BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Aurelia
Class: A Class Rank: 3 Overall: (11-1) Overall Strength = 62.60
Conference: Sioux Valley Record: (7-0) | District: A-01 Record: (7-1)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/05/1986 Home W 60.69 19 0 1A 56 ( 2- 6) Laurens-Marathon -2.17 21.17
2 09/12/1986 Away W * * 66.67 27 6 A 32 ( 4- 4) Paullina 3.81 17.19
3 09/19/1986 Away W * * 65.16 34 6 A 44 ( 3- 5) Primghar 2.29 * 25.71
4 09/26/1986 Home W * * 67.25 6 0 A 6 ( 7- 1) Sanborn 4.39 1.61 homecoming
5 10/03/1986 Away W * 49.64 30 6 1A 78 ( 0- 8) Alta -13.23 * 37.23 homecoming
6 10/10/1986 Away W * * 75.09 28 8 A 21 ( 5- 3) Sutherland 12.22 7.78
7 10/17/1986 Home W * 63.02 34 22 1A 31 ( 4- 4) Hartley-Melvin 0.15 11.85
8 10/24/1986 Home W * 54.35 14 0 1A 59 ( 2- 6) Milford -8.51 22.51
9 10/29/1986 Away W * 64.54 21 0 A 35 ( 8- 1) Schaller 1.68 19.32
10 10/31/1986 Home 62.60 0 0 ZZ 44 ( 0- 0) open 0.00 X 13.84
11 11/03/1986 Home W * 59.36 17 15 A 12 ( 8- 2) Schleswig -3.50 5.50
12 11/08/1986 Away W * 65.78 18 14 A 2 (10- 1) Malvern 2.92 1.08
13 11/15/1986 Neutral L * 62.82 0 6 A 1 (11- 0) Paton-Churdan -0.04 -5.96
Averages 61.80 19.1 6.4
Best game: 75.09 = 20 point win over Sutherland
Worst game: 49.64 = 24 point win over Alta
Team stdev: 6.22