BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Ottumwa

Class: 2 Class Rank: 89 Conference: Iowa Record: (22-25-0) Overall: (32-58-0) Overall Strength =   55.67

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 09/04/1981 Away    L      32.74   0  20    1  34 ( 24- 66-  0) Muscatine             -22.83      2.83                      
 2 09/11/1981 Away    L * *  30.46   7  20    2 296 ( 24- 56-  0) Keokuk                -25.10     12.10                      
 3 09/18/1981 Home    L      48.44  20  34    1  20 ( 45- 48-  0) Burlington             -7.13     -6.87                      
 4 09/25/1981 Home    W   *  98.99  44   8    2  24 ( 62- 28-  0) Oskaloosa              43.42     -7.42                      
 5 10/03/1981 Away    L      39.10  15  41    1  18 ( 38- 41-  0) Cedar Rapids Jeffers  -16.46     -9.54                      
 6 10/09/1981 Home    L * *  48.48   0  14    2  31 ( 60- 30-  0) Fairfield              -7.09     -6.91  homecoming          
 7 10/16/1981 Home    W * *  78.50  35  20    2  26 ( 65- 21-  0) Mount Pleasant         22.94     -7.94                      
 8 10/23/1981 Home    L      51.16  13  35    1   3 ( 66- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan      -4.41    -17.59                      
 9 10/30/1981 Away    L      53.73   0  15    1  11 ( 38- 36-  0) Fort Dodge             -1.83    -13.17                      
10 09/03/1982 Home    W      80.03  29   0    1  34 ( 24- 66-  0) Muscatine              24.47      4.53                      
11 09/10/1982 Home    W * *  46.76  21  16    2 296 ( 24- 56-  0) Keokuk                 -8.81     13.81                      
12 09/17/1982 Away    W      65.14  21  20    1  20 ( 45- 48-  0) Burlington              9.58     -8.58                      
13 09/24/1982 Away    L   *  52.69  14  26    2  24 ( 62- 28-  0) Oskaloosa              -2.87     -9.13                      
14 10/01/1982 Home    L      56.40  14  21    1  18 ( 38- 41-  0) Cedar Rapids Jeffers    0.83     -7.83                      
15 10/08/1982 Away    L * *  56.18  20  28    2  31 ( 60- 30-  0) Fairfield               0.62     -8.62  homecoming          
16 10/15/1982 Away    W * *  72.21  14   7    2  26 ( 65- 21-  0) Mount Pleasant         16.65     -9.65                      
17 10/22/1982 Away    L      58.86   0  16    1   3 ( 66- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan       3.30    -19.30                      
18 10/29/1982 Home    W   *  56.15  32  29    2 111 ( 30- 60-  0) Runnells Southeast P    0.58      2.42                      
19 09/02/1983 Home    L   *  56.99  21  27 1  2  24 ( 62- 28-  0) Oskaloosa               1.42     -7.42                      
20 09/09/1983 Away    L * *  51.53  22  24    2 154 ( 35- 41-  0) Fort Madison           -4.03      2.03                      
21 09/16/1983 Home    W      65.44  27  24    1  20 ( 45- 48-  0) Burlington              9.87     -6.87                      
22 09/23/1983 Home    W * *  74.19  21   0    2 113 ( 46- 45-  0) Washington             18.63      2.37                      
23 09/30/1983 Away    W * *  70.46  53  26    2 296 ( 24- 56-  0) Keokuk                 14.90     12.10                      
24 10/07/1983 Home    L   *  56.56  22  36    2   9 ( 54- 23-  0) Cedar Rapids Regis      1.00    -15.00                      
25 10/14/1983 Home    W * *  79.48  17   0    2  31 ( 60- 30-  0) Fairfield              23.91     -6.91                      
26 10/21/1983 Away    L * *  56.21   3  12    2  26 ( 65- 21-  0) Mount Pleasant          0.65     -9.65                      
27 10/28/1983 Away    W   *  71.85  23   6    2 111 ( 30- 60-  0) Runnells Southeast P   16.29      0.71                      
28 09/07/1984 Away    W   *  77.69  13   0    2  24 ( 62- 28-  0) Oskaloosa              22.13     -9.13                      
29 09/14/1984 Home    L * *  50.83  30  31    2 154 ( 35- 41-  0) Fort Madison           -4.74      3.74                      
30 09/21/1984 Away    L      53.14  13  24    1  20 ( 45- 48-  0) Burlington             -2.42     -8.58                      
31 09/28/1984 Away    W * *  76.90  36  14    2 113 ( 46- 45-  0) Washington             21.34      0.66                      
32 10/05/1984 Home    W * *  56.76  21   6    2 296 ( 24- 56-  0) Keokuk                  1.19     13.81                      
33 10/12/1984 Away    L   *  43.27   6  35    2   9 ( 54- 23-  0) Cedar Rapids Regis    -12.30    -16.70                      
34 10/19/1984 Away    L * *  57.18   0   7    2  31 ( 60- 30-  0) Fairfield               1.62     -8.62                      
35 10/26/1984 Home    L * *  60.50   6   9    2  26 ( 65- 21-  0) Mount Pleasant          4.94     -7.94                      
36 11/02/1984 Home    W   *  59.15   6   0    2 111 ( 30- 60-  0) Runnells Southeast P    3.58      2.42                      
37 09/06/1985 Home    L   *  55.99  14  21    2  24 ( 62- 28-  0) Oskaloosa               0.42     -7.42                      
38 09/13/1985 Away    W * *  57.53  21  17    2 154 ( 35- 41-  0) Fort Madison            1.97      2.03                      
39 09/20/1985 Home    L   *  57.96   7  19    2  10 ( 68- 26-  0) Urbandale               2.40    -14.40                      
40 09/27/1985 Home    L * *  52.19  27  28 2  2 113 ( 46- 45-  0) Washington             -3.37      2.37                      
41 10/04/1985 Away    W * *  44.46   7   6 1  2 296 ( 24- 56-  0) Keokuk                -11.10     12.10                      
42 10/11/1985 Home    L      54.44   6  14    1  20 ( 45- 48-  0) Burlington             -1.13     -6.87                      
43 10/18/1985 Home    L * *  43.48   6  25    2  31 ( 60- 30-  0) Fairfield             -12.09     -6.91                      
44 10/25/1985 Away    L * *  45.21   0  20    2  26 ( 65- 21-  0) Mount Pleasant        -10.35     -9.65                      
45 11/01/1985 Away    L   *  44.85   0  10    2 111 ( 30- 60-  0) Runnells Southeast P  -10.71      0.71                      
46 09/05/1986 Away    L   *  61.69  15  18 1  2  24 ( 62- 28-  0) Oskaloosa               6.13     -9.13                      
47 09/12/1986 Home    W * *  79.83  34   6    2 154 ( 35- 41-  0) Fort Madison           24.26      3.74                      
48 09/19/1986 Away    L   *  51.67  21  41    2  10 ( 68- 26-  0) Urbandale              -3.89    -16.11                      
49 09/26/1986 Away    W * *  85.90  43  12    2 113 ( 46- 45-  0) Washington             30.34      0.66                      
50 10/03/1986 Home    W * *  48.76  21  14    2 296 ( 24- 56-  0) Keokuk                 -6.81     13.81                      
51 10/10/1986 Away    L      45.14   7  26    1  20 ( 45- 48-  0) Burlington            -10.42     -8.58                      
52 10/17/1986 Away    L * *  47.18   0  17    2  31 ( 60- 30-  0) Fairfield              -8.38     -8.62                      
53 10/24/1986 Home    L * *  43.50   6  26    2  26 ( 65- 21-  0) Mount Pleasant        -12.06     -7.94                      
54 10/31/1986 Home    L      47.88   3  14    1  25 ( 30- 42-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -7.68     -3.32                      
55 09/04/1987 Home    W   *  79.99  27  10    2  24 ( 62- 28-  0) Oskaloosa              24.42     -7.42                      
56 09/11/1987 Away    W * *  67.53  34  20    2 154 ( 35- 41-  0) Fort Madison           11.97      2.03                      
57 09/18/1987 Home    L   *  42.96   7  34    2  10 ( 68- 26-  0) Urbandale             -12.60    -14.40                      
58 09/25/1987 Home    W * *  77.19  24   0    2 113 ( 46- 45-  0) Washington             21.63      2.37                      
59 10/02/1987 Away    W * *  76.46  45  12    2 296 ( 24- 56-  0) Keokuk                 20.90     12.10                      
60 10/09/1987 Home    L      65.51  23  33    1   1 ( 77- 17-  0) Marion Linn-Mar         9.95    -19.95                      
61 10/16/1987 Home    W * *  72.48  10   0    2  31 ( 60- 30-  0) Fairfield              16.91     -6.91                      
62 10/23/1987 Away    W * *  74.21  21  12    2  26 ( 65- 21-  0) Mount Pleasant         18.65     -9.65                      
63 10/30/1987 Away    W      63.59  27  24 1  1  25 ( 30- 42-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    8.03     -5.03                      
64 09/02/1988 Away    L   *  47.69  21  38    2  24 ( 62- 28-  0) Oskaloosa              -7.87     -9.13                      
65 09/09/1988 Home    L * *  30.83  27  48    2 154 ( 35- 41-  0) Fort Madison          -24.74      3.74                      
66 09/16/1988 Away    L   *  43.67   7  35    2  10 ( 68- 26-  0) Urbandale             -11.89    -16.11                      
67 09/23/1988 Away    L * *  51.90  10  13    2 113 ( 46- 45-  0) Washington             -3.66      0.66                      
68 09/30/1988 Home    W * *  46.76  13   8    2 296 ( 24- 56-  0) Keokuk                 -8.81     13.81                      
69 10/07/1988 Home    L      46.02   7  28    1  11 ( 38- 36-  0) Fort Dodge             -9.54    -11.46                      
70 10/14/1988 Away    L * *  36.18  21  49    2  31 ( 60- 30-  0) Fairfield             -19.38     -8.62                      
71 10/21/1988 Home    L * *  46.50   7  24    2  26 ( 65- 21-  0) Mount Pleasant         -9.06     -7.94                      
72 10/28/1988 Home    L      55.88  21  24    1  25 ( 30- 42-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    0.32     -3.32                      
73 09/01/1989 Home    L   *  42.99  13  33    2  24 ( 62- 28-  0) Oskaloosa             -12.58     -7.42                      
74 09/08/1989 Away    L * *  32.53   0  21    2 154 ( 35- 41-  0) Fort Madison          -23.03      2.03                      
75 09/15/1989 Home    L   *  56.96  14  27    2  10 ( 68- 26-  0) Urbandale               1.40    -14.40                      
76 09/22/1989 Home    L * *  35.19   7  25    2 113 ( 46- 45-  0) Washington            -20.37      2.37                      
77 09/29/1989 Away    L * *  30.46  27  40    2 296 ( 24- 56-  0) Keokuk                -25.10     12.10                      
78 10/06/1989 Away    L      41.73  20  47    1  11 ( 38- 36-  0) Fort Dodge            -13.83    -13.17                      
79 10/13/1989 Home    L * *  55.48  28  35    2  31 ( 60- 30-  0) Fairfield              -0.09     -6.91                      
80 10/20/1989 Away    L * *  45.21  20  40    2  26 ( 65- 21-  0) Mount Pleasant        -10.35     -9.65                      
81 10/27/1989 Away    L      25.59   7  42    1  25 ( 30- 42-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -29.97     -5.03                      
82 08/31/1990 Neutral W * *  73.68  21   0    2 154 ( 35- 41-  0) Fort Madison           18.12      2.88                      
83 09/07/1990 Away    L   *  59.69   8  13    2  24 ( 62- 28-  0) Oskaloosa               4.13     -9.13                      
84 09/14/1990 Home    L * *  26.19  17  44    2 113 ( 46- 45-  0) Washington            -29.37      2.37                      
85 09/21/1990 Away    L   *  67.67  10  14    2  10 ( 68- 26-  0) Urbandale              12.11    -16.11                      
86 09/28/1990 Home    L   *  45.80  14  28    2  48 ( 42- 41-  0) Indianola              -9.76     -4.24                      
87 10/05/1990 Away    L * *  52.18  22  34    2  31 ( 60- 30-  0) Fairfield              -3.38     -8.62                      
88 10/12/1990 Away    W * *  60.53   7   0    2 154 ( 35- 41-  0) Fort Madison            4.97      2.03                      
89 10/19/1990 Home    W * *  67.76  46  20    2 296 ( 24- 56-  0) Keokuk                 12.19     13.81                      
90 10/26/1990 Home    L * *  53.50   7  17    2  26 ( 65- 21-  0) Mount Pleasant         -2.06     -7.94                      
      Averages              55.67  16.9 20.9

Best game:   98.99 = 36 point win over Oskaloosa
Worst game:  25.59 = 35 point loss to Des Moines Roosevelt
Team stdev:  14.55