BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Lynnville-Sully

Class: A Class Rank: 49 Conference: A-6 Record: (6-14-1) Overall: (23-69-1) Overall Strength =   24.74

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    W *  69.32  18   7    A  18 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska          44.27    -33.27                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    T *  54.65  21  21    A  19 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma              29.60    -29.60  game ended on down pour of rain - declared tie
  3 09/14/2001 Home    W    50.97  20   6    8  33 ( 39- 40-  0) Janesville             25.92    -11.92                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    W    69.98  28  20    8   8 ( 82- 26-  0) Northeast Hamilton     44.93    -36.93                      
  5 09/28/2001 Away    L    38.69  12  42   ZZ  49 ( 38- 11-  0) Hubbard-Radcliffe      13.64    -43.64                      
  6 10/05/2001 Home    W *  76.57  44   8    A  38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           51.52    -15.52                      
  7 10/12/2001 Home    W    53.76  33   6   ZZ  82 (  5- 22-  0) Allison-Bristow        28.71     -1.71                      
  8 10/19/2001 Away    W    57.97  36  20   ZZ  73 (  8- 10-  0) Alden                  32.92    -16.92                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    W    49.07  34  13    A  45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG             24.02     -3.02                      
 10 10/31/2001 Away    L    29.38  14  41    A  22 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter               4.33    -31.33                      
 11 09/06/2002 Away    L    31.17  12  34   2A  46 ( 38- 52-  0) East Marshall           6.12    -28.12                      
 12 09/13/2002 Away    L *  22.71   0  35    A  19 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma              -2.34    -32.66                      
 13 09/20/2002 Home    L *  26.26   0  29    A  18 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska           1.21    -30.21                      
 14 09/27/2002 Away    L    23.13  30  38    A  45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG             -1.92     -6.08                      
 15 10/04/2002 Home    L     6.41   0  14    A  50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -18.64      4.64                      
 16 10/11/2002 Home    L *  -1.59   6  61    A  21 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV            -26.64    -28.36                      
 17 10/18/2002 Away    L *  -0.86   0  50    A  32 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -25.91    -24.09                      
 18 10/25/2002 Away    L   -13.56   0  54    8  31 ( 58- 41-  0) Thornburg Tri-County  -38.61    -15.39                      
 19 11/01/2002 Home    L   -23.45   0  52    A  44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys       -48.50     -3.50                      
 20 08/29/2003 Away    W    68.08  21   0   1A  50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          43.03    -22.03                      
 21 09/05/2003 Home    L    35.12  12  27   2A  46 ( 38- 52-  0) East Marshall          10.07    -25.07                      
 22 09/12/2003 Home    L *   7.65   6  53    A  19 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma             -17.40    -29.60                      
 23 09/19/2003 Away    L *  28.32   6  36    A  18 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska           3.27    -33.27                      
 24 09/26/2003 Home    W    55.07  33   6    A  45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG             30.02     -3.02                      
 25 10/03/2003 Away    W    43.47  34  14    A  50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union      18.42      1.58                      
 26 10/10/2003 Away    W *  60.46  18  14    A  21 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV             35.41    -31.41                      
 27 10/17/2003 Home    W *  62.09  28  12    A  32 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    37.04    -21.04                      
 28 10/24/2003 Home    W    67.38  36   6    8  31 ( 58- 41-  0) Thornburg Tri-County   42.33    -12.33                      
 29 10/31/2003 Away    W    59.60  28   0    A  44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys        34.55     -6.55                      
 30 11/05/2003 Away    L    11.99  28  56    A  42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys  -13.06    -14.94                      
 31 09/03/2004 Away    L    33.69   6  41   ZZ  49 ( 38- 11-  0) Hubbard-Radcliffe       8.64    -43.64                      
 32 09/10/2004 Home    L     6.94  12  42    A  42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys  -18.11    -11.89                      
 33 09/20/2004 Away    L    -0.71   0  42    A  40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO            -25.76    -16.24                      
 34 09/24/2004 Home    L     6.10   6  42    A  36 ( 40- 55-  0) Earlham               -18.95    -17.05                      
 35 10/01/2004 Away    L     9.38   7  54    A  22 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter             -15.67    -31.33                      
 36 10/08/2004 Away    L    12.13   0  66    A   2 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                -12.92    -53.08                      
 37 10/15/2004 Home    L     4.76   6  47    A  33 ( 44- 50-  0) Southeast Warren      -20.29    -20.71                      
 38 10/23/2004 Away    L    24.84  14  17   1A  61 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian   -0.21     -2.79                      
 39 10/29/2004 Home    L     7.14   6  34    8  34 ( 42- 52-  0) Afton East Union      -17.91    -10.09                      
 40 09/02/2005 Home    L    10.64   6  61   ZZ  49 ( 38- 11-  0) Hubbard-Radcliffe     -14.42    -40.58                      
 41 09/09/2005 Away    L    -8.01   6  54    A  42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys  -33.06    -14.94                      
 42 09/16/2005 Home    L     2.23   0  36    A  40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO            -22.82    -13.18                      
 43 09/23/2005 Away    L   -10.85   6  62    A  36 ( 40- 55-  0) Earlham               -35.90    -20.10                      
 44 09/30/2005 Home    L    20.32   7  40    A  22 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter              -4.73    -28.27                      
 45 10/07/2005 Home    L    23.07   0  52    A   2 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                 -1.98    -50.02                      
 46 10/14/2005 Away    L     1.81   8  55    A  33 ( 44- 50-  0) Southeast Warren      -23.24    -23.76                      
 47 10/21/2005 Home    L    -6.22  23  54   1A  61 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian  -31.27      0.27                      
 48 10/28/2005 Away    L    -4.80   6  49    8  34 ( 42- 52-  0) Afton East Union      -29.85    -13.15                      
 49 09/01/2006 Away    W    51.78  31   7    A  48 ( 15- 32-  0) Lone Tree              26.73     -2.73                      
 50 09/08/2006 Away    L    16.47   9  16    A  50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union      -8.58      1.58                      
 51 09/15/2006 Home    L    16.76  16  45    A  33 ( 44- 50-  0) Southeast Warren       -8.29    -20.71                      
 52 09/22/2006 Away    L *  20.32  12  50    A  18 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska          -4.73    -33.27                      
 53 09/29/2006 Home    L    -5.90   0  48    A  36 ( 40- 55-  0) Earlham               -30.95    -17.05                      
 54 10/06/2006 Home    L    10.78  26  40   1A  61 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian  -14.27      0.27                      
 55 10/13/2006 Away    W    49.29  28  20    A  40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO             24.24    -16.24                      
 56 10/20/2006 Away    L    21.38   7  42    A  22 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter              -3.67    -31.33                      
 57 10/27/2006 Home    L    49.07  13  39    A   2 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                 24.02    -50.02                      
 58 08/31/2007 Home    W    28.73  18  14    A  48 ( 15- 32-  0) Lone Tree               3.68      0.32                      
 59 09/07/2007 Home    L   -13.59   8  42    A  50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -38.64      4.64                      
 60 09/14/2007 Away    L     1.81   0  47    A  33 ( 44- 50-  0) Southeast Warren      -23.24    -23.76                      
 61 09/21/2007 Home    L *   1.26   0  54    A  18 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska         -23.79    -30.21                      
 62 09/28/2007 Away    L   -10.85   6  62    A  36 ( 40- 55-  0) Earlham               -35.90    -20.10                      
 63 10/05/2007 Away    L     2.84   6  31   1A  61 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian  -22.21     -2.79                      
 64 10/12/2007 Home    L    -3.77   0  42    A  40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO            -28.82    -13.18                      
 65 10/19/2007 Home    L    17.32   0  36    A  22 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter              -7.73    -28.27                      
 66 10/26/2007 Away    L    30.13  12  60    A   2 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                  5.08    -53.08                      
 67 08/29/2008 Home    W    42.55  27  13    A  44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys        17.50     -3.50  non-district        
 68 09/05/2008 Away    L *  34.71  10  33    A  19 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma               9.66    -32.66  non-district        
 69 09/12/2008 Home    L    33.76   6  18    A  33 ( 44- 50-  0) Southeast Warren        8.71    -20.71                      
 70 09/19/2008 Away    W    85.99  52   6    A  42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys   60.94    -14.94                      
 71 09/26/2008 Home    L    -1.77   8  48    A  40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO            -26.82    -13.18                      
 72 10/03/2008 Away    L     2.15   6  49    A  36 ( 40- 55-  0) Earlham               -22.90    -20.10                      
 73 10/10/2008 Home    L    14.02  20  45    A  39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning               -11.03    -13.97  non-district        
 74 10/17/2008 Home    L    34.07   8  49    A   2 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                  9.02    -50.02                      
 75 10/24/2008 Away    L    26.38  12  42    A  22 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter               1.33    -31.33                      
 76 08/28/2009 Away    W    33.60  22  20 1  A  44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys         8.55     -6.55  nd                  
 77 09/04/2009 Home    L *  40.65   0  14    A  19 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma              15.60    -29.60  nd                  
 78 09/11/2009 Away    L    20.81   0  28    A  33 ( 44- 50-  0) Southeast Warren       -4.24    -23.76                      
 79 09/18/2009 Home    L    -3.06   8  48    A  42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys  -28.11    -11.89                      
 80 09/25/2009 Away    L    -0.71   0  42    A  40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO            -25.76    -16.24                      
 81 10/02/2009 Home    L     7.10   0  35    A  36 ( 40- 55-  0) Earlham               -17.95    -17.05                      
 82 10/09/2009 Away    L     7.08   0  35    A  39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning               -17.97    -17.03  nd                  
 83 10/16/2009 Away    L    25.13   0  53    A   2 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                  0.08    -53.08                      
 84 10/23/2009 Home    L    28.32  22  47    A  22 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter               3.27    -28.27                      
 85 08/27/2010 Home    L    32.48  16  47   2A  22 ( 55- 39-  0) Baxter CMB              7.43    -38.43  ND                  
 86 09/03/2010 Away    L    11.29   6  36    A  40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO            -13.76    -16.24  ND                  
 87 09/10/2010 Home    L *  26.41   6  33    A  21 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV              1.36    -28.36                      
 88 09/17/2010 Away    L *  53.71   2   6    A  19 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma              28.66    -32.66                      
 89 09/24/2010 Home    W *  63.26  21  13    A  18 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska          38.21    -30.21                      
 90 10/01/2010 Away    L *  25.30  12  40    A  30 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine            0.25    -28.25                      
 91 10/08/2010 Away    W    48.60  25   8    A  44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys        23.55     -6.55  ND                  
 92 10/15/2010 Home    L *  16.57  15  39    A  38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           -8.48    -15.52                      
 93 10/22/2010 Away    W *  56.14  21  14    A  32 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    31.09    -24.09                      
      Averages              24.74  12.8 34.2

Best game:   85.99 = 46 point win over Martensdale-St Marys
Worst game: -23.45 = 52 point loss to North English English Valleys
Team stdev:  24.37