BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Lynnville-Sully

Class: A Class Rank: 49 Conference: SICL Record: (11-16-1) Overall: (23-69-1) Overall Strength =   24.74

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/31/2001 Away    W * *  69.32  18   7    A 17 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska          44.27    -33.27                      
 2 09/07/2001 Home    T * *  54.65  21  21    A 18 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma              29.60    -29.60  game ended on down pour of rain - declared tie
 3 09/14/2001 Home    W      50.97  20   6    8 32 ( 39- 40-  0) Janesville             25.92    -11.92                      
 4 09/21/2001 Away    W      69.98  28  20    8  7 ( 82- 26-  0) Northeast Hamilton     44.93    -36.93                      
 5 09/28/2001 Away    L      38.69  12  42   ZZ 18 ( 38- 11-  0) Hubbard-Radcliffe      13.64    -43.64                      
 6 10/05/2001 Home    W * *  76.57  44   8    A 38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           51.52    -15.52                      
 7 10/12/2001 Home    W      53.76  33   6   ZZ 73 (  5- 22-  0) Allison-Bristow        28.71     -1.71                      
 8 10/19/2001 Away    W      57.97  36  20   ZZ 57 (  8- 10-  0) Alden                  32.92    -16.92                      
 9 10/26/2001 Home    W      49.07  34  13    A 45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG             24.02     -3.02                      
10 10/31/2001 Away    L      29.38  14  41    A 21 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter               4.33    -31.33                      
11 09/06/2002 Away    L      31.17  12  34   2A 46 ( 38- 52-  0) East Marshall           6.12    -28.12                      
12 09/13/2002 Away    L * *  22.71   0  35    A 18 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma              -2.34    -32.66                      
13 09/20/2002 Home    L * *  26.26   0  29    A 17 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska           1.21    -30.21                      
14 09/27/2002 Away    L      23.13  30  38    A 45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG             -1.92     -6.08                      
15 10/04/2002 Home    L       6.41   0  14    A 50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -18.64      4.64                      
16 10/11/2002 Home    L * *  -1.59   6  61    A 20 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV            -26.64    -28.36                      
17 10/18/2002 Away    L * *  -0.86   0  50    A 31 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -25.91    -24.09                      
18 10/25/2002 Away    L *   -13.56   0  54    8 30 ( 58- 41-  0) Thornburg Tri-County  -38.61    -15.39                      
19 11/01/2002 Home    L *   -23.45   0  52    A 44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys       -48.50     -3.50                      
20 08/29/2003 Away    W      68.08  21   0   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          43.03    -22.03                      
21 09/05/2003 Home    L      35.12  12  27   2A 46 ( 38- 52-  0) East Marshall          10.07    -25.07                      
22 09/12/2003 Home    L * *   7.65   6  53    A 18 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma             -17.40    -29.60                      
23 09/19/2003 Away    L * *  28.32   6  36    A 17 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska           3.27    -33.27                      
24 09/26/2003 Home    W      55.07  33   6    A 45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG             30.02     -3.02                      
25 10/03/2003 Away    W      43.47  34  14    A 50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union      18.42      1.58                      
26 10/10/2003 Away    W * *  60.46  18  14    A 20 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV             35.41    -31.41                      
27 10/17/2003 Home    W * *  62.09  28  12    A 31 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    37.04    -21.04                      
28 10/24/2003 Home    W *    67.38  36   6    8 30 ( 58- 41-  0) Thornburg Tri-County   42.33    -12.33                      
29 10/31/2003 Away    W *    59.60  28   0    A 44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys        34.55     -6.55                      
30 11/05/2003 Away    L      11.99  28  56    A 42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys  -13.06    -14.94                      
31 09/03/2004 Away    L      33.69   6  41   ZZ 18 ( 38- 11-  0) Hubbard-Radcliffe       8.64    -43.64                      
32 09/10/2004 Home    L       6.94  12  42    A 42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys  -18.11    -11.89                      
33 09/20/2004 Away    L      -0.71   0  42    A 40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO            -25.76    -16.24                      
34 09/24/2004 Home    L       6.10   6  42    A 36 ( 40- 55-  0) Earlham               -18.95    -17.05                      
35 10/01/2004 Away    L       9.38   7  54    A 21 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter             -15.67    -31.33                      
36 10/08/2004 Away    L      12.13   0  66    A  1 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                -12.92    -53.08                      
37 10/15/2004 Home    L       4.76   6  47    A 32 ( 44- 50-  0) Southeast Warren      -20.29    -20.71                      
38 10/23/2004 Away    L      24.84  14  17   1A 60 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian   -0.21     -2.79                      
39 10/29/2004 Home    L       7.14   6  34    8 33 ( 42- 52-  0) Afton East Union      -17.91    -10.09                      
40 09/02/2005 Home    L      10.64   6  61   ZZ 18 ( 38- 11-  0) Hubbard-Radcliffe     -14.42    -40.58                      
41 09/09/2005 Away    L      -8.01   6  54    A 42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys  -33.06    -14.94                      
42 09/16/2005 Home    L       2.23   0  36    A 40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO            -22.82    -13.18                      
43 09/23/2005 Away    L     -10.85   6  62    A 36 ( 40- 55-  0) Earlham               -35.90    -20.10                      
44 09/30/2005 Home    L      20.32   7  40    A 21 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter              -4.73    -28.27                      
45 10/07/2005 Home    L      23.07   0  52    A  1 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                 -1.98    -50.02                      
46 10/14/2005 Away    L       1.81   8  55    A 32 ( 44- 50-  0) Southeast Warren      -23.24    -23.76                      
47 10/21/2005 Home    L      -6.22  23  54   1A 60 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian  -31.27      0.27                      
48 10/28/2005 Away    L      -4.80   6  49    8 33 ( 42- 52-  0) Afton East Union      -29.85    -13.15                      
49 09/01/2006 Away    W      51.78  31   7    A 48 ( 15- 32-  0) Lone Tree              26.73     -2.73                      
50 09/08/2006 Away    L      16.47   9  16    A 50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union      -8.58      1.58                      
51 09/15/2006 Home    L      16.76  16  45    A 32 ( 44- 50-  0) Southeast Warren       -8.29    -20.71                      
52 09/22/2006 Away    L * *  20.32  12  50    A 17 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska          -4.73    -33.27                      
53 09/29/2006 Home    L      -5.90   0  48    A 36 ( 40- 55-  0) Earlham               -30.95    -17.05                      
54 10/06/2006 Home    L      10.78  26  40   1A 60 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian  -14.27      0.27                      
55 10/13/2006 Away    W      49.29  28  20    A 40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO             24.24    -16.24                      
56 10/20/2006 Away    L      21.38   7  42    A 21 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter              -3.67    -31.33                      
57 10/27/2006 Home    L      49.07  13  39    A  1 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                 24.02    -50.02                      
58 08/31/2007 Home    W      28.73  18  14    A 48 ( 15- 32-  0) Lone Tree               3.68      0.32                      
59 09/07/2007 Home    L     -13.59   8  42    A 50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -38.64      4.64                      
60 09/14/2007 Away    L       1.81   0  47    A 32 ( 44- 50-  0) Southeast Warren      -23.24    -23.76                      
61 09/21/2007 Home    L * *   1.26   0  54    A 17 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska         -23.79    -30.21                      
62 09/28/2007 Away    L     -10.85   6  62    A 36 ( 40- 55-  0) Earlham               -35.90    -20.10                      
63 10/05/2007 Away    L       2.84   6  31   1A 60 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian  -22.21     -2.79                      
64 10/12/2007 Home    L      -3.77   0  42    A 40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO            -28.82    -13.18                      
65 10/19/2007 Home    L      17.32   0  36    A 21 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter              -7.73    -28.27                      
66 10/26/2007 Away    L      30.13  12  60    A  1 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                  5.08    -53.08                      
67 08/29/2008 Home    W *    42.55  27  13    A 44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys        17.50     -3.50  non-district        
68 09/05/2008 Away    L * *  34.71  10  33    A 18 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma               9.66    -32.66  non-district        
69 09/12/2008 Home    L      33.76   6  18    A 32 ( 44- 50-  0) Southeast Warren        8.71    -20.71                      
70 09/19/2008 Away    W      85.99  52   6    A 42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys   60.94    -14.94                      
71 09/26/2008 Home    L      -1.77   8  48    A 40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO            -26.82    -13.18                      
72 10/03/2008 Away    L       2.15   6  49    A 36 ( 40- 55-  0) Earlham               -22.90    -20.10                      
73 10/10/2008 Home    L      14.02  20  45    A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning               -11.03    -13.97  non-district        
74 10/17/2008 Home    L      34.07   8  49    A  1 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                  9.02    -50.02                      
75 10/24/2008 Away    L      26.38  12  42    A 21 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter               1.33    -31.33                      
76 08/28/2009 Away    W *    33.60  22  20 1  A 44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys         8.55     -6.55  nd                  
77 09/04/2009 Home    L * *  40.65   0  14    A 18 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma              15.60    -29.60  nd                  
78 09/11/2009 Away    L      20.81   0  28    A 32 ( 44- 50-  0) Southeast Warren       -4.24    -23.76                      
79 09/18/2009 Home    L      -3.06   8  48    A 42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys  -28.11    -11.89                      
80 09/25/2009 Away    L      -0.71   0  42    A 40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO            -25.76    -16.24                      
81 10/02/2009 Home    L       7.10   0  35    A 36 ( 40- 55-  0) Earlham               -17.95    -17.05                      
82 10/09/2009 Away    L       7.08   0  35    A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning               -17.97    -17.03  nd                  
83 10/16/2009 Away    L      25.13   0  53    A  1 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                  0.08    -53.08                      
84 10/23/2009 Home    L      28.32  22  47    A 21 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter               3.27    -28.27                      
85 08/27/2010 Home    L      32.48  16  47   2A 22 ( 55- 39-  0) Baxter CMB              7.43    -38.43  ND                  
86 09/03/2010 Away    L      11.29   6  36    A 40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO            -13.76    -16.24  ND                  
87 09/10/2010 Home    L * *  26.41   6  33    A 20 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV              1.36    -28.36                      
88 09/17/2010 Away    L * *  53.71   2   6    A 18 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma              28.66    -32.66                      
89 09/24/2010 Home    W * *  63.26  21  13    A 17 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska          38.21    -30.21                      
90 10/01/2010 Away    L * *  25.30  12  40    A 29 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine            0.25    -28.25                      
91 10/08/2010 Away    W *    48.60  25   8    A 44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys        23.55     -6.55  ND                  
92 10/15/2010 Home    L * *  16.57  15  39    A 38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           -8.48    -15.52                      
93 10/22/2010 Away    W * *  56.14  21  14    A 31 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    31.09    -24.09                      
      Averages              24.74  12.8 34.2

Best game:   85.99 = 46 point win over Martensdale-St Marys
Worst game: -23.45 = 52 point loss to North English English Valleys
Team stdev:  24.37