BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Durant

Class: 2A Class Rank: 54 Conference: 2A-5 Record: (11-16-0) Overall: (30-44-0) Overall Strength =   46.88

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/05/2003 Away    L *  49.08   6  19   2A  32 ( 55- 41-  0) Wilton                  2.10    -15.10                      
  2 09/12/2003 Home    L *  45.79  15  26   2A  36 ( 43- 48-  0) West Liberty           -1.19     -9.81                      
  3 09/19/2003 Home    L    42.06   0  28   1A  11 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch            -4.91    -23.09                      
  4 09/26/2003 Away    W    59.17  48  12    8  52 ( 11- 79-  0) Wyoming Midland        12.20     23.80                      
  5 10/03/2003 Home    W    70.01  47  25   1A  42 ( 42- 50-  0) Bellevue               23.03     -1.03                      
  6 10/10/2003 Home    W    60.27  28  14    A  31 ( 45- 49-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     13.30      0.70                      
  7 10/17/2003 Away    L    26.70   6  21   1A  55 ( 31- 60-  0) North Linn            -20.28      5.28                      
  8 10/24/2003 Away    L    41.48   0  19   1A  28 ( 69- 28-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   -5.49    -13.51                      
  9 10/31/2003 Home    L    20.51  13  35   1A  51 ( 38- 55-  0) Alburnett             -26.47      4.47                      
 10 09/03/2004 Home    W    56.12  43   7    8  52 ( 11- 79-  0) Wyoming Midland         9.14     26.86                      
 11 09/10/2004 Away    L    69.12  25  29   1A  11 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch            22.14    -26.14                      
 12 09/17/2004 Away    L *  48.08  20  34   2A  32 ( 55- 41-  0) Wilton                  1.10    -15.10                      
 13 09/24/2004 Home    L *  49.79  26  33   2A  36 ( 43- 48-  0) West Liberty            2.81     -9.81                      
 14 10/01/2004 Away    W    57.02  14   7   2A  50 ( 49- 45-  0) Mediapolis             10.04     -3.04                      
 15 10/08/2004 Home    L    49.11   0  21   2A  11 ( 67- 35-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie     2.13    -23.13                      
 16 10/15/2004 Away    W *  41.09  21   7   2A  64 ( 15- 76-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       -5.89     19.89                      
 17 10/22/2004 Home    W *  61.78  35   6   2A  62 ( 26- 64-  0) Columbus Junction      14.81     14.19                      
 18 10/29/2004 Away    W    69.07  21   6   ZZ  64 ( 20- 27-  0) Riverside Highland-L   22.10     -7.10                      
 19 09/02/2005 Away    W    51.17  42  14    8  52 ( 11- 79-  0) Wyoming Midland         4.20     23.80                      
 20 09/09/2005 Home    L    43.06   7  34   1A  11 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch            -3.91    -23.09                      
 21 09/16/2005 Home    L *  27.02   6  38   2A  32 ( 55- 41-  0) Wilton                -19.96    -12.04                      
 22 09/23/2005 Away    L *  52.84  21  28   2A  36 ( 43- 48-  0) West Liberty            5.86    -12.86                      
 23 09/30/2005 Home    W    59.96  27  14   2A  50 ( 49- 45-  0) Mediapolis             12.98      0.02                      
 24 10/07/2005 Away    L    58.16  12  27   2A  11 ( 67- 35-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie    11.19    -26.19                      
 25 10/14/2005 Home    W *  59.03  49  14   2A  64 ( 15- 76-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       12.06     22.94                      
 26 10/21/2005 Away    W *  73.84  38   0   2A  62 ( 26- 64-  0) Columbus Junction      26.86     11.14                      
 27 10/28/2005 Home    W    93.02  42   0   ZZ  64 ( 20- 27-  0) Riverside Highland-L   46.04     -4.04                      
 28 09/01/2006 Home    L    55.79  19  20   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana       8.81     -9.81                      
 29 09/08/2006 Away    L    38.12   0  35   1A  11 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch            -8.86    -26.14                      
 30 09/15/2006 Home    L *  55.02  15  19   2A  32 ( 55- 41-  0) Wilton                  8.04    -12.04                      
 31 09/22/2006 Away    W    82.91  28   0   2A  44 ( 57- 36-  0) WB-Notre Dame          35.94     -7.94                      
 32 09/29/2006 Away    W *  73.09  46   0   2A  64 ( 15- 76-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       26.11     19.89                      
 33 10/06/2006 Home    W    80.15  55   6   2A  63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee            33.17     15.83                      
 34 10/13/2006 Away    W    99.02  49   0   2A  50 ( 49- 45-  0) Mediapolis             52.04     -3.04                      
 35 10/20/2006 Home    W *  73.78  50   9   2A  62 ( 26- 64-  0) Columbus Junction      26.81     14.19                      
 36 10/27/2006 Home    W    77.89  47   6   ZZ  75 ( 26- 37-  0) New London-Danville    30.92     10.08                      
 37 11/01/2006 Away    L    38.85   6  36   ZZ  48 ( 68- 33-  0) Monroe Prairie City-   -8.13    -21.87                      
 38 08/31/2007 Home    L    51.79   7  12   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana       4.81     -9.81                      
 39 09/07/2007 Home    L    35.06   7  42   1A  11 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch           -11.91    -23.09                      
 40 09/14/2007 Away    L *   3.08   7  66   2A  32 ( 55- 41-  0) Wilton                -43.90    -15.10                      
 41 09/21/2007 Home    L    28.86   7  30   2A  44 ( 57- 36-  0) WB-Notre Dame         -18.12     -4.88                      
 42 09/28/2007 Home    L *  14.03  14  24   2A  64 ( 15- 76-  0) Louisa-Muscatine      -32.94     22.94                      
 43 10/05/2007 Away    L     1.21   7  40   2A  63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee           -45.77     12.77                      
 44 10/12/2007 Home    L     5.96   0  41   2A  50 ( 49- 45-  0) Mediapolis            -41.02      0.02                      
 45 10/19/2007 Away    L *  22.84   0  13   2A  62 ( 26- 64-  0) Columbus Junction     -24.14     11.14                      
 46 10/26/2007 Away    W    65.95  38  12   ZZ  75 ( 26- 37-  0) New London-Danville    18.97      7.03                      
 47 08/29/2008 Away    L *  26.08   0  36   2A  32 ( 55- 41-  0) Wilton                -20.90    -15.10  non-district        
 48 09/05/2008 Home    L *  20.55   6  47   2A  24 ( 53- 43-  0) Tipton                -26.43    -14.57  non-district        
 49 09/12/2008 Home    L    26.09   0  20    A  32 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -20.89      0.89                      
 50 09/19/2008 Away    L    -0.70   0  54    A  30 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine          -47.67     -6.33                      
 51 09/26/2008 Home    L    35.70  14  20   2A  58 ( 40- 55-  0) Eddyville-Blakesburg  -11.28      5.28                      
 52 10/03/2008 Home    W    40.51  15  14   1A  54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                -6.47      7.47                      
 53 10/10/2008 Away    W    38.10  34  26   1A  59 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    -8.88     16.88                      
 54 10/17/2008 Away    L    33.12   0  40   1A  11 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch           -13.86    -26.14                      
 55 10/24/2008 Home    L    44.30  20  38   1A  20 ( 67- 32-  0) Packwood Pekin         -2.68    -15.32                      
 56 08/28/2009 Home    L *  56.02   0   3   2A  32 ( 55- 41-  0) Wilton                  9.04    -12.04  nd                  
 57 09/04/2009 Away    W *  78.60  20   6   2A  24 ( 53- 43-  0) Tipton                 31.62    -17.62  nd                  
 58 09/11/2009 Away    W    77.14  28   0    A  32 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    30.17     -2.17                      
 59 09/18/2009 Home    L    30.25   7  27    A  30 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine          -16.73     -3.27                      
 60 09/25/2009 Away    L    39.76  14  19   2A  58 ( 40- 55-  0) Eddyville-Blakesburg   -7.22      2.22                      
 61 10/02/2009 Away    L    36.56  14  20   1A  54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello               -10.42      4.42                      
 62 10/09/2009 Home    W    46.04  33  14   1A  59 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    -0.94     19.94                      
 63 10/16/2009 Home    L    29.06   0  41   1A  11 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch           -17.91    -23.09                      
 64 10/23/2009 Away    L    28.35  18  55   1A  20 ( 67- 32-  0) Packwood Pekin        -18.62    -18.38                      
 65 08/27/2010 Away    W    71.06  26   6   1A  42 ( 42- 50-  0) Bellevue               24.09     -4.09  ND                  
 66 09/03/2010 Home    L    11.10   0  39   1A  40 ( 37- 57-  0) Stanwood North Cedar  -35.88     -3.12  ND                  
 67 09/11/2010 Away    W *  59.84  36  12   2A  62 ( 26- 64-  0) Columbus Junction      12.86     11.14  was 09/10 now 09/11 
 68 09/17/2010 Away    W *  67.84  21  13   2A  36 ( 43- 48-  0) West Liberty           20.86    -12.86                      
 69 09/24/2010 Home    L *  35.71   7  10   2A  59 ( 20- 74-  0) Camanche              -11.26      8.26                      
 70 10/01/2010 Home    L *  54.02  20  25   2A  32 ( 55- 41-  0) Wilton                  7.04    -12.04                      
 71 10/08/2010 Away    L *  31.82   0  42   2A   9 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina      -15.15    -26.85                      
 72 10/15/2010 Home    W *  67.55  30  24   2A  24 ( 53- 43-  0) Tipton                 20.57    -14.57                      
 73 10/22/2010 Home    W *  25.03   7   6   2A  64 ( 15- 76-  0) Louisa-Muscatine      -21.94     22.94                      
 74 10/27/2010 Away    L    22.02   0  28   2A  50 ( 49- 45-  0) Mediapolis            -24.96     -3.04                      
      Averages              46.88  18.7 21.8

Best game:   99.02 = 49 point win over Mediapolis
Worst game:  -0.70 = 54 point loss to Belle Plaine
Team stdev:  21.89