Clarksville            13.53     -8.53  safety              
49 09/25/1987 Away    W * *  40.66  22   0    2 490 ( 15- 61-  0) Plainfield              1.92     20.08                      
50 10/02/1987 Away    L * *  34.63  10  13    2 366 ( 36- 36-  0) New Hartford           -4.11      1.11                      
51 10/09/1987 Home    W * *  58.99  33   0    2 450 ( 17- 60-  0) Dunkerton              20.25     12.75                      
52 10/15/1987 Neutral L * *  37.02  15  32    2 120 ( 60- 19-  0) Mason City Newman      -1.72    -15.28                      
53 10/23/1987 Home    W * *  63.92  30   0    2 384 ( 28- 48-  0) Janesville             25.18      4.82                      
54 10/30/1987 Neutral W   *  54.93  13  10    2 136 ( 43- 37-  0) Nashua                 16.19    -13.19                      
55 09/02/1988 Home    W   *  83.04  40   0    2 259 ( 41- 48-  0) Belle Plaine           44.30     -4.30                      
56 09/09/1988 Home    W * *  62.49  21   7    2 167 ( 64- 29-  0) Tripoli                23.75     -9.75                      
57 09/16/1988 Away    W * *  61.98  13   0    2 190 ( 54- 29-  0) Clarksville            23.24    -10.24                      
58 09/23/1988 Home    W * *  54.95  38   0    2 490 ( 15- 61-  0) Plainfield             16.21     21.79  homecoming          
59 09/30/1988 Home    W * *  41.93   6   0    2 366 ( 36- 36-  0) New Hartford            3.19      2.81                      
60 10/07/1988 Away    W * *  45.70  18   0    2 450 ( 17- 60-  0) Dunkerton               6.96     11.04                      
61 10/14/1988 Home    W * *  60.17  27  20    2 120 ( 60- 19-  0) Mason City Newman      21.43    -14.43                      
62 10/21/1988 Away    W * *  96.63  68   7    2 384 ( 28- 48-  0) Janesville             57.89      3.11                      
63 10/26/1988 Away    L   *  47.82   7  13    2 153 ( 50- 31-  0) Maynard West Central    9.08    -15.08                      
64 10/28/1988 Away        *  38.31   0   0    2 410 ( 19- 63-  0) Elgin Valley            0.00 X    6.33  cancel AND Fredericksburg made the playoffs
65 09/01/1989 Away    L   *  10.75   6  40    2 259 ( 41- 48-  0) Belle Plaine          -27.99     -6.01                      
66 09/08/1989 Away    L * *  14.20   6  42    2 167 ( 64- 29-  0) Tripoli               -24.54    -11.46                      
67 09/15/1989 Home    L * *  21.27   0  26    2 190 ( 54- 29-  0) Clarksville           -17.47     -8.53                      
68 09/22/1989 Away    L * *   5.66   0  13    2 490 ( 15- 61-  0) Plainfield            -33.08     20.08                      
69 09/29/1989 Away    L * *   2.63   0  35    2 366 ( 36- 36-  0) New Hartford          -36.11      1.11                      
70 10/06/1989 Home    L * *  11.99   6  20    2 450 ( 17- 60-  0) Dunkerton             -26.75     12.75                      
71 10/12/1989 Away    L * *  18.87   6  42    2 120 ( 60- 19-  0) Mason City Newman     -19.87    -16.13                      
72 10/20/1989 Home    L * * -12.08   6  52    2 384 ( 28- 48-  0) Janesville            -50.82      4.82                      
73 10/27/1989 Home    L   *  22.71  20  28    2 410 ( 19- 63-  0) Elgin Valley          -16.03      8.03                      
74 08/31/1990 Home    L   *  18.71  14  26    2 410 ( 19- 63-  0) Elgin Valley          -20.03      8.03                      
75 09/07/1990 Away    L   *  19.95   0  18    2 364 ( 22- 67-  0) Jesup                 -18.79      0.79                      
76 09/14/1990 Home    L * *  45.49   3   6    2 167 ( 64- 29-  0) Tripoli                 6.75     -9.75                      
77 09/21/1990 Away    W * *  60.98  12   0    2 190 ( 54- 29-  0) Clarksville            22.24    -10.24                      
78 09/28/1990 Home    W * *  49.95  40   7    2 490 ( 15- 61-  0) Plainfield             11.21     21.79                      
79 10/05/1990 Home    L * *  29.93  16  22 1  2 366 ( 36- 36-  0) New Hartford           -8.81      2.81                      
80 10/12/1990 Away    L * *   1.70   6  32    2 450 ( 17- 60-  0) Dunkerton             -37.04     11.04                      
81 10/18/1990 Neutral L * *  39.02   6  21    2 120 ( 60- 19-  0) Mason City Newman       0.28    -15.28                      
82 10/26/1990 Away    W * *  55.63  32  12    2 384 ( 28- 48-  0) Janesville             16.89      3.11                      
      Averages              38.31  15.3 16.8

Best game:   96.63 = 61 point win over Janesville
Worst game: -12.08 = 46 point loss to Janesville
Team stdev:  21.91